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The 2026 recession is here. You feel it. I feel it. GDP is growing, but the cost of living is rising, affordability is at a multi-decade low, and consumer sentiment is at its lowest level in 70 years. The stock market is ripping, but Americans are struggling daily. Economists will tell you it’s not a recession (at least not yet), but according to my recession indicator…we’re there. Last November, I created a new recession indicator. It wasn’t tied to GDP, asset values, or sentiment. It was tied to the average American struggling to get by. As of last week, this recession indicator threw up a strong yellow flag, signaling that we’ve reached a turning point—and the direction we’re going isn’t giving us much hope. This will affect the housing market and rent prices for real estate investors. I give my full forecast on how this could affect the market, but also share exactly what I’m doing right now to put myself in the best position to weather the storm and, hopefully, pick up discounted deals as they come along. Well-situated investors can survive this, but those that are already running their portfolios with little wiggle room might be in for a big surprise. In This Episode We Cover The recession indicator that got triggered just last week (and what it means for the economy) My new definition of “recession” and why we must rethink what a “recession” even is How this new recession could hurt the housing market and investors What I’m doing right now to prepare for the recession and put my portfolio in a strong position A concerning data point about the affordability of average Americans (this includes renters) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn't as Safe From Inflation as You Think Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-427. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Just when we thought it was handled, inflation is starting to surge back—and mortgage rates are already adjusting fast. But, for real estate investors, there’s a silver lining. Some markets are seeing rising rents and lower home prices, making it an ideal buying scenario for investors if they can hang on to the property during these high-rate times. It’s been a wild week in the housing market, and we’re unpacking everything in this headline episode. First, we’ll talk about the new inflation numbers. You probably already know they’re not great, but could they force the Fed to resume raising rates? We have a…lively…discussion about it. Next, investors lose millions of dollars in the newest real estate “scam” run by a trusted community member. This isn’t something new, so we’re sharing the exact steps you should take before ever wiring someone money for a real estate deal. Big buyers gain ground on a new housing bill as an amended version drops language many investors had considered a lock. Finally, we’re going over the cities with the fastest rising (and falling) rent prices in 2026—and which markets are seeing the perfect storm of rising rents and declining home prices. In This Episode We Cover Inflation surges, but what effect will it have on mortgage rates? The cities that saw the highest rent increases in 2026 (and where rents are falling) The newest passive investing “scam” that’s costing real estate investors millions Big buyers aren’t getting banned? A new update to the latest housing bill The argument for the Fed reversing course and raising rates once again And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 399 - Buying (and Building) Houses Could Get a LOT Easier (New Bill) TheRealDeal: House knocks build-to-rent provision from amended Senate bill AP News: Ex-Brooklyn judge accused of swindling real estate investors out of millions of dollars SmartAsset: Where Rent Increased and Decreased Most – 2026 Study Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-426. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
New 2026 housing market forecasts have changed…dramatically. A major downgrade for home sales from NAR, a home price forecast revision from Zillow, and a new mortgage rate range from Fannie Mae. The industry is quickly growing much more anxious. At the start of the year, the consensus was for modest price growth, lower mortgage rates, and improved home sale numbers—that’s not where we’re at right now. Between inflation fears resurfacing, interest rates climbing again, and major geopolitical earthquakes, just months into the year, real estate forecasters are changing course. Today, we’re going through all the top forecasts for home prices, mortgage rates, and home sales from Fannie Mae, JP Morgan, NAR, and Zillow. But what about Dave’s 2026 forecast? How has it held up through wars, oil price spikes, and a changing Federal Reserve? Dave reviews his exact 2026 housing market forecast and whether he would change it now. In This Episode We Cover Updated home sales, home price, and mortgage rate predictions from major players in real estate Zillow’s latest home price downgrade and why we’re inching toward falling home values NAR slashes their home sales forecast significantly, but what do they say it’ll do to prices? Housing crash consensus? What major forecasters and economists are saying about the chances Reviewing Dave’s 2026 housing market forecast and whether he’s changing it in this new economic climate And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 408 - Melody Wright's Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Claim Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-425. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
One type of investment property is experiencing severe undersupply with a 20-year demographic tailwind on the way. Demand is growing, new supply isn’t even hitting a quarter of the need, and investors are writing off much of this industry as already past its peak. Is this a strategic opportunity to invest in an asset so obvious it’s been overlooked? Of course, we’re talking about senior living investments. Jerry Vinci, founder of CCR Growth, growth partners in senior housing, saw firsthand why investing in senior living is so crucial. Jerry watched all four of his grandparents move into senior living and witnessed the chaos, stress, and struggle of navigating such a crucial time in their lives. Now, Jerry works to help underwrite and optimize senior living facilities, and as an industry insider, he’s seeing a change. Demand is growing…fast. Even the youngest boomers are turning 65 in 2030, and the pipeline of 80+ year olds needing housing is starting to reach a bottleneck. Today, we’re talking about the wave of demand coming (and expected to sustain for two more decades), how investors can get started if they have no experience, the questions to ask before investing in a senior living facility, and why in senior living your market is more crucial than traditional real estate investing. In This Episode We Cover The “20-year cycle” that could funnel millions more Baby Boomers into senior housing Who should be investing in small senior housing properties (5-10 residents) The different types of senior living investments (from independent living to memory care and more) Ask these questions to any operator you may be investing with The massive supply bottleneck that cannot keep pace with senior living demand And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Investing in Senior Housing Can Be Extremely Profitable—But You Need To Know What You’re Doing Dave's BiggerPockets Profile CCR Growth Nordon Advisory Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-424. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The national debt just hit a dangerous new milestone, surpassing GDP—and the last time this happened, we just ended a world war. You already know the U.S. is heavily in debt—most Americans do—but nobody is asking the right question: at what point does this spiral out of control and force something in the economy to break? Today, Dave is unpacking the next steps and the scenarios that could unfold once our debt reaches a point where our options to solve this become dangerous. And the effects could be massive for real estate investors, unless they begin preparing themselves now. First, we’ll go over how we even got here, what makes up the majority of our national debt, and what we can cut to end this out-of-control spending. Next, the two scenarios, one of which could put real estate investors in a dangerous position. Dave is preparing, starting now, even if the worst effects don’t hit for years. With no sign of either political party meaningfully lowering the debt, this isn’t a matter of “if” real estate is affected, but when. In This Episode We Cover The dangerous new milestone our national debt has just hit (can we reverse course?) What real estate investors need to start doing now to protect their future selves Why mortgage rates could “spiral” up as the U.S. looks for a solution to pay off debt Who’s to blame? Which administrations caused the debt to grow Where 75% of our tax revenue is going (why the debt keeps rising) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn’t as Safe From Inflation as You Think Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-422. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
U.S. home prices have officially turned negative. For many months, sellers have resisted adjusting to current market conditions—until now. This could bring short-term pain for flippers and sellers, but overall, it’s a step in the right direction for a housing market that desperately needs prices to soften before it can become unstuck. We’re back with more headlines from last week, including new data that suggests foreclosures are quietly approaching pre-pandemic levels. Inflation remains high, and affordability continues to be an issue, but how close are we to seeing serious distress? On the topic of affordability, home builders are no longer being held to the 2021 International Energy Conservation Code, meaning new construction homes could become available at an even more affordable price point in the future. Meanwhile, wages are up. Despite rent growth remaining relatively flat, renters have more breathing room, which is ultimately a good sign for the overall health of the housing market, as well as for investors who want more predictable rental income. In This Episode We Cover Sellers are finally backing down as national home prices turn negative New investing opportunities from rising foreclosures and bank-owned homes Why new construction could become even more affordable in the future Home builders get a big break as energy-efficiency standards are rolled back Why higher wages are a big win for investors, despite stagnant rent prices And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1210 – 2026 Home Price Predictions: The Correction Continues? Weekly Housing Trends: U.S. Market Update (Week Ending April 18, 2026) Auction.com: Q1 2026 foreclosure auction activity is nearing pre-pandemic levels HUD, USDA Rescind Rule Tying New Homes to 2021 Energy Code Renters gain more than $2,300 in breathing room as rent growth hits slowest pace since 2020 Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, Start with Strategy Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-422. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We’ve got new data on the Spring housing market, and it’s…well, complicated. The monthly data shows more of the same: a sluggish housing market with negative home price growth. But zoom in, and the weekly data tells a different story. Pending sales and mortgage applications are ticking higher, and we’ve just crossed into what could be the strongest buyer’s market we’ve seen in years, with sellers outnumbering buyers in 38 of the 49 largest major metro areas. This can only mean two things: deals are getting better, and investors have more negotiating power than they’ve had in a while. As for whether a Spring homebuying season is taking shape, it depends on who you ask. Tensions in the Middle East, surging inflation, and housing affordability challenges are keeping many would-be homebuyers in limbo. But investors who have the means to buy, are actively looking in strong buyer’s markets, and are analyzing deals conservatively are seeing a new window of opportunity. The question is, how long will that window stay open? In This Episode We Cover Why real estate deals are getting better, despite a sluggish housing market What “positive” weekly data means for the potential of a Spring homebuying season How tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation numbers could affect housing How investors can take advantage as the U.S. flips to a strong buyer’s market What happens to mortgage rates once new Fed chair Kevin Warsh is confirmed And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 419 – The Fed’s High-Stakes Power Struggle Affects Much More Than Mortgage Rates Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Redfin Home Price Data Housing Wire Pending Home Sales Data Redfin Buyers vs. Sellers Data Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-421. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Buyers are waiting out the market, mortgage rates are rising again, and the economy seems as unstable as ever. So why are house flippers feeling bullish about investing in 2026? A new report has surfaced showing an overwhelmingly optimistic view of flipping houses, with active flippers registering stronger bullish signals than in previous months. The question is: what are house flippers seeing in the market that we aren’t? To answer, our resident house flipping expert, James Dainard, is on to share what he’s seeing in his market, the actual profits he’s making on flips in 2026, how he’s saved bad deals and turned them into 90% profit margins (yep), and the things that will kill your returns when flipping a house in 2026. James is still making solid margins on his house flips, and he has strong opinions about why these flippers are feeling so optimistic. Plus, if you’re thinking of flipping your first house in 2026 or getting back into the game, James shares some critical advice to help you keep your costs low and make a profit even if your flip turns into a flop. In This Episode We Cover Actual profit margins that house flippers are making in 2026 How James turned a deal gone bad into a 90% return, even in a tough market A new survey showing very surprising sentiment among U.S. house flippers What James is doing right now to make higher margins with fewer flipping deals The things that will kill your house flipping profit margins New house flipper? Heed James’ advice before you start And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Flipping Houses: How to Get Started and Everything You Should Know ResiClub: What to expect from the home flipping market in 2026 and beyond Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Grab James’s Book, The House Flipping Framework Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-420. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Something is brewing at the Federal Reserve, and it’s starting to get ugly. For many months, President Trump has been pressuring the Fed to lower the federal funds rate and has since named a new Fed chair nominee to take the reins after Jerome Powell's term ends. But what seemed like a straightforward transition has quickly evolved into a nasty political showdown—a “standoff” between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Senate Banking Committee. The drama could drag out for months, with Powell’s investigation being prolonged and nominee Kevin Warsh’s confirmation being delayed. But behind all of it, there’s a much more serious issue being threatened: Fed independence. The Federal Reserve’s ability to act independently of political influences is crucial for creating monetary policy in the best long-term interest of the country, and it’s being jeopardized. For investors, this isn’t just political theater—it’s a signal. If markets lose faith in the Fed’s independence, the ripple effect could reshape not just interest rates, mortgage rates, and the housing market, but the entire U.S. economy. And it’s unfolding right now. In This Episode We Cover What happens when the Federal Reserve loses its “independence” Why the current Fed power struggle affects much more than mortgage rates The “battle” that is holding up new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh’s nomination Why the Federal Reserve’s hands are tied when it comes to cutting interest rates Behind the “drama” unfolding between the Senate Banking Committee and the DOJ And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1266 – The War Has Changed the Housing Market | April 2026 Update Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-419. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
For years, we’ve been promised that a “tsunami” of homes would hit the market as Baby Boomers age, move into senior housing, and pass away. We’ve been waiting…and waiting, but we’re still millions of housing units short. Yet, even without a “silver tsunami,” another trend could push us toward a housing supply glut in the future—new builds. Builder sentiment has dropped to a seven-month low. Homes are sitting empty, huge concessions are being offered, but the buyers are few and far between. Longer absorption periods mean higher holding costs for builders, prompting larger incentives to sell these homes. But, with mortgage rates bouncing back up to the mid-six percent range, who wants to buy? Very few Americans, and that’s the problem. Between Baby Boomers slowly trickling inventory into the housing market and builders creating more supply than (financeable) demand, is this the tipping point where we go from an undersupplied to an oversupplied housing market? In this headline episode, we’re getting into it, plus a “ban” on one of America’s hottest real estate assets. In This Episode We Cover Is the silver tsunami ever going to hit? Why Baby Boomer homes aren’t reaching the market Where home prices have the highest chance of falling if the Baby Boomer supply hits the market The major opportunity for real estate investors to pick up seriously discounted new-build homes A new real estate asset “ban” that’s affecting over 15 states in the country Will we flip from a housing deficit to oversupply? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Starts to Decline? Calculated Risk Reuters: US home builder sentiment drops to seven-month low in April, NAHB survey says WSJ: America’s Self-Storage Craze Has Reached a Tipping Point Associated Press: The US is short 10 million houses. A new White House report lays out a blueprint to fix that Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab The Book on Negotiating Real Estate Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-418. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could have profound effects on the housing market, and if you work or invest in real estate, you need to know what's coming next. Energy shocks, high inflation, new job numbers, the worst consumer sentiment in 70 years…it’s all hitting us in a single week, and the housing market is already reacting. After months of affordability gains, mortgage rates jumped back to 6.4% in response to the oil price spike and, by proxy, high inflation readings. The Fed has already made the bulk of its rate cuts, so is there any room left for interest rates to go down? Home sales are already slowing, and consumers are feeling the worst about the economy in 70 years. This will impact the housing market, and it’s not good news for agents, brokers, lenders, or anyone involved in transactions. But for investors, we’re being given yet another opportunity to buy deals…and the discounts could be getting deeper. The window to act is widening even more. Here's how to position yourself before it closes. In This Episode We Cover New inflation rate readings and why the CPI rose close to 1% in just a month Mortgage rates are stuck: why they can’t fall much more, even with a new Fed chair Latest home sales data that shows how the housing market is already reacting Why more and more investors are getting pessimistic about the housing market Will home prices crash? Here’s what’s holding them stable right now What investors need to do to prepare themselves right now to get better deals And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-417. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Could today’s weak housing markets become tomorrow’s winners? One particular real estate demand “cycle” says that it’s more than possible. Everyone has written off real estate markets where inventory has risen, prices have dropped (substantially), and migration has slowed. But what happens when the pendulum swings in the other direction, and these dead markets return to life? ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to get into all things supply, demand, and most importantly—inventory. According to Lance, we’re in the 25th percentile for weak housing markets, and one certain variable could increase our risk significantly, and it’s not getting much better. A “catalyst for risk” could push demand down even more, stunting already suffering housing markets. But there is hope. Domestic and international migration surged post-pandemic but has come to a standstill in the past few years. When this migration “cycle” restarts, certain states, especially those with the weakest housing markets right now, could benefit. And if mortgage rates lower again, breaking more of the “lock-in effect,” the market could change quickly. But which markets could “swing up” the fastest? In This Episode We Cover A real “catalyst for risk” that could cause an even weaker housing market The states that could see the biggest boosts once domestic and international migration return Investors: This is a sign that you should make an aggressive offer on a property Good news for interest rates? A “considerable improvement” in this key metric Why inventory is stabilizing in the hardest hit housing markets And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn't as Safe From Inflation as You Think ResiClub Lance’s LinkedIn Lance’s X Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-416. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Property taxes: banned. There are now more than a dozen states across the country seeking to limit, reduce, or outright eliminate property taxes—and the support behind the efforts is growing. As property taxes explode across the U.S., homeowners are facing an average 30% increase, curbing affordability efforts. As a result, Florida, North Dakota, Indiana, Texas, and other states are considering banning or heavily restricting property taxes. Today, we’re getting into the Great Property Tax Revolt of 2026. There are five types of property tax bills being proposed: assessment limitations, levy caps, homestead exemptions, credits and reductions, and tax swaps. These new property tax proposals could save homeowners thousands of dollars per year, but the side effects on local government budgets could be substantial. If we don’t have property taxes funding local services, what will? We’ll get into all of it and the top states’ proposals for eliminating or limiting property taxes. One often-overlooked state is funding its property tax elimination without any extra cost to homeowners. How will it work? And if primary homeowners get property tax breaks, will investors have to fill in the gaps with higher taxes? This is what could happen next. In This Episode We Cover Two states that could soon completely eliminate property taxes for primary residences The downside of lower (or no) property taxes: will other taxes jump as a result? What could happen to property values if your state decides to eliminate property taxes How property tax bans will affect real estate investors (will your tax bill go up or down?) Why property taxes have exploded 30% (and whether new assessments could push them higher) States with the highest (and lowest) property tax rates in 2026 And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Property Manager Finder On the Market 404 - 75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode? w/Mike Simonsen Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis: How higher property taxes increase home affordability Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-415. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is locked up once again before the most important time of the year—the spring homebuying season. With interest rates flying back up to the mid-6% range and inflation anxiety rearing back, Americans are once again stuck. And it’s not just first-time homebuyers; accidental landlords are hitting a new high as homes get even harder to sell. So, is the spring homebuying season… canceled? We’re back with this week’s headlines. First, we’ll start with the new job numbers—a massive increase over a very negative February. This is good news for the economy, but strong headwinds are hitting at the same time—rising mortgage rates, rising gas prices, and reignited inflation risks. It could be enough to throw off the traditionally strong spring homebuying season altogether. Accidental landlords are forming fast as they turn their flips, former primary residences, or inherited homes into rental properties. If you’re thinking about doing this—stop. James has strong cautionary advice for anyone about to become a first-time landlord. Finally, everyone is talking about data centers—do we invest in them or curb their construction? Here’s why Dave, Kathy, and James are very cautious about them. In This Episode We Cover New jobs report numbers and the strong bounce back from February 2026 Will oil prices flip us back to high inflation? What this means for mortgage rates Real-time trends on homebuyers and what we’re seeing in the market Why James says many people should not become accidental landlords and sell at a loss instead Are data centers really worth the hype? Why we’re not investing in them (yet), even with the growth of AI And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Property Manager Finder Stories from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-414. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Inflation is rising again, and everywhere on social media, we’re hearing people say, “Buy real estate!” Property is supposed to be the ultimate inflation hedge. The problem? Real estate may not save you from the inflation heading our way. In fact, home prices could get worse if things continue this way. But how? For decades, we’ve been told that real estate is the ultimate inflation hedge. It’s tracked rising prices very well and has been one of the most championed “safe” assets to buy. But do real estate prices always follow the path of inflation? What happens if consumer prices rise but renters are paid less, a recession hits, nobody can pay their bills, you can’t pay your mortgage, and home prices fall? This is a reality that real estate gurus tend not to think through—the other side of inflation. Today, we’re getting into it. Which inflation benefits real estate prices the most? Which of the four possible inflation scenarios could unfold as the world tilts toward uncertainty, and which assets protect your wealth regardless of the inflation rate? In This Episode We Cover Is real estate really a good hedge against inflation? Most people assume incorrectly The two types of inflation and how they (oppositely) affect real estate prices Four future scenarios we could see if inflation rises, falls, or stays the same What’s causing rising inflation right now? An April 2026 inflation update The four ways real estate will benefit during a traditionally high-inflation period And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Center for American Progress: Trump Administration Tariffs Could Result in 450,000 Fewer New Homes Through 2030 Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-413 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could be the best real estate “buy” of 2026. While mortgage rates are climbing back up and everyone is waiting out the housing market—again—one man is going all in: James Dainard. If you’ve listened to On the Market for a while, you know James is never not buying—but what he’s buying changes by the week, or even by the day. Last year, James got burned (a bit) on house flipping and new development, but reassessed his almost unbeatable investing framework and is now saying there’s one particular asset class he’s hungry to acquire—and it’s on serious discount. So today, we’re picking the brain of the man with 1,000+ rental units who’s flipped thousands of homes and knows the market better than any economist, since he’s on the ground buying and selling every single day. James shares the “best buy” of 2026, the one thing you must account for if you’re flipping or doing any renovation project, the single best rental for small investors to start with (and how to find them on-market at discount), and the one high-return deal he’d do as a new real estate investor. This is what’s working in real estate right now in 2026. In This Episode We Cover The overlooked (and underpriced) properties James is heavily targeting in 2026 How to find on-market, discounted rentals perfect for small investors The “buyer psychology” changes in the market that flippers must be aware of One high-return real estate deal new investors should heavily consider in 2026 One cost to add to every renovation project to ensure you stay on budget And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 410 - The First Domino? Investors Pull Billions as Real Estate Bank Runs Return Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1100 - The Ultimate Underrated Rental Property (for Small Investors) w/Brian Burke Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-412 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A $3 trillion market is beginning to crack. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has sounded off, saying there are “cockroaches” in the system. Investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the market, and real estate could be affected in a massive way. This is the private credit crisis explained. When big investors go to buy or build, they don’t always take money from a bank; instead, they get loans from the private credit market—lenders who operate outside of the traditional lending apparatus. But over the past four years, commercial real estate has seen values tank, income drop, and demand shrink for everything from office to multifamily and more. And the people who lend their money to private credit are starting to get nervous. Billions of dollars have already been pulled out of the market, with many investors going on “bank run” style withdrawal sprees. But, this isn’t only a commercial real estate problem—residential real estate could be affected if enough money leaves the systems. So what happens next? Will real estate prices fall even further as a result? Are we on the brink of a credit crisis mirroring the 2008 subprime bubble? We’re breaking it all down in this episode. In This Episode We Cover Private credit explained: who’s lending the money and what is being leveraged “Cracks” begin to form, and why investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the system Riskier commercial real estate debt that could trigger a “debt spiral” of serious proportions Why residential real estate is not completely safe if commercial real estate starts to fall further The one thing worrying experts the most about this hidden credit crisis And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 410 - The First Domino? Investors Pull Billions as Real Estate Bank Runs Return Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-411 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Investors are pulling billions of dollars (yes, billions) out of real estate investments at a record pace as “bank run” style withdrawals return. Blackstone has already seen record withdrawal requests of over $3 billion. Could this be the first domino to fall that could set off a private credit crisis, pulling multifamily prices down even more? We’re back with this week’s biggest headlines—from mortgage rates rising back to six-month highs to corporate headquarters being converted into housing—there’s almost too much to talk about happening in the housing market. First, mortgage interest rates flip as buyers get pushed back out of the market, but this could lead to even bigger discounts for investors. A lonely corporate headquarters building gets greenlit for conversion to housing. If this trend continues, we could see relief in housing supply strain. Investors pull a record amount of money from real estate investments—just as commercial real estate needs it most (this will have consequences). Finally, the “millionaire tax” makes its way through one state—and it could kill one type of real estate investing. In This Episode We Cover Investors go on a bank run—why they’re pulling billions of dollars from investments Mortgage rates boomerang back to around 6.5%, but investor deals could get even better The newest housing inventory opportunity and how to make a CEO’s office your new living room The millionaire tax is kicking profitable investors out of this popular market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile NewsTimes: 200 apartments floated at Duracell’s ‘gorgeous’ former world HQ in Bethel as workforce shrinks to 20 Ken McElroy: The Liquidity Problem No One Is Talking About Homes.com: As Washington 'millionaires tax' heads to governor, some agents see homeowners list Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-410. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A “structural shift” is happening in the housing market—one that will permanently change how home prices appreciate. We could be experiencing the last era of steady, rising home prices as we enter into a new reality—a reality without Baby Boomers owning real estate. For years, a “silver tsunami” has been predicted to “crash” the housing market. With Baby Boomers downsizing, aging in place, and passing away, the inevitable wave of inventory was supposed to hit the housing market with fury—but it hasn’t happened, at least not yet. With the average Baby Boomer now in their 70s, surely we should start to see inventory fly on the market…right? Today, we’re getting into when (and if) the silver tsunami will hit, why the end of the Baby Boomer generation could change the home price growth trajectory permanently, and what will unfold in the 2030s (and beyond) that could cause serious headwinds in the housing market. But if it all comes true, investors will have the opportunity of a lifetime to get something many have assumed is gone—cash flow. In This Episode We Cover The “silver tsunami” explained, and why it hasn’t crashed the housing market Inheritance begins to peak—how many heirs will keep vs. sell their parents’ homes? The “structural shift” that could change home price appreciation forever Just how much of the housing market Baby Boomers own (it’s a LOT) The return of cash flow? Why real estate investors will get another opportunity to buy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Goes Negative? On the Market 404 - 75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode? On the Market 408 - Melody Wright’s Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Crash Claim Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-409. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A housing price correction “worse than 2008”? That’s the headline of Melody Wright’s widely-cited Newsweek interview, but today, she’s giving her full, honest take on what she really meant. Melody got into the mortgage industry in 2006, riding the subprime wave up until it popped two years later. The lender she worked for went bankrupt in 2012, as Melody witnessed the fallout firsthand. From there, her new job became analyzing housing data to ensure this never happened again. And looking at the data—delinquencies rising, inventory spiking, a quiet “credit crisis” rarely talked about—Melody believes we could be on the verge of another serious correction. Today, we’re getting her detailed opinion on whether we should expect a housing crash, correction, or a slow, stable return to affordability. We talk at length about the rising delinquency rates (much of which is not public) signaling serious trouble for the housing market and borrowers, and the “credit crisis” brewing behind the scenes that could upend the market (especially for investors). This is what Melody Wright really thinks will happen next. In This Episode We Cover Melody’s real opinion on the “Worse Than 2008” claim Why Melody believes home prices could correct up to 50% in some markets The “credit crisis” brewing that uncovers a very weak homebuyer pool Delayed delinquency? Why more borrowers are beginning to inch closer to losing their homes The white-collar recession that will have serious effects on pricey real estate markets And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 407 - The White-Collar Recession Means More for Real Estate Than You Think Newsweek Price Correction ‘Worse Than 2008’ Coming To US Housing Market—Analyst Reuters JPMorgan marks down value of loan portfolios of some private credit groups, source says Realtor Housing Market Tilts in Favor of Buyers as Active Inventory Climbs Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-408. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The next recession is already here. You may not see it, but you definitely feel it. Companies are quietly letting go of dozens or hundreds of workers at a time, interviews are getting harder to land, and those around you who made the most money are suddenly just trying to get by. This is the “white collar recession”—and a new report could prove that it’s about to get much more severe. And what happens when the highest earners, those who buy homes and can get approved for mortgages, suddenly vanish from the housing market? The impacts could be widespread, and a permanent shift in real estate could be on the horizon. Today, we’re unpacking it all—which jobs are most (and least) at risk, what will happen to the housing market as high-income earners lose their salaries (and ability to buy homes), and the markets most reliant on these types of white-collar jobs. But it’s not all bad news. New opportunities could be emerging in select markets as a few major industries see stability, and one type of investment property becomes the most sought-after of all. In This Episode We Cover The “white collar recession” and the jobs most at risk due to AI Why this time it’s different, and a recession may be inevitable How the housing market will permanently shift as homebuyers lose their income The most stable housing markets with the best employment potential One type of investment property every investor needs to keep an eye on (demand could rise) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On The Market 401 - Off by Nearly 1 MILLION Jobs? Why New Jobs Report Will Impact Real Estate Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Anthropic Report Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-407. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Could the war in Iran reverse all the interest rate relief we’ve received throughout the past year? With oil shooting up in price, unintended consequences could trickle down to your mortgage rate—and Americans are already feeling the shock. The housing market is re-freezing as buyers (and sellers!) stay on the sidelines as the world feels more and more unstable. What does this mean for your mortgage rate? Some people say this could cause a housing crash; others argue the opposite. What’s really going to happen next? We’re back with a new headline episode, going through the top stories affecting the housing market. First, we’re talking about the Iran war and its effects on mortgage rates and the housing market. Then, the states leading the 'two-speed housing market': some are seeing significant price gains, while much of America's home prices are declining. Do you use an AI calling agent in your real estate business? You need to hear this first. A new lawsuit shows you could land in hot water unless you follow the rules. In This Episode We Cover Back to rising mortgage rates? Side effects of the Iran war on the U.S. housing market The hottest markets still seeing 4%+ price growth even in 2026 AI agents lead to lawsuit: What you should not do if you’re using AI callers for real estate Why so many Americans are moving from the coast inland to these cities Is the housing market freezing again? Why buyers and sellers are backing off And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Top 10 Markets Where Prices Will Rise and Fall in 2026 Headlines from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-406. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is split. Some real estate markets are seeing low inventory, rising prices, and fierce buyer competition. Others are seeing steep price cuts, desperate sellers, underwater owners, and delinquency rates creeping up. So, which housing markets are the riskiest in the country? Which market has the highest chance of seeing home price growth while the rest of America struggles for air? We’re doing a nationwide deep dive today, looking at the metrics that matter most—home price appreciation, affordability, delinquency rates and owner distress, and underwater mortgage share. Each of these data points will allow you to predict which markets will grow, slow, and struggle over the next year. Plus, Dave is sharing what each region of the country should be paying attention to as an investor, the riskiest markets of 2026, and the number one comeback city no one is expecting. In This Episode We Cover The riskiest housing markets in the U.S. that could see continued price declines Cities seeing a return to “affordability” as buyers get a big break Delinquency rates rising? Areas with these mortgage types see more owners fail to make payments The “comeback” cities that have the greatest home price growth potential Why “underwater mortgages” aren’t as scary as you think they are (but investors should still be careful) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 369 - Zillow Forecast: Best and Worst Housing Markets of 2026 Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-405. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Remember all those homes that were “delisted” in the fall and winter? The homes that sellers took off the market when they couldn’t get the price they wanted? Well, now, the frozen housing market is thawing, and 75,000 “relistings” could boomerang back into the market. With a new wave of inventory, would this be the catalyst for home prices to drop even more? Compass’s Mike Simonsen, friend of the show and all-time inventory expert, is back to give a quite contrarian take on the relisting inventory about to hit the real estate market. With the spring homebuying season about to peak in just a couple of months, former sellers now get a new chance to put their properties up again, in hopes that lower mortgage rates entice buyers. The crash predictors say that this new glut of inventory could cause prices to drop as the buyer’s market becomes even more one-sided. But Mike has a key piece of data that changes the story entirely, one that could be good for the future housing market and actually give transactions a modest boost. Mike says a “new era” of real estate is upon us—and it could last a while. In This Episode We Cover The “relisting” wave of inventory that could hit the housing market this spring Why home prices may not drop even with more properties on the market A “new era” of real estate that makes it even better to buy a home Why housing inventory is falling in states with the biggest home price corrections No forced selling? The reality that kills the housing crash narrative And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 378 - The “Delisting” Wave Putting Years of Housing Market Gains at Risk Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Follow Mike on LinkedIn Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-404 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
There’s a ticking time bomb for the U.S. housing market that nobody is talking about. It’s the biggest existential threat to home prices and housing demand, and it (arguably) can’t be stopped. The question is, how long do we have until it happens? Today, we’re talking about population: what happens when the U.S. population begins to decline, and the need for housing falls year after year? Deaths are already set to outpace births by 2031, meaning we’re just five short years away from this risky scenario becoming reality. What happens to home prices? Will millions of homes sit empty? Which markets will see their values fall the fastest? Is real estate still safe to invest in? Dave’s giving a masterclass on the population crisis, and how the housing market will be affected. From birth rates to immigration, baby boomers passing away (and passing down their houses), and cities that will face the biggest demographic headwinds, this is what every investor needs to know before 2031. In This Episode We Cover What happens to the housing market once the population begins to decline? Will our housing shortage flip to a supply glut as demand is forced to fall? The one thing propping up our population and how it’s starting to falter Short, medium, and long-term housing forecasts as population decline increases Lessons from Japan, Germany, and Italy: Where do home prices fall the fastest once populations decline? Markets that will be the safest when the population finally begins to flip And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area U.S. Immigration Crisis: What It Really Means for Housing Markets and Investors Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-403. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Many of President Trump’s tariffs have been canceled—and the housing market could stand to benefit. Could this be yet another sign that inflation is slowing and that mortgage rates can continue to fall? This is big news for the housing market, but it’s not even the biggest news of this episode. Today, we’re going over everything you may have missed. From the Supreme Court striking down tariffs in a majority vote to a major housing bill moving forward, to cities seeing the most new corporate headquarters (a serious sign of job growth), we’ve been busy taking stock of the stories affecting investors. We’ll get into how the tariff reversal will affect prices and mortgage rates (this may be great news), the new housing law that could make building, renovating, and financing even easier, Trump’s new “tokenized” real estate investments, and the markets that may see the biggest booms as jobs flood these areas. In This Episode We Cover Tariffs canceled: a win for the housing market as inflation risk reduces? The new housing supply and affordability bill that could pass the Senate soon The cities that are gaining (and losing) corporate headquarters (some are not so obvious) Would you invest in Trump’s “tokenized” real estate investment? The “crypto for real estate” push continues Will tariffs be returned to American citizens who paid them? One Supreme Court justice gives his honest take And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 399 - Buying (and Building) Houses Could Get a LOT Easier WSJ: Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Global Tariffs NAR: Bipartisan Housing Bill Passes House of Representatives BI: A crypto firm with ties to Trump will 'tokenize' some of the president's real estate empire Visual Capitalist: The U.S. Cities Gaining and Losing Corporate HQs Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave's Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-402. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Big economic news dropped last week: labor data, inflation rates, and huge jobs revisions. All of these are already impacting the housing market, but could new numbers cause an even greater shift that could affect your mortgage rate, your rents, and your next deal? Rental property owners, agents, sellers, and buyers: this news affects what you’re doing right now. New labor data beat the odds, with a surprising amount of hirings. But, with many of those hirings concentrated in a few specific fields, investors in markets with this line of work will need to watch carefully. And it wasn’t all good news—the largest jobs number revision in over a decade happened last week. The number of overreported jobs? It changes the picture entirely. A strong labor market could mean stagnant mortgage rates, but inflation data might just come in to save the day. With lower inflation readings, could the Fed get the confidence to cut once again? Finally, we’ll talk about exactly which types of homes will sell and which will stagnate on the market. One type of property is flying off the proverbial shelf, so if you can build, renovate, or rent it, you could be in luck. For the rest of investors, Dave has some cautious words of wisdom that could save you if this economic trend continues. In This Episode We Cover Off by nearly 1,000,000 jobs: Inside the largest jobs number revision in over a decade New inflation rate readings and whether we’re trending in the right direction More moves for mortgage rates? Positive data that could tip them a bit lower The one type of housing that has high demand, even as consumer sentiment stays low Why you either feel phenomenal or terrible about the U.S. economy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought BiggerPockets Real Estate - 1229 - Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Update) Grab the Book on "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-401. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Rental property financing is becoming much easier. For years, seven and eight-percent rates made it brutal to make deals work. But now, things are changing—for the better. Mortgage rates in the five-percent range? HELOCs with no closing costs? Seller concessions to buy down your interest rate, and a smoother path to affordable properties? It’s all culminating in 2026, and this could be one of the best years in recent memory to get a mortgage for a rental property. Today, we’re talking to Jeff Welgan, who's spent 22 years in the mortgage industry, and is bringing good news. Thought those ARM (adjustable-rate mortgage) loans were left behind in 2008? Safer, cheaper, and more flexible ARM loans are available to investors. With lower rates and longer fixed-rate periods, they could be the perfect option as mortgage rates continue to decline. Jeff also shares how you can get a HELOC with no closing costs, so you don’t have to give up that rock-bottom mortgage rate you secured in 2020. Plus, when to refinance, how low rates could go, and whether you still should buy down your rate in 2026. In This Episode We Cover Jeff’s 2026 mortgage rate prediction and the “range” he thinks rates will stay in Are ARMs back? Why adjustable-rate mortgages are cheaper, safer, and better for investors Should you pay down your interest rate? When Jeff says it is (and isn’t) worth it Why the mortgage industry’s cycle is about to end, and investors must be careful Got a high mortgage rate? This is when you should think about refinancing And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Find an Investor-Friendly Lender Today Free BiggerPockets Resources Jeff's BiggerPockets Profile Work with Jeff Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-400 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could be the most important shift in the housing market in years. Something truly remarkable just happened that will impact almost every facet of real estate. The “Housing for the 21st Century Act” just passed the House in a landslide vote, with bipartisan support from Democrats and Republicans. But unlike past housing proposals, this one focuses on the thing that could actually fix the housing market for good—supply. This could make building (and renovating) houses cheaper and faster, allow Americans to finance manufactured homes the same way we finance regular properties, expedite the permitting process for some new builds and rehabs, and give your local bank the ability to lend faster and easier than before. In short, this bill has a significant impact not only on everyday homeowners but also on real estate investors. The question is, will this fix the housing supply problem we’ve been plagued with? We’re digging into the six sections of this bill in today’s episode. In This Episode We Cover Why this new bill could be a monumental shift for the housing market Building just got even better—fewer permits, faster approvals, and more A huge win for affordable housing that could streamline cheaper homes for many Americans Will new supply kill appreciation? Why many investors are dead wrong about this Work with local banks? This new bill could be hugely advantageous for you Investors: do this now! How this bill will affect your investments once passed And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 392 - Trump’s Housing Proposals Could Work, There’s Just One Big Problem Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-399 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The “lock-in effect” is finally starting to break, and Americans are moving yet again. But, where are they going? The top cities people are moving to aren’t what you’d expect—in fact, many of them are where prices are actively falling. Is now the time to buy as populations grow and homes remain affordable? Three major housing market shifts are unfolding this week, and we're breaking them all down on this week's headlines episode. First, is the lock-in effect finally over? Before, the housing market was at a standstill, as homeowners with 3% mortgage rates refused even to consider selling. Now, after years of high rates slowly getting better, the tables have turned. Sellers are more willing to let their property go and tap into that huge pile of equity, but will this actually affect inventory? Then, the 2026 U-Haul Growth Index—where are people moving right now? The top metros and states could surprise you, as many of them have falling home prices. Finally, is housing inventory getting worse? It felt for a while that buyers had their pick, but now, the trend is starting to reverse, and sellers may gain even more control. In This Episode We Cover U-Haul’s top in-migration cities, metros, and states The end of the lock-in effect? Why homeowners aren’t staying put to keep their low rate This city's job market is “on fire” and seeing a strong influx of residents Did housing inventory growth already reverse? Why sellers are finally getting fast offers Signs to buy during a correction: cities that are growing but seeing lower home prices And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dallas-Fort Worth Remains Projected as the Top Housing Market For the Second Year in a Row Fortune: ‘Something big’ just happened in the U.S. housing market U-Haul Growth Index Realtor: Inventory Gains Slow Down in January Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Henry’s Book, "Real Estate Deal Maker" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-398 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A new Fed Chair has been nominated—and he could do what no Fed has done before. Kevin Warsh, the youngest Fed governor appointed, serving during the Great Financial Crisis, is Trump’s new pick, and his decisions could have major impacts on the housing market. But the mainstream media is missing a few key variables, falsely assuming that Warsh will kick off a series of rate cuts that end in lower interest rates. But, in reality, something completely different could happen—something that the Fed has never tried before. Warsh has strong opinions on quantitative easing (money printing) and wants to, in essence, delete some of the money the Fed has created over years of buying bonds and mortgage-backed securities. At the same time, Warsh will most likely push for rate cuts—a challenge given the Fed’s divided members. So, what does this mean for mortgage rates? Could we see rates actually rise due to Warsh’s plans, or could ending quantitative easing boost market confidence and lower long-term mortgage rates? We’re getting into it all, plus what investors should do now regardless of what the Fed’s next moves are. In This Episode We Cover Trump’s new Federal Reserve Chair pick and why Trump is so keen to kick Powell out Higher mortgage rates incoming? What everyone is getting wrong about the Warsh pick The end of money printing: Why the new Fed Chair pick wants to delete dollars off the balance sheet Something the Fed has never done before: Can you lower rates while keeping inflation in check? The one type of real estate that could greatly benefit from the moves Warsh will make And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders A New Fed Chairman is Coming Soon—Here’s What Their Potential Low-Rate Policy Will Mean For Investors Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-397 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This type of rental property is seeing “explosive” demand. But, they’re cheaper than many regular rental properties, get 30% more rent, and take less work than vacation rentals. More and more Americans are using them, and where they’re needed most, there’s not much supply. You might have thought it wouldn’t last, but medium-term rentals are becoming the rental property investor’s cash cow—and we have new data to prove it. Jeff Hurst, CEO of Furnished Finder, teamed up with the short-term rental data experts at AirDNA to release a new report on monthly rentals. This could change everything you’ve thought about the space. Investors are making more money with smaller properties, and demand is growing—fast. Tenants are extending their stays, while paying a 30%-50% premium over traditional rentals, but the cost to furnish is a fraction of what it would be for a short-term rental. But Jeff says there’s a “sweet spot” medium-term rental—and it’s one of the least expensive properties you can buy. Even better, your long-term rental could be the perfect pick. It might be time to look at medium-term rentals again. In This Episode We Cover The new report from Furnished Finder and AirDNA showing the massive demand for medium-term rentals How to make 30%-50% more revenue by turning your long-term rental into a monthly stay Is the medium-term rental market oversupplied, like the short-term rental market? The data might surprise you How to immediately test whether your long-term rental would work with this strategy The “sweet spot” medium-term rental that costs less and has strong demand from monthly renters And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On the Market 261 - This Could Be Like Getting into Airbnb in 2012 w/Jeff Hurst Read the New Furnished Finder + AirDNA Report Furnished Finder Market Insights Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the BiggerPockets Book on Medium-Term Rentals, "30-Day Stay" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-396 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The 18-year real estate cycle calls for a crash in 2026. It correctly predicted the 2008 crash, it was right for decades in a row in the 1800s, and many say it’s the one true oracle for home prices. Funnily enough, it’s been 18 years since 2008, and home prices are starting to peak. But is there enough data to trust in this housing market cycle? Should you be selling your properties just shy of every 18 years to load up on low prices during the next predicted housing crash? Or, is this just a conveniently (somewhat) accurate theory that crash bros use to get maximum clicks? Today, Dave is reviewing the evidence and sharing the cases from economists on whether the 18-year cycle exists. The theory calls for a crash worse than 2008 this year, but is there any evidence to support this claim? You might be surprised, but Dave does agree with parts of this theory. In This Episode We Cover 2026 housing crash? Why the 18-year real estate cycle says we’re at the end of an era The “phases” of the real estate cycle explained (from bust to boom) Did the cycle end? Why home prices may have already peaked years ago 2008 vs. 2026: What could cause a housing crash to happen this year The (surprisingly) accurate 18-year predictions for decades in a row And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area The Four Stages Of The Real Estate Cycle Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Grab the Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-395 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could open up homebuying for millions of Americans. The question is: Is it worth it? A new housing proposal from the Trump administration adds yet another lever that first-time buyers can pull to pay for their first house. But it’s got financial advisors sweating. We’re back with another headline episode, talking about recent moves shaking up the housing market. First, some good news from Redfin that shows the housing market is actually getting more… affordable? That’s right. A substantial decline in housing costs may be just the start as homebuyer purchasing power grows year over year. We’re on the right track…but will it continue? Next, why mortgage rates went back up after Trump’s proposed $200B bond-buying exercise—when many expected rates to keep falling. Using a 401(k) to buy a home? One new proposal could make it penalty-free, opening up access to hundreds of thousands of dollars for average Americans. Finally, the big investor ban begins, but here’s what the actual executive order says. In This Episode We Cover Penalty-free 401(k) down payments? The On the Market panel is sharply divided Affordability sees a massive win, but will it keep improving? Why mortgage rates didn’t keep declining after Trump’s $200B bond purchase proposal President Trump signs the long-awaited big investor ban—but will it actually change anything for homebuyers? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 392 - Trump's Housing Proposals Could Work, There's Just One Problem Redfin: Monthly Housing Costs Start the Year Down 5%, the Biggest Decline in Over a Year Reuters: Trump's mortgage-backed bond purchases not moving needle on housing costs HousingWire: Tapping a 401(k) for homeownership is risky business, experts say TIME: Trump Is Moving to Bar Wall Street Firms From Buying Single-Family Homes. Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-394 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We’re always talking about residential real estate. But what about that “other” market, the one worth $24 trillion? It’s no secret that commercial real estate has had one of its toughest stretches in many years, with many calling it an outright “crash.” If we’ve already reached the bottom, could large multifamily and other assets be poised for a huge turnaround in 2026? Over the last couple of years, we’ve seen multifamily, office, retail, and even self storage prices tumble due to several factors: rising mortgage rates, rate adjustments on commercial debt, higher cap rates, tighter lending criteria, and more supply coming online. This “perfect storm” has put significant downward pressure on commercial property values, causing forced selling and scaring many investors away. But these same challenges could create opportunity, especially if prices stabilize over the next 12 months. We break down the variables at play, the most compelling bull and bear cases for these assets, and how investors can protect themselves with “scared” real estate analysis. Dave is ready to take advantage, but which asset is he betting on? In This Episode We Cover Dave’s 2026 predictions for the commercial real estate market Whether large multifamily values could bounce back in 2026 The “perfect storm” that caused the steep decline in large multifamily prices The bull and bear cases for a commercial real estate turnaround The asset class that is least likely to recover from the commercial “crash” Four tips for investors looking to buy multifamily properties in the next 12 months And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1073 - The Opportunity is Coming in Commercial Real Estate (How to Take Advantage) Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Yardi CoStar FRED Buy the Book, "The Multifamily Millionaire, Vol. I" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-393 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is unaffordable. But the Trump administration is trying to change that. The question is: Will any of their proposals actually work? Trump’s housing policy is clear: make buying a house more affordable for the average American. The President has floated 50-year mortgages, portable mortgages, purchasing mortgage bonds, and banning institutional investors. All of these, to some extent, could make the housing market more affordable. But, there’s one big problem that these policies overlook—one that could make a future crash or bubble much more likely. Today, we’re breaking down the Trump administration’s top housing policies and giving an honest look at which could work, which might be just hype, and whether any will actually fix the unaffordable housing market. Plus, Dave offers his own proposal for what could change the housing market (for good) and why investor “upside” could grow if any of Trump’s proposals actually pass. Is this a boon for affordability, or could Trump’s best efforts backfire? In This Episode We Cover Trump’s current proposals to make the housing market more affordable (and which will work) The crucial problem with the housing market 99% of politicians won’t touch on A real estate bubble? A housing market crash? Why “affordable” changes could backfire 2026’s most likely scenario and why Dave is planning to buy even more real estate Growing “upside” for rentals as Trump policies help homeowners get in the game And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On the Market 373 - Trump Floats 50-Year Mortgages: Cash Flow Boost or Affordability Illusion? On the Market 375 - Keep Your 3% Rate Forever? “Portable” Mortgages Could Be Coming Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-392 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Big investors could be banned from buying single-family homes, mortgage rates drop to the lowest level in years, and one forgotten sector of real estate is predicted to “break out” in 2026. We’re only two weeks into the new year, but the housing market is shifting by the minute. Mortgage rates fell into the 5% range last week as President Trump announced a plan to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds. But this time, there’s no money printing involved. The question is…how long will these low rates last? Is this a temporary Band-Aid or a crucial move to get us closer to 5% mortgage rates? But it’s getting even better for first-time homebuyers and small investors. Institutional investors could be banned from buying single-family homes, not only providing inventory relief but also preventing unfair competition in the market. This could be huge in a select few cities across the US, especially as HousingWire predicts one specific single-family investing strategy could see profits surge in 2026. In This Episode We Cover The new big investor “ban” and Trump’s urge to kick institutional money out of the housing market One investing strategy HousingWire says has huge profit potential in 2026 Mortgage rates fall within 5% range through bond-buying—is this any different than quantitative easing? Sellers continue to dwarf buyers, and these pockets are where you’ll find your best opportunities And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area President Trump Proposes to Ban Institutional Investors From Buying Single-Family Homes Articles from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile CNN: Trump orders ‘my representatives’ to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds CNN: Trump threatens to ban institutional investors HousingWire: Why the fix-and-flip sector is poised for a breakout in 2026 Redfin: The U.S. Housing Market Has 37% More Sellers Than Buyers Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-391 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A new economic bubble could be forming, and this time, it isn’t real estate. A $20 trillion ticking time bomb could explode if one thing doesn’t go completely right…the AI industry. And the effects could be felt far beyond the stock market, with real estate taking a hit as well. The question is: Is the AI bubble close to popping, or are we on the precipice of a new era of economic growth? Dave researched so you don’t have to, compiling the bullish and bearish arguments for AI. Top tech companies are spending over $500 billion in 2026 alone to make the AI dream come true, but strong counterarguments just might prove that those AI investments won’t pay off. If the AI bubble bursts within the next few years, what will it do to the stock market? How will it affect home prices? And what is Dave doing right now with his money to protect against the downsides and position himself for the upsides if the AI bubble does finally burst? This is what could happen next. In This Episode We Cover A $527 billion bet that top tech companies are making on AI (is it worth it?) What happens to home prices if over-hyped AI causes a stock market correction or crash Four strong reasons why the AI bubble will (or won’t) burst A $20 trillion ticking time bomb for the US economy if the AI industry doesn’t hit its targets Why 99% of real estate investors are wrong about buying near data centers (be very careful) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1188 - AI Could Take Your Job, But It Can't Take Your Real Estate Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Gita Gopinath’s Big Warning: $35 Trillion Wealth Could be Wiped Out? Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-390 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could be the best time to buy a rental property in years. Don’t take our word for it, a new investor sentiment survey shows a sharp surge in optimism as investors flipped from cautious to bullish going into 2026. And this hope for the housing market isn’t unfounded. In fact, almost all the data shows better buying conditions, more options, and even improved affordability. If you’re still believing the “housing crash” hype, 2026 could be a big wakeup call. Wanting the investor side of the story, we put together a brand new investor sentiment survey, tracking how real estate investors feel going into 2026, what they’re most excited and nervous about, and whether they’re looking to purchase or pause over the next year. Today, we’re sharing the results. We’ll also get into affordability, new inventory forecasts from the most accurate data providers in the market, and the strategy that real estate investors have the most confidence in for the 2026 housing market. If you thought investors were mass selling like the news and crash bros were telling you, this new data might be a big surprise. In This Episode We Cover Newest investor sentiment survey and why investors are becoming more bullish A huge win for housing affordability (and whether it will get better in 2026) Housing inventory forecasts from last year’s most accurate economists The biggest challenge for real estate investors in 2026 (not so obvious) One strategy that investors are betting on more than ever And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1222 - The 2026 State of Real Estate Investing: An “Easier” Road Ahead Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Pulse Investor Sentiment Survey Bright MLS 2026 Forecast Compass 2026 Forecast Realtor 2026 Forecast Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-389 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2026 is finally here! And if you can still read this sentence without seeing double, you’ve made it! But this year, things are going to be a little… different. We usually talk about the best places or strategies for buying rentals, but we’re going on a bit of a detour to start the year by discussing our real estate resolutions, all of which will actively help us retire early. Want to retire with rentals, too? This is the episode for you, and we’re sharing the strategies we’re using in 2026 to get there. Kathy shares a new way she’s optimizing her real estate portfolio, with the goal to increase cash flow by 10% on her current portfolio (not buying more rentals!). Henry takes an opposite approach to most investors, opting not to scale his portfolio and instead doing something much safer. Dave details his “End Game”—the ultimate real estate portfolio for early retirement. You can copy these experts’ strategies in 2026 to retire with rentals, too! In This Episode We Cover How to use AI to optimize your portfolio and find the cash flow blind spots where you’re losing potential profits Stop scaling? Why Henry is making moves to pay off some rentals instead (and whether you should, too) Building your “End Game” portfolio to retire with rentals you actually enjoy owning The three “buckets” of investing and a sign you’ve already outgrown yours (it could cost you) Henry and Dave’s real goal that has nothing to do with real estate (can you help them out?) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Should You Pay Off Your Mortgage Early or Invest? Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Kathy’s Book, "Scaling Smart" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-388 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Home prices are about to “bend”...but will they break? The 2026 housing market could be another year of a correction, but how low could we go? Last week, we gave our mortgage rate predictions for 2026; this week, we’re focusing on home price forecasts. The housing market is stuck, and something needs to give. Americans can’t afford homes at these high prices, but with so many “locked-in” homeowners, where will the new supply come from? There are a few scenarios that could unfold, with different results that could greatly impact your buying, selling, and wealth-building. This year feels…different. And while Dave shares his “most likely” scenario for home prices, two other scenarios (“upside” and “downside”) aren’t worth ruling out just yet. One “X factor” could shoot home prices high, with Americans rushing back to buy. But a downside risk could drive our correction even deeper. Dave describes the rental properties he’s looking to buy during this year of opportunity, along with the rules you must follow so you don’t get burned. In This Episode We Cover 2026 home price predictions and whether the correction will continue into next year The one crucial factor driving home prices (and what happens when it changes) The “range” that home prices could be in this year, and what inflation-adjusted prices will look like The “X factor” that has a chance to reset the hot housing market and drive down mortgage rates What Dave is buying now and his exact buy box for “The Great Stall” market we’re entering And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Get Tickets to the Cash Flow Road Show! BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions BiggerPockets Real Estate 1197 - The “Great Stall” Has Begun Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-387 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Has real estate finally bottomed? Ben Miller, CEO of Fundrise (managing over $7B in real estate), says it’s so. And he’s not just talking about commercial real estate. If true, one particular type of real estate investment could do exceptionally well over the next year, but most people (even Dave!) are going in a different direction. Where could the next big real estate boom happen? We’re getting into it! To continue this prediction season, Ben joins us to walk through a few crucial economic outlooks that could greatly affect the housing market. From AI stunting hiring to inflation actually going down (below 2%!), American wage trends changing dramatically, and the assets that will perform best, we’re getting his take as someone who manages billions of dollars in real estate. Want mortgage rates to go down? We need lower inflation, and Ben says there’s good news on the horizon for stable prices. New technology adoption could lead to much lower inflation (even deflation in some cases). Could this be what reignites the housing market as mortgage rates react to a more stable economy? Ben gives his full take, with some surprises even Dave wasn’t prepared for. In This Episode We Cover The bottom for real estate prices? Why Ben thinks it’s here (or very close) The end of runaway inflation: How AI could kill the concern over rising costs More Americans making less, and what happens when AI takes tens of millions of jobs The one type of residential real estate that is poised to perform best in 2026 A new AI tool that could be pivotal for rental property investing research And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Get Tickets to the Cash Flow Roadshow! BiggerPockets Real Estate 1059 - 2025’s Massive Opportunity for Real Estate Investing (Before It’s Too Late) w/Ben Miller RealAI Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-386 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could be the most encouraging sign for the housing market in years. It’s the final month of 2025, and the housing market has flipped from this time last year. Real prices are down, mortgage rates are near a percent lower, inventory is stabilizing, and affordability…it’s actually improving. But hints at a wave of underwater mortgages are making people nervous. With the number rising, is this the “distress” signal many have been waiting for? We’re getting into it all: home price, mortgage rate, and inventory updates, plus a new seller trend that is causing serious confusion, and could be the final nail in the “housing market crash” coffin. With sellers doing what nobody expects, next year could get interesting. More homeowners are falling “underwater” on their mortgages. Is this a 2008 repeat or just a blip on the real estate radar? Some economists are worried about rising delinquencies, but a high-level view of the data could point to an entirely different conclusion. In This Episode We Cover Sellers do what nobody expects, and it’s killing the “crash” narrative Underwater mortgages are surging, but are homeowners really in danger? The best news we’ve had in three years? A massive win for housing affordability Mortgage rate momentum and whether now is the right time to refinance The key affordability improvements we’ve seen since the start of 2025 And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Property Manager Finder BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything Redfin Housing Market Data Mortgage Monitor MarketWatch: Nearly 900,000 homeowners are underwater on their mortgage Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-385 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is this the year the real recession finally hits? Could a new “land rush” spark a buying spree throughout the U.S. for coveted dirt that makes investors millions? And why is one type of rental property owner about to sell off their homes, ready to give you a sizable discount? We’re still in the swing of prediction season, so this time, we’re giving you our boldest 2026 housing market predictions yet. We’re not talking mortgage rate predictions or home price predictions (we’ve already done that). This time, we’re sharing which real estate could take off or break down—and which could make savvy investors rich, if they’re able to buy the right deals. Some opportunities (like one we’re sharing today) only happen once in a decade, and we’re already getting the jump on them. Henry shares his insider secrets, noting that one specific type of rental is starting to hit the market as once-optimistic owners give up, opting to sell their properties without making a profit. This could be a huge opportunity to pick up homes in great shape and in solid markets at a discount. Dave talks about why this may be the year we finally get a recession and offers some cautious words of wisdom to everyone out there, as “chaos” might be in store. In This Episode We Cover A new land rush? The “opportunity” that is making investors buy the best-located dirt they can Airbnb owners give up: why your next rental property might be a failed short-term rental The “common person’s recession” that will have a massive impact on the economy New “Big Beautiful Bill” changes that could make some investors very rich The best year for new investors? Why 2026 could be the easiest time in years to invest in rental properties And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-384 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The biggest announcement of last week’s Fed meeting had nothing to do with rate cuts. Instead, a quiet, mostly overlooked statement from the Federal Reserve could mean huge things for the economy, mortgage rates, and most importantly, the housing market. The mainstream seems to have missed it, focusing on the obvious news, but we’re breaking down the Fed’s new emergency tactic to stabilize the economy. What many thought would be a standard 0.25% rate-cut meeting was anything but. A fractured Fed, now split on rate cuts more than in prior years, has adopted a new tactic. Could this strategy be a return to a dangerous past—the days of “quantitative easing” (AKA money printing)? Or, does the Fed know what it’s doing, taking a more cautious approach than last time? We’ll break down the entire Fed story and share some crucial updates on housing inventory and affordability. Some markets are entering 2026 strong, with significantly lower inventory than pre-pandemic levels. Others could correct (or even crash) harder. Dave gives his opinion on which are which, sharing the markets that will thrive and the ones where home prices could dive. In This Episode We Cover The Fed’s new emergency measure designed to stabilize the economy and interest rates Money printing 2.0: Are we on a path back to dangerous quantitative easing? New rate cut forecast for 2026 and 2027 directly from the Fed The riskiest (and seemingly safest) real estate markets going into 2026 The most affordable city in the U.S., and why it could thrive next year And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders A New Fed Chairman is Coming Soon—Here’s What Their Potential Low-Rate Policy Will Mean For Investors Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-383 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This might be the easiest time to find real estate deals in years—and early signs suggest 2026 could be even better. The year is almost over, so today, we’re reviewing our favorite trends, tactics, and real estate investing strategies of 2025. Plus, many of them will last well into 2026. These are the things that we’re focusing on next year, and there’s a lot of good news for investors. This is shaping up to be one of the easiest times in years to find profitable real estate deals. But we’re not just talking rentals—we share a “mailbox money” investment that’s still holding strong in 2025 (and could in 2026). Plus, Dave details a “slow” strategy that builds wealth with way less stress—one that both he and James are going all-in on. Tired of sharing your profits with the tax man? A massive tax benefit that returned this year will last into 2026, and Kathy is ready to take full advantage of it. In This Episode We Cover Why 2026 could be one of the easiest times to find real estate deals in years Dave’s “slow” investing strategy is making (patient) investors rich into 2026 Don’t buy rentals! Be the bank instead with this strategy (sizable passive income) Best tax break ever? It’s back, and it’s here to stay through 2026 Good news for first-time homebuyers, investors, and the entire country! And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1172 - How to Do a “Slow BRRRR” in 2025 (Better Than BRRRR) Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Henry’s Book, "Real Estate Deal Maker" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-382 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We’re only a week away from winter, but the housing market is heating back up. Demand is rising as savvy buyers know that lower prices peak during the holiday season. But one crucial cohort is nowhere to be found…and it could have damaging consequences for the housing market as a whole. We’re back with another headline episode, taking the biggest stories from the housing market and giving our takes so you can make the best investing decision possible. This winter is feeling warmer for housing as demand does what no one expects—increases during the seasonally slow period of the year. What’s causing it—lower rates, FOMO, or something else entirely? Remember when people in their 20s used to buy houses? Well…not anymore. The new first-time homebuyer age reached a worrying new high, one that many of us couldn’t even believe. DSCR loan defaults are starting to tick up, doubling from this time last year. Is this a bigger deal than many think, and could it bring discounted investment properties to the table? Finally, Dave shares a sneak peek at BiggerPockets’ newest investor survey, where investors share what they think is coming in 2026…and there’s a lot to be excited about. In This Episode We Cover The new median age of America’s first-time homebuyers (borderline alarming) Why housing demand is going up during the (traditionally) slowest time of the year Delinquencies rising for DSCR loans? Why investors are defaulting twice as much as last year A year of optimism: surprising finds from BiggerPockets’ newest investor sentiment survey The #1 best strategy investors are betting on for 2026 And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders BiggerPockets Real Estate 1210 - 2026 Home Price Predictions: The Correction Continues? Articles from Today’s Episode: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-381 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Redfin just called it. The housing market will “reset” in 2026…or at least it’ll be the start of it. Chen Zhao, head of economics research and a returning guest on the show, has 11 predictions she and her team have formulated for the 2026 housing market. A long, slow period of progress could be upon us, as buyers get what they’ve been asking for: better affordability, a more normal market, and the chance to own where there’s work. But what does this really mean? Will mortgage rates fall? Will home prices drop? We’re going through each of the 11 predictions with Chen, discussing prices, rates, rents, refinances, transaction volume, and even how AI could become the “matchmaker” for Americans looking for their first or next property. Make no mistake, this is good news for many, and could be just the start of a cycle that finally puts average Americans in the position to purchase a home. But, for real estate investors and landlords, there could be another big benefit coming in 2026, one that has a direct impact on your cash flow. In This Episode We Cover Redfin’s 2026 housing market predictions (prices, mortgage rates, and more!) The great “reset” that is coming for the housing market (it’s already begun) Rent growth returns? Struggling landlords could get some relief next year The best and worst real estate markets that Redfin is forecasting for 2026 The AI effect on real estate and why more buyers are using bots to find homes And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Redfin’s 2026 Predictions: Welcome to The Great Housing Reset Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-380 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Stock prices are up, home prices are high, gold, silver, and bitcoin have all had major bull runs. But the average American is broke. This is the “K-shaped” economy. If you feel like it’s harder to get by and the barrier to entry to invest is rising, you’re not going crazy. We’re in a new economy—a “K-shaped” economy—where those who own assets see their net worth soar as the middle class and average Americans watch their bank accounts shrink. This is not the place Americans want to be in right now, and the delicate balance that holds up our entire economy could fall apart sooner than we think. Dave explains what a K-shaped economy is, how it could bleed into the housing market, and whether this feast-or-famine system can survive much longer. Plus, he’ll share a shocking statistic that shows just how hard things are for ordinary Americans, and how a tiny minority is holding up the entire economy. In This Episode We Cover A “K-shaped” economy explained, and why Americans feel broke as asset prices soar A shocking statistic that shows just how unstable the American economy is Housing market side effects and the surprising age of America’s first-time homebuyer The widening wealth gap making investing harder for everyday people The three things that are keeping the middle class struggling (and why it’s gotten worse) Tough times ahead? Why America’s economy may be riding on billionaires and bubbles And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Redfin Reports U.S. Luxury Home Prices Jump 5.5% in October, Triple the Pace of Non-Luxury Homes Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-379 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Years of housing market gains could be at risk, and it’s not because of mortgage rates, the Fed, or the US government…it’s because of sellers. Since 2022, we’ve seen housing inventory rise, home prices stabilize (and fall in many major markets), and affordability slightly improve for buyers (thanks to higher supply and lower demand). But now, a new wave of “delistings” could put the future of the housing market in jeopardy. Sellers are refusing to settle, and they’re walking away at the fastest pace in eight years. So, what’s next? A housing crash? A continued correction? If the delistings continue, one scenario could come to fruition, and it’s not what buyers want to hear. Dave walks through the new delistings data in this episode and shares some startling statistics on just how bad things are for young Americans. If the next generation can’t buy or rent a home…what happens to the economy? In This Episode We Cover The “delisting” wave hitting an eight-year high and putting years of affordability gains at risk Correction or crash? Why sellers are far less desperate than most people think Markets with the most delistings and where inventory could start to reverse first Cracks in the US economy and the trouble that young Americans are in Lower rent growth for longer? What happens when college graduates CAN’T get a job (or rent an apartment/house)? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-378 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is not going to crash tomorrow. It’s also not going to boom soon. We’re not in 2008, and we’re also not in 2020. We’re in a strange gray area, a zone that most Americans have never experienced before. We’re entering the “Great Stall.” And this could last for years. All data points to a new kind of housing market forming. But why, and why now? Is there any chance of a housing crash or home price explosion like before? Yes, but Dave is going to break down the odds of each scenario, plus what to do in the most likely scenario, while home prices stagnate and mortgage rates stay relatively high. If you want to take advantage of the “Great Stall,” so that when home prices do go back up you’ll profit, there are four things you need to do. We’ll break down each step so you can prepare and pounce on the investment property that makes your future self wealthy. The “Great Stall” is here, and when it’s over, millions of Americans will wish they had bought. In This Episode We Cover Crash, boom, or plateau? The most likely scenario for home prices over the next few years How to prepare for the “Great Stall” and take advantage of frozen home prices The “upsides” you must look for that could explode your wealth when appreciation returns Why you need to start going “risk-off” in your investing to protect your wealth What will finally cause home prices to rebound and Americans to get back into the market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 365 - This Housing Correction Could Last Years Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Build Your Investing Strategy BEFORE You Buy with "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-377 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This could break the mortgage system as we know it. But, is it worth it? New “portable mortgages” have been floated by the Trump Administration and FHFA (Federal Housing Finance Agency), allowing homeowners to take their rock-bottom mortgage rates with them when they purchase a new home. The question is: will it work? We’re breaking down the likelihood of portable mortgages, how they currently work in countries like Canada, and the pros and cons for the average American. Most people are thinking about the upsides of a portable mortgage, but the downsides are equally severe. Would this really make sense in America? Dave is doing a deep dive into how the U.S. mortgage system works and whether new portable mortgages could break it, leading to the downfall of arguably the greatest home loan on the planet—the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Plus, how much more could it cost you to take out one of these portable loans? In This Episode We Cover Portable mortgages explained and how they actually work in countries like Canada How portable mortgages could “break” the fragile home loan system in the U.S. Pros and cons of portable mortgages that could help or hurt many Americans Increased fees, mortgage rates, and prepayment penalties? Why nobody is talking about the side effects of portable mortgages Does Dave think this is a good idea? (strong opinion warning) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 373 - Trump Floats 50-Year Mortgages: Cash Flow Boost or Affordability Illusion? Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-376 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What if you could transfer your 3% mortgage rate to a new property? It could be possible in the near future. A new type of home loan would allow borrowers to move their mortgage rate when they sell and buy a new property, effectively ending the “lock-in effect” plaguing the housing market. Could a loan like this really come to fruition? We’re back on another headline episode, touching on real estate’s top stories that you need to hear to invest better than the masses. First, we’re talking about “portable mortgages,” another push for affordability from the Trump administration. You may be able to transfer your low rate…but for how long? Then, we touch on the real reason the housing market is stuck in purgatory, and the only way we’ll bounce back. Is this the fall of house flipping? James goes public (front-page news!) with a six-figure loss and shares the truth about how hard it is to flip houses right now. Finally, we answer the question every 13-28-year-old is asking: Is Gen Z screwed? With a tanking job market, there’s only one way for them to survive… In This Episode We Cover New “portable” mortgage potential that could let you take your rate to a new home The fall of house flipping? Why even James is struggling to make a profit A shocking statistic about the average homeowner (why the housing market is stuck) No more trust funds: why “home inheritance” is becoming the new normal Gen Z can’t find jobs: here’s what they should be doing instead And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 373 - Trump Floats 50-Year Mortgages Headlines from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Learn Flipping from the Pros with James’ Book, "The House Flipping Framework" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-375 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Another year is nearly in the books. The 2025 housing market was largely defined by construction oversupply, sluggish rent growth, flat home prices, and widespread turbulence, with residential real estate moving far more slowly than anticipated and commercial real estate all but grinding to a halt. Yet it appears we’ve reached the bottom, and the silver lining is clear: real estate is still ripe with opportunity for investors who are willing to play the long game. Today, Brian Burke returns to the show to share where investors should be directing their attention in 2026. Perhaps unsurprisingly, one asset class continues to deliver for investors who are intent on building long-term wealth with real estate. And Brian believes we may be entering a period that could mirror the early 1990s, where the wisest move is to slowly accumulate these assets before the next wave of appreciation. Slower rent growth might keep otherwise great assets from paying off in year one, but those who persevere through a “season of patience” stand to be rewarded when it really counts: 5 or 10 years from now. In This Episode We Cover Forecasting new construction, home prices, and mortgage rates in 2026 Why a period mirroring the early 1990s could be followed by a 2000s-style boom The roadmap for building generational wealth with small multifamily properties Why investors should focus on asset accumulation in a “season of patience” The asset Brian believes is the biggest “bright spot” in a tough housing market The benefits and potential dangers of the controversial 50-year mortgage And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders 3 Steps to Buying Your First (or Next) Small Multifamily Property Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Pick Up "The Multifamily Millionaire, Vol I" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-374 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
50-year mortgages could be coming sooner than we expected. This week, President Trump announced on social media the possibility of longer mortgage terms hitting the housing market. Extending the standard 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to 50 years will have massive implications for home prices, affordability, and cash flow for rental property investors. The question is: Will it actually happen? And if it does, how would these new mortgage rules affect your returns on real estate? We did the math, comparing a 30-year mortgage vs. a 50-year mortgage to see which gives you bigger (total) returns and builds your wealth faster. The cash flow differences are notable and could mark significant improvements for landlords, but one drawback could be so great that investors turn away from this new mortgage entirely. Dave gives the pros and cons, shares what housing market experts are concerned about, and answers the question: Would he use a 50-year mortgage if given the option? In This Episode We Cover Trump’s new 50-year mortgage proposal that could change the housing market 30-year vs. 50-year mortgage returns on rental properties (cash flow, amortization, total returns) Why one outspoken housing expert is growing concerned about the support for 50-year mortgages One massive tradeoff that most Americans aren’t aware of when using a longer mortgage period Is a 50-year mortgage even…legal? What the current mortgage regulations say is and isn’t allowed And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Amortization in Real Estate: What It Is & How To Calculate It Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Run Your Rental Numbers with Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-373 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The United States is on the brink of a recession, according to major multinational bank UBS. Meanwhile, America’s largest bank, JPMorgan Chase, says recession risk is only at 40%. Who’s right? Who’s wrong? We’re using a new recession indicator in this episode to reveal America’s real risk of sliding into another downturn. If it feels like your dollar doesn’t go as far as it used to and your salary is barely keeping up—you’re not imagining it. But according to official sources, America has only been in a recession for three months since the Great Financial Crisis. That can’t be right when it’s getting this hard to get by. That’s why, in this episode, Dave shares his new recession indicator, based on the average American’s finances, to measure the financial health of real Americans, not what corporate earnings reports suggest. Looking back, the economic data doesn’t fit the official narrative. And if you feel like you’ve been in a recession for years, you might be right. But you can still protect (and grow) your wealth while the economy falters. Are your investments keeping your real wealth afloat? In This Episode We Cover The new “recession indicator” that forecasts whether average Americans will struggle or not Recession predictions from top banks and whether we’re on the precipice of a crisis Why the standard definition of a “recession” is wrong and ignores average Americans The alarming statistic that shows just how much of your spending power has been eaten away How to recession-proof your finances and invest so you can weather economic storms And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1119 - How to Invest in Real Estate During a Recession (2025 Update) Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Major bank issues warning that there’s a 93% chance of a recession in the US this year JPMorgan Chase: The probability of a recession has fallen to 40% Buy the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-372 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is seeing a (surprisingly) positive trend. Yes, even with all those YouTube channels showing you “empty” houses, it seems that homebuyers, especially millennials, are getting back into the game. This is excellent news for agents, lenders, title companies, sellers, and flippers. So, what’s the “positive” trend we’re seeing? We’re back with another headline episode to get you up to date on the housing market in just around half an hour. First, new data points to housing demand increasing as mortgage rates stay away from their 7%+ highs. Is there a path to 5% interest rates in the near future? Yes, but the road to it won’t be pretty. Here’s what would have to happen for us to get there. Can you guess the top 10 cities with the largest price drops in the US? We’re sharing the complete list in this episode, with some surprising cities near the top. Finally, we’ll discuss the massive layoffs from tech, including Amazon’s recent firing of over 10,000 well-paid employees. If you live in an area where these layoffs are happening, the market could see a noticeable shift. In This Episode We Cover Why housing demand is actually going up while economic optimism is going down A 5% interest rate future? What actually has to happen for us to get there The top 10 United States cities seeing the most significant price drops Why James is preparing for layoffs ASAP and tweaking his investing strategy as jobs get cut Money printing…again? The dangerous door that’s opening for quantitative easing And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders BiggerPockets Real Estate 1191 - Home Prices Could “Stall” for Years Articles from Today's Show: HousingWire: Housing demand now reflects a positive trend ResiClub: Bank of America: Path to 5% mortgage rates if 'the Fed does MBS quantitative easing' Yahoo Finance: When will housing prices drop? Costs have already decreased in some major metro areas. Yahoo Finance: Layoffs hit Amazon, UPS, Target, and more — what's fueling the cuts Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-371 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Fed cuts rates, and mortgage rates go up. Then they do it again, and rates…go back up. How does this keep happening? Has the Fed lost complete control over mortgage rates? The Fed has now cut rates twice in 2025, and we’re hovering around the same (if not slightly higher) mortgage rates as before the first cut. After last week’s rate cut announcement, investors were surprised to see that mortgages—once again—got even more expensive. But it’s not because of what the Fed did—it was because of what they said, potentially foreshadowing a slower, longer path back to 5% mortgage rates. Dave is on to explain why mortgage rates moved in the opposite direction, why we could be stuck with higher mortgage rates for longer, and the two things that need to happen for mortgage rates to break back into the 5% range. Plus, he’ll share three realistic scenarios that could cause rates to move in different directions and what could trigger each. In This Episode We Cover The Fed meeting announcement explained and why mortgage rates went up The real reason why we’re not seeing mortgage rates fall below 6% Alarming corporate layoffs and whether this is a warning sign for the entire economy Some good/bad news about inflation and the cities that are faring the worst Three likely mortgage rate scenarios that could send rates in different directions, without the Fed making moves And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1194 - Don’t Bet on the Fed: What Investors Need to Do Now as Rates Rise Again Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-370 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The national housing correction is here but your results will be decided locally. Some markets are cooling gently, others are slipping fast, and a few affordable metros are still running warm. So where does that leave buy-and-hold, flips, STRs, and BRRRRs? We map the dramatic regional split, Midwest/Northeast steadier, Gulf Coast/Texas under pressure, and show how to match your strategy to on-the-ground realities like inventory, rent growth, and affordability. You’ll hear why “flat prices + rising rents” can be a green light for cash flow, when to take a calculated swing in oversold-but-strong-fundamentals cities (think Austin/Nashville/Dallas), and where supply and insurance costs are pushing deeper discounts (hello, Florida). We also dig into metro-level forecasts into 2026 and why your underwriting should look different in Milwaukee than in Miami. In This Episode We Cover Local > national: why the same correction looks totally different by region and price tier Affordability & supply: the two signals driving winners and laggards (and how to measure both) Hottest vs. coolest markets: where buyers have leverage and where demand still pops Rents vs. prices: pairing flat/declining prices with rising rents to improve cash flow Risk-on vs. risk-off playbooks: conservative buy boxes vs. opportunistic dips in strong cities Flipping in a slowdown: wider spreads, longer days-on-market, how to price and pace Forecasts into 2026: what recent metro projections imply for your next 3 - 12 months of deals Hold or sell? Handling “paper losses,” market selection, and underwriting for a slower cycle Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-369 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Discover how a new era of real estate investing could benefit you! In this episode, Doug Brien, CEO of Roofstock, joins the discussion to uncover the evolving dynamics in the housing market. Learn why new construction, once considered a riskier bet, is now an exciting opportunity due to adjusted interest rates and surplus supply. Doug dives deep into the intricacies of institutional single-family home investing, sharing insights on why market fundamentals—like housing demand and supply shortages—make single-family rentals a savvy choice. Curious about where savvy investors are putting their capital? Tune in to discover how you can leverage these market shifts to enhance your real estate strategy. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-368 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are you ready to navigate this real estate market correction? While some experts argue whether we're in a crash or a correction, our hosts explore practical strategies to adapt and thrive. Discover how you can make profitable decisions during these times of stagnant or slightly declining housing prices. With insights from real estate pros Kathy Fettke and Henry Washington, learn how they are adjusting their investing strategies to cope with changing interest rates and housing prices. Whether you're recalibrating expectations or exploring opportunities in less conventional markets, this episode offers valuable perspectives to help you ride out the correction and capitalize on long-term wealth building. Tune in to equip yourself with frameworks that withstand the test of fluctuating mortgage and interest rates! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-367 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Feeling anxious about the housing market? You're not alone. Recent data show that U.S. cancellation rates for property deals have reached a record high this year, with buyers taking advantage of more moderate conditions to re-evaluate their options. With a projected 10-year increase in housing prices by about 23.5%, experts suggest we may finally be heading towards a more stable market environment, where traditional investment strategies like securing great assets at fair prices could truly shine. Curious about how real estate fraud could impact investors as the market evolves? We’ll also explore rising cases of fraud and the steps you can take to protect yourself. Dive into this episode as we unravel the complexities of short-term housing trends and long-term predictions, while maintaining a proactive approach to safeguarding your investments. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-366 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The headlines say “slowdown,” but let’s call it what it is: a housing correction. Prices (in real terms) are slipping, days-on-market is stretching, and cooling is broadening across regions and price tiers. What does that actually mean for buyers, sellers, and investors and how is a correction different from a crash? We unpack the data, define the terms, and show you how to play offense without taking on unnecessary risk. We break down nominal vs. real prices (and why inflation math matters), why widespread cooling doesn’t equal panic, and the key forces restoring affordability: rates, wages, and prices. Plus, how long a typical correction lasts, why “forced selling” is the real crash trigger (and why we’re not there), and what to do if your on-paper values dip. Finally, we get tactical: tightening your buy box, underwriting with flat rents and conservative appreciation, negotiating in a slower market, and deciding when to hold vs. sell, so you’re positioned for the next expansion, not paralyzed by the current stall. In This Episode We Cover Correction vs. crash: clear definitions, real-world thresholds, and why speed + depth matter Nominal vs. real prices: how inflation turns “up 2%” into a true decline The cooling map: regions and price tiers that are slipping and which are merely slowing Why inventory is rising (but not flooding) and why low delinquencies keep this a correction How long corrections typically last and what could shorten or extend this one Playbook for 2025–26: precise buy boxes, conservative underwriting, better negotiations, and handling “paper losses” without panicking Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-365 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The market is sending mixed signals, so what does that mean for buyers and sellers right now? Prices are cooling toward neutral, new listings are finally creeping up, pending sales just slipped, and days on market are the longest since 2019. We sort through the latest data so you can read your local market with clear eyes. A government shutdown is already touching housing. With the National Flood Insurance Program paused, some coastal and riverine deals are stalling as buyers struggle to bind coverage. We explain one potential workaround by assigning an existing policy, plus how many closings could be delayed if the lapse drags on. Zooming out, we track fresh signs of consumer strain. Subprime auto delinquencies are at a record, average car payments now top 750 dollars a month, and sentiment has split sharply between households with big stock portfolios and those without. Several states are flirting with recession risk, which could tug mortgage rates lower, while sticky inflation could keep them pinned. In This Episode We Cover Cooling home prices, rising days on market, and what a near-flat Case-Shiller trend means for offers and list strategy The shutdown’s housing ripple effects, including the flood insurance lapse and an assignment tactic that may keep deals alive Why pending sales dipped even as new listings rose, and how to negotiate in a thinner buyer pool Auto loan stress, four-figure car payments, and what these budget pressures mean for future housing demand A tale of two consumers, plus a state-by-state look at recession risk and how that feeds into mortgage rates Action steps for buyers, sellers, and investors in a market that is cooling, not crashing Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-364 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We can definitively say it now: the buyer’s market is here. The housing market is cooling down, but the deals are heating up as a “mild” correction slows down hot markets and gives buyers even more power in cold ones. With it comes buying opportunities—ones that real estate investors have been starved of over the past few years. You can negotiate for more, offer less, and lock in a lower mortgage rate than last year. The question is: will this correction turn into a full-blown housing crash? Dave’s giving you his honest (and data-backed) opinion in this September 2025 housing market update! Mortgage delinquencies are rising rapidly in one subset of the market, the crash-bro clickbaiters say it’s a sign of a coming housing apocalypse—are they finally right about something? One thing is certain: a few housing markets across the US are in danger of slipping into an even more oversupplied market. But, with new data showing that sellers are quitting and walking away, will this reverse the worrying trend? Stick around, we’ve got your housing market update without the hype. In This Episode We Cover The “mild” housing market correction: what it means and whether it’ll become a crash Updated home price predictions and how much prices will rise/fall by the end of the year Signs that you can start confidently bidding under asking price (but by how much?) Why inventory is beginning to reverse (have sellers finally had enough?) Mortgage delinquencies are rising: who’s affected and could it lead to foreclosures? What investors should do now to prepare to buy discounted deals (be patient!) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the BiggerPockets Real Estate Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 118 - Data Says It’s a Buyer’s Market: Here’s Where the Most Opportunity Is Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-363 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What are the repercussions of October 1st on the housing market? Dive into the recent shifts that may impact real estate investing and the broader housing market landscape. With the imposition of new tariffs on construction materials, stirring concerns about rising costs, alongside a federal government shutdown complicating the economic outlook, how will these factors play out in the current market scene? Explore the nuances of how these events intersect with flood insurance policy lapses and the phasing out of COVID-era FHA loan modifications. Each of these elements could influence mortgage rates and housing affordability, shaping investor strategies moving forward. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-362 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is the new construction market the golden ticket for real estate investors in 2025? With newly built homes now cheaper than existing ones, thanks to regional pricing differences, builders' incentives, and a desire to move inventory quickly, this could be an unexpected opportunity for savvy investors. In this episode, Dave Meyer explores why new construction is suddenly appealing, how mortgage rates and home prices are shaping this trend, and what investors need to consider when diving into this market. Are you ready to explore the potential in this unique turn of events in the housing market? Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-361 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is a recession really coming, or is this the new normal for the housing market? Dave Meyer and J Scott unpack how post-2008 shifts, record debt and money printing, tariffs, and AI are changing the rules, then connect inflation and the labor market to mortgage rates and interest rates so you can gauge what moves them next. You will get a risk-off playbook for today’s deals, including conservative underwriting, assuming flatter rents and higher vacancy, buying at today’s rates, and favoring fixed-rate debt, plus why single-family housing prices are usually resilient outside of severe shocks. Their housing market prediction and forecast: expect mostly stable home prices with modest moves while mortgage rates hover near current levels, with bigger swings only if jobs crack hard or inflation reaccelerates. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-360 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Fed cut rates for the first time in nine months, yet mortgage rates climbed again, so Dave breaks down why and what happens next for the housing market. He explains that the Fed funds rate mainly moves short-term interest rates, while long-term lending tracks the 10-year Treasury and risk spreads, with inflation risk keeping mortgage rates stubborn. His housing market prediction and forecast: expect mortgage rates to hover in the low to mid sixes through 2025, meaning tight affordability and mostly stable home prices, while commercial real estate could benefit more due to shorter-term debt structures. Takeaways for investors include underwriting deals at today’s rates, tracking inflation and labor data, and preparing for steady transaction gains rather than a rapid drop in interest rates or a surge in housing prices. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-359 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Fed rate drop, refinance rush, and a land price reset: what does it mean for the housing market now. Henry Washington, Kathy, and James explain why refinance applications jumped roughly 30 percent after 30-year mortgage rates slipped near 6.39 percent, how today’s ARMs actually work, and why locking a refi now can beat waiting for future interest rates to fall. They outline a practical housing market prediction and forecast, expecting more transactions rather than a surge in home prices or housing prices, plus timing tips for listing into the spring when buyer activity historically rises. You will also get a reality check on the “great wealth transfer” and reverse mortgages, along with a land strategy playbook for a potential price decline, from targeting big-lot houses and infill splits to using seller financing to create equity and cash flow. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-358 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is the labor market finally cracking, and what does that mean for the housing market? Dave Meyer distills the latest BLS and ADP payrolls, JOLTS, and unemployment data, from August’s 22,000 nonfarm payroll gain and a 4.3% jobless rate to a 900,000 downward revision and a spike in initial claims, to show a clear cooling trend. He explains why a softer labor market raises the odds of Fed cuts yet inflation keeps pressure on interest rates, so mortgage rates may ease only modestly, boosting transaction volume more than home prices or housing prices. You will hear practical plays for real estate investors, including watching local job numbers, prioritizing tenant retention and collections, and considering refinances if you hold 7 to 8 percent loans, plus how markets like Las Vegas and San Francisco may diverge. Dave’s housing market prediction and forecast: a soft but functioning market with cautious upside, where housing prices stabilize and conservative underwriting wins until clearer trends emerge. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-357 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is this a housing market correction or a crash? Dave Meyer and ICE’s Andy Walden unpack the Mortgage Monitor: nominal home prices are up about 1.1% year over year, but real housing prices are negative; sellers are stepping back, inventory gains are cooling, and demand still tracks mortgage rates and interest rates, which points to a soft but functioning housing market. You’ll hear the regional story in Denver, Florida, and Texas, why FHA delinquencies are inching up while 2020 to 2021 loans perform well, and how soaring property insurance is squeezing affordability and debt to income ratios. Plus, a housing market prediction/forecast: if mortgage rates land in the low sixes (around 6.25% by year end), expect firmer home prices rather than a COVID era surge. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-356 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Will the housing market surge for the next 25 years, or is the silver tsunami overblown? In this episode, the hosts of "On The Market" delve into the potential impacts of an $84 trillion wealth transfer on the real estate landscape. As millennials stand to inherit significant sums, will this money flow into real estate, and could it shake up the housing market? As they explore these trends, they also weigh in on the ongoing debate: will aging boomers lead to a market crash or a boom? Tune in to find out how interest rates, mortgage rates, and housing prices may evolve in the coming years. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-355 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are current market conditions making real estate a risky investment? This episode of "On the Market" with Dave Meyer dives into the recent warnings from the investment icon Ray Dalio, who advises against real estate investments due to factors like interest rate sensitivity, ease of taxation, and illiquidity. Meyer explores the potential implications for real estate investors and unpacks Dalio's unique perspective on the national debt and long-term debt cycles. How might these economic factors shape the housing market and mortgage rates in the coming months, and should real estate still be considered a stable asset amidst uncertainty? Discover the nuances of hedging risks and positioning your portfolio to weather potential economic storms. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-354 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are you worried that real estate investors are skewing the housing market? In this episode of On the Market, host Dave Meyer and guest expert Rick Sharga dive into the complexities behind investor activities in the housing realm. Discover how investor behavior has shaped the current market landscape, influencing housing prices and inventory. Contrary to some beliefs, small investors play a critical role by fueling market liquidity rather than causing housing prices to spike. Listen in as they unravel how mortgage rates, housing market forecasts, and affordability trends will unfold over the next couple of years. As we tread through this transitional period, the housing market could remain lukewarm for a while longer. Are we on the verge of a 'great stall' or just a balanced market correction? Tune in to find out! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-353 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is already predicted to see price cuts by the end of the year, but is now the time to buy, or should you wait for further price movement? We brought on an investor who has successfully timed the housing market (three times) to give his thoughts on whether we’re at the bottom or we have a long way to go. If you’ve been holding out for lower home prices and less competition, should you take the risk and wait, knowing a rebound could be on the way? Through a combination of genius and a bit of luck, Brian Burke has sold, bought, and sold at the right times repeatedly. He exited the majority of his real estate portfolio in the early 2020s as prices hit all-time highs and competition was fierce. For the last three and a half years, he hadn’t bought anything, up until very recently. Is this a signal that now is the time to buy? Today, we’re asking Brian whether 2025 is the right time to buy (and for which assets), how to get in “position” to make a profit as home prices decline, the sellers most likely to give you concessions and further price cuts, and signs YOU should sell your headache rental and trade it for something better. The second half of 2025 could be when the scales tip—are you ready to make a move? Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Grab Brian’s Book, “The Hands-Off Investor" Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1100 - The Ultimate Underrated Rental Property of 2025 (for Small Investors) w/Brian Burke Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-352 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is the “long fizzle” the housing market’s next chapter? With mortgage rates still high and interest rates keeping cash parked in T-bills, many buyers are sidelined, pointing to a housing market prediction of flat home prices in nominal terms and falling housing prices after inflation. Dave and analyst Nick Maggiulli connect today’s risk-on/risk-off behavior back to housing and outline three paths: melt-up followed by a correction, a long fizzle, or a supply-driven drop that’s least likely. Nick also shares a practical playbook so you can position for any housing market forecast, focus on income growth, keep investing steadily, and aim for “doubles” in real estate while protecting your downside. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-351 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are property taxes actually illegal theft from homeowners? This episode dives deep into the growing chorus of Americans claiming property taxes violate constitutional property rights, examining two main legal arguments: the "no true ownership" theory, and possible Fifth Amendment violations. These arguments are gaining steam in several states, but are they legally valid? On The Market host Dave Meyer explores that question, plus how rising home prices are driving property tax reform movements across states like Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, potentially reshaping the housing market by reducing ownership costs and affecting home prices, mortgage affordability, and regional migration patterns. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-350 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are real estate investors finally finding cash flow opportunities again after years of struggle? In this episode of On the Market, expert investors Dave Meyer, Kathy Fettke, James Dainard, and Henry Washington reveal four game-changing housing market trends they're seeing right now. These include new construction beating fix-and-flip returns and off-market deals becoming more common as inventory stacks up. Discover why cash flow is actually returning to stabilized rental properties and how smart investors are navigating today's shifting mortgage rates, housing prices, and market conditions to build profitable portfolios. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-349 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is chasing hot markets like Austin and Nashville actually hurting your long-term wealth building? In this episode, Dave Meyer and Kathy Fettke dive deep into a heated BiggerPockets forums debate about whether low-appreciation, high-cashflow markets like Cleveland and Memphis can grow your net worth faster than trendy appreciation markets. They reveal why the "slow and steady" approach might not be the wealth-building winner you think it is, sharing real examples from Kathy's 30 years of investing across both market types. Dave and Kathy discuss the hidden costs of cashflow markets, why timing matters more than market type, and how to find the perfect hybrid markets that offer both appreciation potential and solid returns in today's challenging housing market conditions. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-348 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With housing market conditions shifting dramatically from a seller's to buyer's market, real estate investors are facing a critical decision: should you buy more properties now, pay down existing mortgages, or wait for even better deals? In this episode, On The Market host Dave Meyer and expert panelists Kathy Fettke, James Dainard, and Henry Washington dive deep into current market opportunities, sharing specific examples of deals that weren't available just months ago and debating whether declining home prices and falling mortgage rates create the perfect storm for investors. Dave, Kathy, James and Henry reveal their contrasting strategies on leverage versus debt paydown, explore how interest rates impact investment decisions, and discusse why timing the housing market perfectly might be less important than having a clear investment plan with target returns. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-347 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Hosted by Dave Meyer, On the Market breaks down the most important economic, housing, and investing news, so you can make smarter, data-driven decisions. Whether you're an intermediate investor, an industry professional, or just a data nerd, this show helps you: Decode market shifts and investing trends Understand how the economy impacts your portfolio Hear directly from top experts and analysts Make confident, strategic investing moves If you're ready to go beyond beginner content and truly understand the "why" behind the headlines, On the Market is your next essential listen. Subscribe and get the edge real investors rely on. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are we witnessing the beginning of a housing market crash, or is this just a healthy correction? With 42% of homes on the market having taken price reductions — the highest level in 12 years — host Dave Meyer sits down with Mike Simonsen, Chief Economist at Compass, to decode what these dramatic inventory changes really mean for investors and homebuyers. This episode reveals why rising inventory and falling prices don't automatically signal a market crash, and how current market dynamics are creating unprecedented buyer negotiating power for the first time in years. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-346 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Could President Trump's battle with Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve over interest rates actually lead to higher mortgage rates instead of the lower rates Trump is pushing for? On The Market host Dave Meyer explores how Trump's challenge to Fed independence might backfire (hint: bond investors don't like it) and the economy-wide implications for uncertain rates in the near future. This is a must-know topic for anyone accounting for future mortgage rates in their current investing strategy. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-345 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Why are home prices finally falling? And how deep will the correction go? The number of large housing markets experiencing falling home prices has tripled since January 2025. ResiClub editor-in-chief Lance Lambert joins On The Market host Dave Meyer to break down why this widespread softening is happening now, how price dynamics are pushing more buyers toward new construction, and whether we've reached the bottom of the softening cycle. Lance also shares data on underwater mortgages and delinquency rates to forecast whether signs point toward a cyclical correction or a catastrophic crash. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-344 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dave Meyer and Kathy Fettke reveal their current real estate investment strategies, including the assets and markets they think will have the best values for the rest of 2025. Dave and Kathy emphasize the importance of securing fixed-rate financing in today's volatile interest rate environment, warning that commercial loans may be risky with uncertainty around the future of Fed independence and the rising national debt. Later in the episode, Dave explains why hard assets like real estate remain excellent hedges against potential currency devaluation, and how properties can turn inflationary environments into advantages for investors. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-343 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Successfully navigating today's housing market requires understanding the trends creating both opportunities and risks for investors. But what if varying data points in different directions? While the national average home price hit a new record high, prices in more than one third of major U.S. housing markets are now declining, particularly in Florida and Texas where some areas face crash-level drops. Meanwhile, new construction starts are slowing as builder confidence erodes and contract cancellations have reached 15%, signaling a shift toward buyer leverage. Host Dave Meyer breaks down what these mixed housing market signals mean for real estate investors on this episode of On The Market. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-342 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Will mortgage rates finally fall in the second half of 2025? Host Dave Meyer predicted rates in the mid-6's back in December, which has proved accurate halfway through this year. Now, Dave is providing his outlook for the rest of 2025, and a long-term mortgage rate forecast for the next several years. Meyer discusses the structural forces that could drive the mortgage landscape and the housing market for the next decade, including inflation rates, recession fears and ever-increasing national debt. This is crucial data for real estate investors to understand, especially those that have previously utilized a "date the rate" strategy. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-341 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are you concerned about the fluctuating value of the US dollar and its impact on the real estate market? With recent shifts in the dollar's strength, it's essential to understand how this can affect your real estate investments. In this episode, Dave delves into the intricate relationship between currency value, interest rates, inflation, and the housing market. Discover why changes in the dollar's value can have significant implications for housing prices, and stay informed on the global economic forces that could shape your next property investment decision. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-340 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is rental affordability finally improving for the average American renter? Moody's Senior Economist Lu Chen joins us to discuss surprising trends in multifamily supply and demand, and how rent growth might be impacted for real estate investors. With affordability nearing pre-pandemic levels, there's significant easing in rental prices thanks to increased supply. Are rents about to fall even further, or will steady demand keep them stable? Discover what's really happening in the housing market with intriguing regional and demographic shifts that could influence your next investment move. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-339 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are we nearing a housing market crash, or is this merely another cycle in the ever-evolving real estate landscape? Dive into today's episode where Dave Meyer unpacks critical economic data impacting your investing decisions. From slowing new listing growth to mortgage delinquency rates, understand what these trends mean for home prices and more! Plus, find out how recent labor market fluctuations could steer interest rates in the coming months. Could this be a sign of easing housing price pressures or just another blip on the radar? Join us for insights that keep you informed and confident in your real estate journey. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-338 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
President Trump's newly signed "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" has made the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent, creating massive opportunities for real estate investors to reduce their tax burden and potentially save thousands of dollars on their 2025 returns. On this episode of On The Market, host Dave Meyer and CPA Brandon Hall break down the most significant tax code changes included in the new legislation. They'll touch on the permanent extension of 100% bonus depreciation, the increased SALT deduction cap and QBI deduction for pass-through entities. With housing prices remaining elevated and mortgage rates still impacting affordability, these permanent tax advantages could be the key to maintaining profitability and cash flow in today's changing real estate market. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-337 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
When will interest rates and mortgage rates give real estate investors a break? Today’s headlines hint at the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, influenced by tariffs and inflation fears. As mortgage rates tick down slightly, questions arise about where home prices and the housing market prediction are headed. Should the Fed err on the side of caution or give a little relief to the housing market? Stay tuned as we share insights on the economic forces shaping interest rates and home prices and what this means for your real estate investment strategy. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-336 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Discover the secrets to building wealth in the Midwest's real estate market. Why are savvy investors turning to the Great Lakes region? Dave Meyer dives deep into the affordability crisis, examining how cash flow and stable appreciation offer lucrative opportunities in cities like Milwaukee, Indianapolis, and Chicago. Learn how regions with low housing prices and strong rental yields are becoming prime targets for investors seeking steady growth and reduced volatility. With insights into housing market predictions and interest rates, this episode will have you reevaluating your investment strategy in 2025. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-335 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Could Florida’s housing market downturn be the first sign of a nationwide correction — or is it a regional anomaly? In this episode of On the Market, Dave Meyer dives into Florida’s sharp drop in home prices, especially in the condo market, and explores the factors behind this shift. Are declining migration, soaring insurance premiums, and excess supply likely to spread to other markets? Whether you're investing in Florida or any other state, understanding these trends is critical to making informed investing decisions in the rapidly changing 2025 housing market. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-334 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What impact do military conflicts have on the US economy and housing market? Join Dave Meyer on today's episode of On the Market as he delves into the potential scenarios that could unfold due to recent US airstrikes in Iran. As tensions rise in the Middle East, the effects on mortgage rates, housing prices, and the broader economy remain uncertain but crucial for real estate investors to consider. From proxy wars to direct military confrontations, this episode explores how these situations may influence inflation, interest rates, and national debt—key aspects that could reshape the housing market landscape. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-333 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A new report released by Realtor.com offers rare insight into real estate investor trends across the US. Host Dave Meyer breaks them all down in this episode of On The Market, including an increase in investor home purchases, where investors are buying selling, and much more. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-332 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
How do investors feel about today's housing market and what does it mean for your real estate portfolio? On this episode, OTM host Dave Meyer digs into recent investor surveys by Stessa and ResiClub to provide insights into investor plans and market trends. You'll learn how investors are planning to navigate the real estate market in the next year, including some diverging regional trends. Plus, Dave breaks down the latest inflation report and discusses the impacts of immigration policy on housing affordability and how tariffs could impact mortgage rates in the coming months. Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-331 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are rising interest rates putting pressure on the housing market and national debt? Join Dave Meyer as he dives into the implications of the U.S. national debt on real estate investors and everyday Americans. With the debt now surpassing the nation's GDP, real estate experts are concerned about how this could influence housing prices and mortgage rates. Learn about the historical trends and discover how political dynamics play a role in shaping the debt trajectory. How will soaring interest payments impact future planning for investors? Tune in for insights into the possible scenarios and their effect on the housing market. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-330 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Trump's new tax bill aims to extend tax deductions that are set to expire, ensuring continued economic growth and stability for real estate investors. But how can these changes benefit your investment strategy? In this episode, Dave breaks down President Trump's signature tax legislation (the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" or OBBBA) making its way through Congress, including what's in it, what's missing, and the implications for real estate investors. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Jump to topic: (00:00) Why This Tax Bill Matters Now (01:06) What’s Actually Inside the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA) (03:02) Real Estate Relevance: Bonus Depreciation Origins and Extension Details (04:30) Bonus Depreciation Returns: Timeline and Impact for Investors (05:50) Breakdown of Spending Cuts Meant to Offset Tax Reductions (07:15) What Didn’t Make It In: Real Estate and Housing Provisions Left Out (08:25) The Debate: Arguments For and Against the Tax Bill (14:44) Real Estate Investor Takeaways: What This Bill Means for You (20:04) Broader Economic Outlook & Final Thoughts (21:48) Final Thoughts: What Happens Next, and When to Expect Updates Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-329 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Redfin's latest forecast suggests home prices will see a 1% decline by year-end, a significant shift after years of growth. On The Market host Dave Meyer is joined by Chen Zhao, Redfin's Head of Economics Research, to discuss the key factors behind this projection, including a changing ratio of buyers to sellers in the market. Later in the show, Dave and Chen break down regional trends across the Sunbelt, Midwest and Northeast, talk about rent forecasts heading into 2026 and touch on the impact of current mortgage rates and trade policies on the real estate market. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-328 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Home sale cancellations are rising. Does that mean sellers are ready to drop prices? On this episode, Dave Meyer reveals how the emerging buyer’s market, increasing contract cancellations, and mortgage delinquency rates are shaping the current real estate landscape. Stay tuned for Dave's bonus insights on how to adjust your strategies and negotiate deals during this transitionary period. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-327 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is the housing market finally tipping in favor of buyers? This week on On the Market, Dave Meyer is joined by Kathy Fettke, Henry Washington, and James Dainard to break down a critical shift in housing market trends. With sellers now outnumbering buyers in many cities for the first time in over a decade, investors are facing new opportunities and new risks. The panel dives into how mortgage rates, housing inventory, and even the potential privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could impact housing prices, interest rates, and your 2025 housing market forecast. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-326 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, America’s largest bank, just issued a major economic warning. In Dimon’s eyes, the economy has falsely recovered from the tariffs imposed on Liberation Day, with investors exhibiting an extraordinary amount of “complacency” in the face of mounting economic risks. If the country’s biggest bank is saying this, why aren’t Americans listening, and what should you do with your investments right now to protect yourself from more risks to come? The Liberation Day tariffs tanked the stock market and raised serious inflation concerns almost overnight. While the stock market has recovered, inflation fears are still peaking, economic sentiment has deflated, and consumer debt is rising. Is now the time to sell and move into cash in case a recession or more serious economic downturn arrives? Dave is breaking down the most significant economic risks we face right now, which have the biggest effects on real estate, and how he is personally managing his money to protect himself from economic risks that most investors aren’t prepared for. But what should you be doing now? Dave is sharing his “capital preservation” checklist. In This Episode We Cover Jamie Dimon’s major warning for the U.S. economy and the threat of “complacency” The biggest risks facing the economy today and whether or not they can be mitigated Why the state of the U.S. consumer is starting to seriously worry economists (and Dave) How to protect your investments (and your wealth) during economic downturns Why you MUST switch to “capital preservation” mode when economic cracks begin to form And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On The Market 312 - Inflation Fears Soar to 1980s Levels, Consumer Sentiment Sharply Plummets Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Jump to topic: (00:00) A Major Economic Warning (01:51) Dangerous "Complacency" (04:14) Biggest Economic Risks (12:21) Will the Tax Bill Help? (14:33) Sentiment Drops, Inflation Fears Grow (18:56) How to Protect Your Investments Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-325 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Warren Buffett just dropped a blunt take on why real estate may not deliver the same upside as stocks. Is he onto something—or overlooking key factors that still make the housing market a smart bet? We’re breaking it all down on today’s headlines episode! Meanwhile, a huge wave of properties is quietly changing hands. Boomers are passing down homes, but are Millennials ready for the keys? For many heirs, this transfer of wealth is proving to be much more than they bargained for. Sky-high renovation costs, large mortgage balances, and rising taxes and insurance premiums can make inheriting a home feel more like a burden than a blessing. What’s more, without proper estate planning, families could face unexpected capital gains taxes or get stuck in probate court. Our panel of experts unpacks these challenges and what every family should know before passing down property. Plus, we’re tracking new issues like falling vacation home demand, rising Treasury yields, and their potential impact on the housing market. Are new real estate investing opportunities hiding in plain sight? Let’s get into it! In This Episode We Cover Why Warren Buffett sees more upside in stocks than real estate (and what he’s missing) Boomers are transferring $19 trillion in real estate (and why millennials aren’t ready) Why falling demand for vacation homes opens the door for short-term rental opportunities How rising Treasury yields and US deficit concerns affect real estate investors How smart investors tweak their strategies and stay one step ahead as markets shift And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Money 532 - Building Generational Wealth? Don’t Lose It With This ONE Critical Mistake Articles from This Episode: The Boomer Home Dilemma: Millennials aren’t ready to inherit the homes they grew up in Warren Buffett on investing: ‘There’s just so much more opportunity’ in the stock market than in real estate Demand For Vacation Homes Drops to Lowest Level Since at Least 2018 30-year Treasury yield spikes to 5.09%, 10-year yield hits 4.61% as GOP bill raises deficit concerns Grab Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-324 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Rent growth has slowed significantly since the massive hikes of 2020-2023, but could we be close to another major rebound? A surge in multifamily supply has led many apartments to offer discounted rents, move-in and renewal concessions, and other perks to attract renters. Renters currently have the upper hand, but what happens when the supply-demand balance shifts—and less than half the usual new supply comes online? Dave is answering that question in this May 2025 rent update. We’ll walk through which cities have rising rents, which are seeing declines, multifamily vs. single-family rents, and a new (optimistic) 2025–2026 rent forecast that could change everything for landlords. Single-family rentals are already in decent demand, so what happens when those cheaper multifamily apartments reach maximum occupancy? This could be great news for landlords and real estate investors, but the general public is NOT paying attention. If rental demand stays steady but supply drops off a cliff, you could stand to benefit. We’re getting into that, and more, in this episode! In This Episode We Cover New May 2025 rent growth update and single-family vs. multifamily numbers The huge investor opportunity for 2026 as multifamily supply dries up Cities with rising rents that very few investors would have predicted An optimistic rent growth forecast (and whether Dave believes it) Surprisingly expensive markets that are seeing rents grow EVEN more And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Property Manager Finder Rental Demand is Surging 3x Faster Than Homeownership—Here’s How to Catch the Wave Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-323 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
New builds are popping up everywhere. But some markets have a lot more new homes on the way. This could be risky for real estate investors in these areas, as steady demand and growing supply could put downward pressure on home and rent prices. Where are builders the most and least bullish in 2025, and which markets have so much supply that investors might want to steer clear? Today, we’re giving you a housing supply and inventory update. Austin Wolff joins us again to share findings from the latest builder sentiment survey—how confident builders are in today’s housing market—and which markets they’re building the most (and least) in. This is crucial as an investor, whether you rent or flip, since supply is one factor investors can’t control. Builder sentiment has seen a quick reversal from the 2020 - 2022 highs, but why are there still so many new development projects if builders are bearish? With permits finally getting approved, many builders are forced to complete projects, even during weaker market conditions, leading to lower prices for new build buyers and some dangerous “spillover” effects for investors in the market. In This Episode We Cover Why builder confidence has dropped so much, and why they can’t stop building (even with less profit) Markets seeing the most new construction and potential downward pressure on home prices Why now may be a great time to pick up a new build as developers give concessions The simple formula you can use to see if your market has too much supply for demand Could pessimistic builder conditions be better for appreciation in the long run? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area How to Save Up to 20% on New Construction Homes Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-322 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Price cuts are hitting the housing market fast, and Wall Street is paying close attention. A new real estate fund just raised $6 billion specifically to invest, signaling that now could be close to the bottom for investment properties. Should you follow their lead, and if you do, which markets are seeing the biggest price cuts where you can pick up discounted deals well below asking price? We’re sharing the top cities with price cuts, why Wall Street is betting on real estate, and a strong sign for the housing market in this headlines episode! Young homebuyers are taking the reins as first-time homebuyer demand starts to rebound in a big way. We weren’t kidding about returning to a “healthy housing market,” and this data may be a sign it’s true! But is buying really the best decision, especially with high rates and (still) high home prices? We brought a list of where renting makes more sense than buying. The housing market is shifting, and we could be rebounding from years of high prices and stagnant sales. Investors need to pay attention, because the signals are pointing to big changes. Want to get in the know? Stick around! We’re sharing it all in this episode. In This Episode We Cover Wall Street’s $6 billion (with a “b”) bet on real estate prices recovering Why young homebuyers are taking up a BIG share of housing market demand (even though the news says the opposite!) Real estate markets with price cuts and which we’re bullish on Renting vs. buying in 2025: these cities are where it makes the most sense to rent How to invest in an expensive market for big equity gains AND low money down And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 320 - Zillow: Price Cuts Hit Record as Inventory Floods Back (May 2025) Articles from This Episode: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Ready to Buy? Grab the Book “First-Time Home Buyer” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-321 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Price cuts surge across the housing market as inventory bounces back in a big way. The “healthier” housing market is starting to show, and the “gap” between buyers and sellers is shrinking. Zillow’s Orphe Divounguy is back to give a sneak peek at their latest housing market data, which shows encouraging signs for buyers, agents, lenders, and anyone who wants the housing market to get back in action! After Zillow recently forecasted a home price decline in 2025, many saw this as a bearish signal for housing. But Orphe, Senior Economist at Zillow, says that this is instead a good sign for the market. With inventory rising, sellers are getting more realistic, meaning lower prices and more choice for buyers. But what about mortgage rates—could they also drop and fuel even greater affordability? Orphe is sharing his mortgage rate prediction as well. How will trade wars and tariffs affect the housing market with so many Americans on the financial edge? Could higher inflation and a potential recession breed big trouble for the housing market? We’re getting Orphe’s refreshingly data-backed (and surprisingly optimistic) take on what’s to come in the rest of 2025. In This Episode We Cover Zillow’s latest May 2025 housing market update (and GOOD news for buyers) Record price cuts: why sellers are starting to get realistic Housing markets seeing the most pain, and which to think twice about before investing How trade wars and tariffs could hit housing, and Orphe’s take on inflation Is a recession really coming? Why Orphe isn’t so sure that the writing is on the wall And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1101 - Housing Market Shift: Inventory Catapults Back, Buying Opportunities Grow Economic Policy Uncertainty Index Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-320 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Economic risk is growing, and protecting/building your wealth could get more challenging. Stocks are overvalued, mortgage rates are high, and many Americans feel stuck without a good option. What’s BiggerPockets CEO Scott Trench doing with his money to protect his wealth from inflation, recessions, and easy-money policies? Today, Scott shares his exact plan (and new investments!). Scott went on record a few months ago to talk about his big move—cashing out of much of his index fund portfolio. What, in hindsight, looked like perfect market timing was instead a defensive move to protect himself from growing irrational exuberance. Where did he put the cash he got from the sale? Right into real estate, and so far, it’s working out quite well. Today, Scott talks about the exact property types he’s buying, the best investing move for a beginner to make given today’s challenging economic landscape, and the significant economic risks that could be coming in 2025 and 2026. Scott’s putting his money where his mouth is, and, so far, he’s been spot on. Would you take the same approach to protect your wealth? In This Episode We Cover What BiggerPockets CEO Scott Trench is investing in while stocks remain overvalued and economic risk grows The best real estate investments for someone starting in today’s economic environment Growing economic risks from tariffs, a new Fed chair, and what’s sparking new inflation fears Want lower interest rates? Here’s why betting against the labor market isn’t the best move Is real estate as overvalued as stocks right now? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1118 - Data Says It’s a Buyer’s Market: Here’s Where the Most Opportunity Is w/Scott Trench and Michael Zuber Scott's BiggerPockets Profile Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-319 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The US economy is shrinking, with GDP declining this quarter. We’re getting closer to recession territory, so why aren’t mortgage rates dropping? We’ll explain how one crucial part of the economy is staying strong—keeping the Fed from cutting and delaying the typical rate-drop that comes with a recession. What’s stopping us from going back to sub-6% mortgage rates? We’ll break it down in this episode. The economy is changing—fast. The US saw its GDP turn negative last quarter as many Americans braced for the impact of tariffs. But even with the overall economy lagging, labor data remains strong. Jobs are still being created, unemployment is relatively low, and Americans are going to work. This may be the single factor keeping the Fed in limbo, unable to cut rates any further. So, what happens if the labor market breaks? Home builders were already anxious over the past year, and now they’re getting even more hesitant to build. With tariffs pushing up prices for materials, building (and buying) a house could get much more expensive. And with builders already dropping prices, could this lead to a broader decline in home prices across the nation? In This Episode We Cover A worrying sign for the US economy and whether it could trigger lower mortgage rates The one thing standing in the way of the Fed finally cutting rates again Tariff effects on GDP and the first signs of what they could do to our economy New labor market numbers and why jobs are being added as the economy shrinks Are we in a recession? And does it even matter if we are? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1116 - The Mortgage Rate “Range” to Expect for the Rest of 2025 Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-318 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Another MLS lawsuit is making waves—this time aiming to remove unfair listing rules and help both buyers and agents. Experts say we’re in a “healthy” housing market, but does it feel that way? A high-demand, often-overlooked “cash cow” rental strategy is exploding in 2025, and we talk about everyone’s favorite state to hate: California. Is investing in Los Angeles actually worth it? All that, and more, in today’s show! Experts from HousingWire are calling today’s housing market “healthier” as buyers gain leverage, inventory rises, and pending sales increase. If you’re a hesitant investor, it may be time to get in the game, but flippers and sellers must be careful. James and Henry share how they’re still (profitably) selling deals in today’s market. Want to make WAY more cash flow? This rental strategy’s demand is surging, and there’s not enough supply! We’ll describe the strategy and why it’s become a “cash cow” with even better future potential. Is the appreciation worth investing in America’s hardest housing market—California? Finally, a new MLS lawsuit makes waves as a key brokerage challenges strict selling standards that could be hurting buyers, sellers, and agents. What happens if they win? In This Episode We Cover The new MLS lawsuit that may trigger a “domino” effect leading to the end of the MLS A cash-flowing rental strategy with growing demand in 2025 and where it works Why experts say the housing market is “healthy” again—but why it still feels off Does it ever make sense to invest in California? Why the wealthy still park money there And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Los Angeles Real Estate: Why Do People Continue to Invest Here? Why the housing market is actually much healthier in 2025 Compass files an antitrust suit against NWMLS over its CCP Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-317 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What the heck is happening with the US economy? Stocks are down, now they’re up, mortgage rates are dropping—wait, scratch that—they’re back up again, the Fed could have a new chair, and if they cut rates, interest rates could…rise? A “technical” recession is on the way, but will it have the same effects as the last one? We need some backup to explain the state of the US economy, and J Scott is here to do just that. J wrote the book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing and is known as one of the most economically aware real estate investors. Today, we’re diving into it all: mortgage rates, recession chances, inflation rates, tariffs, trade wars, future home price predictions, and what J plans to do with his money. Home prices are already unstable, but could a recession, combined with high inventory and low demand, push us over the edge? This may not be another 2008, for many reasons, but the psychological effect of a recession can be severe—especially on homebuyers and sellers. We’re giving you J’s complete overview of the economy today. In This Episode We Cover Whether or not home prices are at risk as we enter a “technical” recession J’s investment plan for 2025 and the assets he’s most bullish on The massive undersupply problem that’s propping up the housing market Inflation forecasts and the unexpected tariff side effects that could cost Americans Why “just buy American” won’t stop you from feeling inflation How the Fed cutting rates could…raise rates? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 315 - Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance J's BiggerPockets Profile Grab J’s Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro(2:04) Home Prices (Probably) Won’t Crash(8:24) Still SO Undersupplied(9:56) The “Technical” Recession Coming(14:45) GDP Will Drop(18:26) Inflation Forecast(22:58) Just Buy American Goods?(28:15) New Fed Chair?(34:23) J’s Investment Plan Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-316 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Stagflation: the combination of two of the worst economic conditions—inflation and slow/no growth. With stagflation, prices rise, asset growth shrinks, unemployment increases, consumer confidence drops, and economic pain spreads. This is the first time in almost fifty years that the US has had to deal with what is an extremely rare economic scare. And with the Fed already under immense pressure to lower rates, is the US economy out of escape routes? Today, we’re talking about stagflation—a trend that has worried major economists for months. Economic “warning signs” are already flashing as recession and inflation risks grow. But if we get hit with stagflation, how bad will it be, how long will it last, and how will it affect real estate? I’m explaining it all today. We’ll walk through what happened during the 1970s stagflation crisis, how home and rent prices were affected, what’s causing today’s stagflation risk, and whether the Fed has any power left to mitigate the worst consequences of it. This could affect every American and anyone investing in American real estate, but have my investing plans changed? I’ll tell you what I’m doing next. In This Episode We Cover Stagflation explained and why it’s becoming a greater risk in 2025 Why the Fed may be out of options to fight stagflation and what’s causing it Reviewing the 1970s stagflation crisis and what happened to real estate prices then Inflation forecasts for 2025 and how much more prices could rise My current investing plan and how I’m looking at real estate if stagflation strikes And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Real Estate Investors—You Should Be Very Concerned About Stagflation Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Buy Real Estate the Right Way in Any Market Cycle with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-315 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market may be at greater risk than many of us thought. An economic trifecta is forming. If all three conditions hit at once, it could spell serious problems for anyone in the real estate industry. We may be close to a time when high home prices, high mortgage rates, and a recession all meet, causing a significant slowdown with effects that could hurt everyone who buys, sells, or helps transact on homes. But how likely is this to happen? The past month has been a wild ride for the economy. Mortgage rates fell dramatically but are now shooting back up. Inflation and unemployment fears are peaking as consumer confidence drops to unprecedented levels. And now, new tariffs could drive costs even higher. This could change everything, weakening the US dollar and making buying a house even harder. Every real estate investor, agent, lender, or professional should understand these risks because the effects could be severe. In this episode, we’re breaking down all the latest economic changes and how they affect the housing market. In This Episode We Cover New risks to the housing market that could cause big changes for buyers and sellers Why interest rates are starting to reverse, shooting back up EVEN with high recession risk The trifecta of bad news for the housing market and what investors must know now What a weakening dollar means for mortgage rates and the US economy as a whole Transaction volume forecasts and whether we’ll still see a hot spring homebuying season And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1106 - The One True “Inflation-Proof” Investment (EVEN with Tariffs) Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-314 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What if you could predict how a housing market performs before buying there? This would allow you to invest only in the best areas across the US, putting money down where you know it will multiply and letting you get leagues ahead of the other investors. This is MORE than possible, but you’ll need to know which metrics mean the most to an investing market. Neal Bawa has been doing this for years, building a huge real estate investing empire simply by looking at the data others often ignore. Today, he’s giving you his exact strategy. Why should you NOT invest in your backyard? It may seem like the easiest place to start, but Neal says you could miss out on a massive upside by sticking to what is comfortable. As a data scientist, he puts the numbers before the hype, ditching cities that investors are flocking to and investing in those that only have the most solid fundamentals. He mentions one metric that makes a housing market grow or slow in rent prices, but which metric is it? Today, Neal is sharing the best markets across the US to invest in, why renters prefer one type of housing over others (it’s not what you’d think), what Neal is buying NOW even with high interest rates and still (relatively) stubborn sellers, and why his six-metric formula is the key to predicting which markets will boom. In This Episode We Cover How to predict rent growth and home price growth in ANY market in America Multifamily vs. single-family rentals and why one hybrid is beating both Neal’s top 2025 markets to invest in using his six-metric market formula Why Neal stopped making offers on apartments and started buying THIS instead Is local real estate investing hurting your returns? Here’s why you may want to move your money And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders 13 Real Estate Hot Spots You Won’t Want to Miss Next Year Neal's BiggerPockets Profile Multifamily University Grab the Book “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro (3:00) DON’T Invest in Your Backyard? (6:34) This Metric Predicts Markets (14:35) Tenants Want THIS Most (22:26) Best Markets in America (24:30) What Neal’s Buying NOW (33:52) Connect with Neal! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-313 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Consumer confidence collapses, China flashes its “nuclear option,” Zillow goes after secret listings, and uh oh, renovations could get even pricier—what does it all mean for your investments? Americans are dealing with severe trade war whiplash, and it’s starting to show. Consumer sentiment has fallen off a cliff in the most recent reading, with many Americans fearful that inflation will spike back up, the economy will slow way down, and we’ll be stuck in economic quicksand. How close is this to reality, and if average Americans are panicking, what should investors do to keep their sanity and portfolios stable? It’s been quite a week, so we’re bringing you the biggest headlines from the housing market and more! Zillow fights to unlock some of the “gated” listings agents and brokers have been using to curate their clientele selectively. Don’t know what secret listings we’re talking about? There’s a good chance they were hidden from you, too! China holds the “nuclear option” that could end the trade war, but will they use it, knowing that it could quickly send a shockwave across the shore and straight into China’s own economy? Plus, are things really that bad? According to Americans…yes. Consumer sentiment is now hovering around ten-year lows. Flipper confidence could be next, as construction costs may rise due to tariffs. How do you protect your deals, no matter what’s coming down the pipeline? In This Episode We Cover China’s secret weapon against high tariffs (and whether they’ll actually use it) New consumer sentiment numbers that show just how bad Americans think the economy will get Inflation expectations and why many Americans are prepared for a return to constantly rising prices Zillow’s move to end listing gatekeeping and open up more housing options for ALL buyers James’ time-tested advice to take NOW if you’re renovating or flipping a home And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 310 - Mortgage Rates Fall Fast as Tariffs Trigger Mass Stock Selloff, Economy at Risk Zillow is fighting back against a push to make real estate listings more exclusive The nuclear option China could take in trade war with the US Tariff Implications for the Construction Industry, Wells Fargo Report Tariff Implications for the Construction Industry Consumer Sentiment Tanks in April on Recession Fears Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-312 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Large multifamily, for the most part, has been an “uninvestable” asset for the past few years. Tons of new inventory hitting the market, short-term loans coming due, rising expenses, and stagnant rent growth are just a few reasons investors have avoided this asset like the plague. Even veteran multifamily investor Brian Burke sold off a majority of his portfolio when prices were sky-high. Now, the oracle of multifamily has come back to share why he thinks we have two years until this reverses. Brian believes there’s a strong “signal” that sellers are about to get real, buyers will have more control, and rent prices will grow again. Could this be the bottoming out of the multifamily real estate market, or are we still years away from any recovery? What about small “sweet spot” multifamily rentals or single-family homes? Are they worth investing in right now? Brian shares exactly which assets have the most (and least) potential and the recession indicators to watch that could throw the real estate market out of whack. In This Episode We Cover The state of large multifamily in 2025: Is it finally time to get back in the game? The “sweet spot” multifamily properties small investors should be buying now Why 2027 could be the year that the multifamily market reverses Is residential real estate (single-family rentals) still a worthwhile buy in this housing market? The $1,000,000,000,000 problem that the multifamily market is facing And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1100 - The Ultimate Underrated Rental Property of 2025 (for Small Investors) Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Brian’s Book, “The Hands-Off Investor” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:33) What to Buy and What to Avoid (04:13) Multifamily Sellers Must Wake Up (08:30) Has Multifamily Bottomed Out? (09:57) “Sweet Spot” Investments (14:51) Will Rent Growth Return? (20:28) An Opportunity for Single-Family Rentals? (25:18) Is Now the Time to Buy? (28:54) Recession Risks to Watch Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-311 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Last week’s tariff announcement from the Trump administration put the stock market in a freefall. Major indexes are now past correction territory and on their way to crash status. But one silver lining for real estate investors? Mortgage rates. Economic fear is pushing more investors to buy bonds, lowering yields and mortgage rates. How long will suppressed mortgage rates last, and could rates fall even more? The Trump administration’s latest round of tariffs may be the most significant change in economic policy in 50 years. This affects not just Americans but the entire world, as President Trump purposefully pursues a “deglobalization” strategy. This could force us to form new allies, break ties with old ones, and see a shift to much less reliance on foreign trade partners. What does that mean for real estate investors? Well, you could see certain costs go up—significantly. We’ll discuss exactly which costs will rise, and by how much, and what investors should do to protect themselves—not panic—in this highly volatile time. In This Episode We Cover Trump’s latest tariff announcement explained and the countries that will be hit hardest Why Canada and Mexico were excluded from the new round of tariffs How economic fear affects interest rates, and whether these low(er) rates will last One MASSIVE risk that could hurt all Americans if it comes to fruition What Dave is doing right now to protect (and grow) his portfolio during downturns And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1103 - April 2025 “Upside” Update: Making a BIG Change to My Portfolio (Cashing Out) HousingWire: Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ imposes dramatic global tariff regime Invest During Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-310 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mortgage delinquencies are up…or are they? One chart that’s been circulating on social media would have you believe that a growing number of homeowners are on the brink of foreclosure, driving us toward another 2008-style collapse. Is the panic justified or unfounded? We’ll dig into the data in today’s episode! A Freddie Mac chart has been doing the rounds recently, showing a massive jump in delinquencies, but what the data really reveals is a spike in another type of real estate delinquency—a trend that should come as no surprise, given how rising interest rates impact adjustable-rate loans. But what about residential real estate? Are regular homeowners now suddenly missing mortgage payments to 2008 levels? There’s no denying that we’re entering a buyer’s market. While a 2008-style housing market crash is unlikely, inventory is growing, and home prices could decline another 2%-3%. Whether you’re a regular homebuyer or real estate investor, this means you have an unusual amount of negotiating leverage. We’ll share a strategy you can use to insulate yourself from a potential dip and capitalize on an eventual surge in home prices! In This Episode We Cover How mortgage delinquency rates impact the housing market overall Why real estate is historically less volatile than stocks and other markets The “canary in the coal mine” that could signal trouble for the housing industry Why we’re seeing an (expected) surge in these mortgage delinquencies Taking advantage of a buyer’s market and a potential “dip” in home prices And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Over 6 Million Americans Are Late on Their Mortgage Payments—Here’s What It Means for Investors Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-309 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Home prices are falling fast in some prime real estate markets across the country while others remain stubbornly stuck. What’s the defining factor between a stable housing market and one where sellers are actively cutting prices? Housing inventory! This metric defined the 2020 - 2022 run-up in home prices, but the rubber band of demand is snapping back as buyer power grows, housing inventory rises, and investors get even better buying opportunities. Remember when people said, “I’ll buy when prices drop”? Well, now might be the time. ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to provide a holistic view of housing inventory, prices, demand, and emerging opportunities. Lance walks through the most up-to-date data on where housing inventory is rising fast, where prices are quickly declining, and which markets are holding on as sellers remain in control. We’ll also talk about why homebuilding costs are about to JUMP and the reason Warren Buffett sold his homebuilding stocks shortly after buying them. Will construction slow down, limiting new inventory and leading us back into ultra-low supply? If so, this could push home prices higher, creating a prime opportunity for real estate investors. In This Episode We Cover US real estate markets seeing the most and least new inventory, and where prices are falling Is spiking inventory a worrying sign for the housing market, or are we merely normalizing? What to look at in your housing market to forecast whether prices will rise or fall Why are homebuilding costs about to JUMP, and could this lead to even more inventory problems? The new housing trend: Older renters, but could this mean more demand for rentals? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile ResiClub: The cost breakdown for constructing a single-family home in 2024 ResiClub: Did Warren Buffett see this coming? Homebuilder margins face pressure in 2025 ResiClub: The vanishing young homebuyer: Median first-time homebuyer age jumps from 28 in 1991 to 38 in 2024 Inventory Is Key to a Stable Real Estate Market—Will It Recover? Join Lance’s Newsletter Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro (1:27) Hottest and Coldest Markets (8:00) Should We Be Worried? (11:00) Where Prices Are Dropping (14:54) What to Look For In YOUR Market (17:39) Homebuilding Costs To JUMP (21:48) Developer Profits Shrink (24:11) Older Renters, Better for Investors Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-308 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Florida property taxes could drop to 0%. As the state struggles with some of the lowest affordability in the country, with home insurance almost doubling in five years and home prices increasing by more than 50% compared to pre-pandemic pricing, Floridian homeowners have seen their housing costs explode. So, what if they could save thousands of dollars a year by ditching property taxes? If Florida makes it work, this could open up the floodgates for many other states to pass similar bills. But WILL it work? A significant amount of Florida’s tax revenue comes from property taxes, so will they be efficient enough to work with a tighter budget, or will infrastructure break down due to the massive loss in government funding? And, if property taxes are eliminated, boosting affordability, could buyer demand surge as well? We ran the numbers, and the potential savings on housing costs are substantial. If Florida proves a successful 0% property tax test case, other states (including yours) could be next. In This Episode We Cover Florida’s new legislative push to abolish or reduce property taxes for homeowners How much homeowners would save every month if their property taxes were eliminated Can Florida afford to ban property taxes, and which services would be compromised if they did? States that are most likely to eliminate property taxes if Florida succeeds Serious side effects of eliminating property taxes and who pays the price And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area How You Can Legally Minimize Rental Property Taxes as Much as Possible Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Sources of State and Local Tax Collections Know Your Numbers BEFORE You Buy with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-307 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Buyers are finally funneling back to the housing market thanks to recently lower mortgage rates. But, we’ve still got a BIG housing problem to fix—undersupply. What’s President Trump’s plan to put more houses on the map? Freedom cities! By turning federal lands into high-tech hubs for workers, we may be able to solve our housing shortage. Is this possible, or are “freedom cities” just a far-off developer dream? We’re getting into this headline and all the others filling your newsfeed in today’s episode! Home prices are about to PLUMMET…says one article for a select few property types. While much of this might be clickbait, James does think it’s time to scoop up some sweet property deals on second homes in hot vacation markets. With good value, economic weakness putting pressure on sellers, and long-term upside, this could be a solid move to make! Want to pay even LESS to a real estate agent? That’s what everyone says, but it doesn’t seem like that’s what everyone wants as Redfin gets bought out by Rocket Companies. Is the low-cost real estate agent model finally about to bite the dust, or could Rocket turn things around, bringing buyers a whole new suite of low-cost services? Stick around; we’re sharing our thoughts! In This Episode We Cover Trump’s plan to trade federal lands for “freedom cities” that could increase housing inventory Fed rate cut update: Should we still expect rate cuts sometime in 2025? Great news for real estate agents and lenders as sales accelerate thanks to lower interest rates One type of rental property that could be a killer deal in 2025 (in SOME markets) The end (or beginning) of Redfin as Rocket Companies buys out the low-cost-agent brokerage And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 300 - Mortgage Rates Hit 2025 Low as Recession Fears Rise What Is Trump's New Affordable Housing Plan for Federal Lands? Existing-Home Sales Accelerated 4.2% in February 5 Types of Homes Expected To Plummet in Value by the End of 2025 What went wrong at Redfin? Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-306 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Real estate is one of the most tax-advantaged investments in the country. With bonus depreciation, opportunity zone investing, 1031 exchanges, and more, investing in real estate is not only the best way to build wealth—it’s the key to tax-free (or deferred) wealth. So, with a Republican-controlled House and Senate, will new tax proposals favoring real estate investments pass? We’ve got some news that could make 2025 a “game-changer” year for real estate investors. CPA Brandon Hall joins us to break it down. With numerous proposals floated to restore 100% bonus depreciation, extend opportunity zone investments, and eliminate taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security, 2025’s tax laws could look very different if these changes pass. Plus, there’s one huge real estate tax write-off you’re (probably) not taking advantage of. Brandon shares how investors can write off even more during rehabs and renovations, using a specific tax deduction most investors have never heard of. Find investor-friendly tax and financial experts with BiggerPockets Tax & Financial Services Finder! In This Episode We Cover 100% bonus depreciation—is it coming back, and when could it go into effect? The most commonly missed real estate tax write-off you MUST know about Tax-free income sources and which types of income could dodge Uncle Sam’s grip Opportunity zone updates and whether this tax-deferred investment will be renewed Still doing your taxes? Tell your CPA this BEFORE you file And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-friendly Tax and Financial Experts Dave's BiggerPockets Profile What Is Bonus Depreciation And How Does It Work? Brandon's BiggerPockets Profile Work with Brandon’s Team Top 2025 Tax Strategies For Real Estate Investors Buy “The Book on Tax Strategies for the Savvy Real Estate Investor” Jump to topic: (00:00) - Intro (01:14) - Bonus Depreciation Update (08:53) - A Massive Missed Deduction (12:54) - Tell Your CPA This (14:29) - Tax Cuts Get Extended? (18:58) - New Tax Proposals (20:41) - Renewing Opportunity Zones (23:04) - When Bonus Depreciation Could Return Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-305 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Stocks are struggling, recession fears are ramping up, and investors are starting to worry. The stock market has been falling for weeks, major indexes are down, and new (rapidly changing) tariffs are only making things worse. But what does this actually mean for your investments? Is this just a stock market correction, or could real estate soon suffer the same fate? Today, we’re breaking down what’s going on in the US economy: why stocks are tanking, how the housing market could react, and what smart investors are doing right now. Should you sell, hold, or shift your stocks into real estate? Dave shares a big move he just made with his own portfolio and why he’s rethinking his investment strategy heading into a potential recession. With so much uncertainty, you need to know what actually matters (and what doesn’t) for your portfolio. Will falling stock prices inadvertently trigger a real estate boom? Could lower inflation and interest rate cuts save the market? And most importantly—what should you do next? We can’t give you financial advice, but Dave is sharing what he’s doing with his money in this episode. In This Episode We Cover Why the stock market is sliding and whether a recession is next The psychological impact of new tariffs on the economy (and YOUR investments) The almost unbelievable (and borderline frightening) metric about consumer spending Why Dave sold a sizable chunk of his stock portfolio (and where that money is going) How a stock market correction could shake up the housing market What lower inflation and possible rate cuts could mean for real estate The key economic signals you NEED to watch over the next few months And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Stock Market Volatility Makes Real Estate Look a Whole Lot Better Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-304 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is the mortgage industry still safe? The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has been ordered to halt all work while awaiting a new Trump-appointed director. While you may not often hear about this government agency, the CFPB plays a huge role in the mortgage industry and is the reason 2008-style lending practices have not been brought back to the market. With uncertainty surrounding the CFPB—will it be downsized, shut down, or remain unchanged?—many in the mortgage and real estate industries are concerned about what’s next. Chris Willis, host of The Consumer Finance Podcast, joins the show to share how the Trump administration is thinking of restructuring the CFPB and limiting the scope of its protections. Will the new CFPB director scale back some of the more inclusive mortgage lending practices or keep them the same? Could your bank account and credit card fees change due to a less strict CFPB directive, and what does this mean for YOU getting your next mortgage? This agency has bigger effects than many Americans realize, so we’re sharing what’s coming next. In This Episode We Cover The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) explained, what they do, and how they influence mortgage lending Why the Trump administration is taking aim at this agency and halting work The one piece of legislation protecting strict mortgage laws in America (could it be changed?) The difference between Biden-led and Trump-led CFPB initiatives How the CFPB affects your mortgages, credit cards, and bank accounts And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 300 - Mortgage Rates Hit 2025 Low as Recession Fears Rise The Consumer Finance Podcast Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:41) The CFPB Explained (04:52) Taking Massive Financial Action (07:48) How the CFPB Affects Mortgages (09:57) Will Trump Administration End It? (15:35) Scaling Back the CFPB (16:49) These Changes Affect Americans (20:06) What Investors Must Watch Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-303 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mortgage rates are down, so the housing market should be entering a frenzy…right? Not quite. The buyer’s market seems alive and well, with sellers offering concessions as the housing market visibly “slows.” What’s causing it? New inventory hitting the market? Tariff talks leading to higher housing costs? We’re getting into it all in this episode as we hit on four of last week’s top headlines. First, how much will a new home cost now that tariffs are in place? With lumber, labor, and material prices all rising, there could be a five-figure added cost per home for homebuilders, making it even more expensive for buyers. Will labor costs continue to rise in 2025 after years of solid growth, or will renovators and flippers finally get relief? The housing market is slowing down even as we get closer to the spring homebuying season. Home prices are DOWN year-over-year, but one caveat makes this a half-truth. With more inventory hitting the market, buyers could have their pick! And that inventory could grow even greater as mortgage delinquencies start to rise—should we begin to worry? Enough speculation; let’s get into it! In This Episode We Cover How much more a new home will cost with the 2025 tariffs now put in place A worrying statistic about mortgage delinquencies investors must pay attention to Labor and material cost predictions for 2025: Can they keep rising? Updated housing inventory metrics and why sellers are struggling, ready to give concessions Why Henry really needs a hug this week And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 301 - Mortgage Rates Fall EVEN Further as “Tariff Tuesday” Triggers Stock Sell-Off Here’s how tariffs will hit the U.S. housing market Construction Industry Cost Insights for Q1 2025 Realtor’s February 2025 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Fourth Quarter of 2024 Case-Shiller Index Grab Henry’s Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Henry Needs a Hug (02:23) Homes Could Cost $10K More (08:04) Construction Prices Rise (11:36) The Market SLOWS Down (19:55) Mortgage Delinquencies Are UP Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-302 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
“Tariff Tuesday” just hit, and the economic ripple effects are already in motion. The stock market saw a significant sell-off, key recession indicators are flashing, and mortgage rates dropped yet again. These shifts could have a major impact on the economy, but will they spill over into real estate? And as an investor, could your costs rise even more? In this episode, Dave breaks down what actually happened on “Tariff Tuesday,” which tariffs were imposed, and how they could shape the months ahead. We’ll cover how different countries are responding and what this could mean for inflation, the stock market, and what you really want to hear about—mortgage rates. Could rates continue their months-long decline, or are we bottoming out for 2025? These new tariffs directly affect real estate investors and anyone within the industry, but is Dave changing his investing strategy for 2025? Should you second-guess your stock portfolio and search for more stable assets as the market rollercoaster continues? We’re getting into it in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The “recession indicators” going off that have economists and everyday Americans worried Why mortgage rates are FALLING even though inflation concerns are rising Whether tariffs will make real estate investing even more expensive (and which homes will be hit the hardest) The stock market’s “Tariff Tuesday” reaction and what it signals about the economy Retaliatory tariffs and which countries are firing back at the Trump administration And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 293 - New Tariffs Mean Much More for Mortgage Rates Than You Think Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders New Tariffs Mean Much More for Mortgage Rates Than You Think Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-301 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mortgage rates are now at their lowest point in months, giving homebuyers and real estate investors some much-needed relief. But it isn’t all good news. With lower mortgage rates comes more market volatility, a weaker job market, recession risks, and new inflation fears. A lot is impacting the housing market, and in a time when nothing seems to make sense, Dave is breaking down the logic behind why mortgage rates are falling even as the Fed pauses. First, let’s talk about the good news: mortgage rates dropping half a percentage point from their three-month high to hit a new 2025 low. This is great news for buying real estate but may signal a bigger, more substantial economic shift. The bad news? Americans are growing fearful of the economy. A recession seems like it’s still in the cards, unemployment is rising, high-paying jobs are getting terminated left and right, and everything costs more. With all that taken into account, what should YOU, a real estate investor, do right now to ensure you still build wealth regardless of which direction the market moves? Should you lock down a mortgage rate now or wait for even greater interest rate relief? Stick around; Dave is giving a full analysis of today’s economic state. In This Episode We Cover A new 2025 mortgage rate LOW as rates drop below the 7% threshold Why Americans are pinching pennies and fearing for the economy Is a recession still possible, or are we close enough to a “soft landing”? How tariffs, inflation, and job losses (NOT the Fed) are moving mortgage rates What investors should do NOW if they’re under contract (or will be) for their next property And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 290 - Redfin: Tariff Fears Drive Up Mortgage Rates, Throwing 2025 Off-Track Consumer Confidence Survey Consumer Sentiment Index - University of Michigan Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-300 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Only two months into 2025, Zillow has significantly changed its original housing market prediction. With rising inventory, suppressed buyer demand from high mortgage rates, and sluggish market sentiment, Zillow’s home price forecast has been downgraded. Why the change, and what data is leading Zillow to project little or no home price growth this year? Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, is on to share. With a downgraded forecast, the question becomes: is the housing market leveling off, or could we be in store for home price dips? How will rent prices be affected with the massive wave of multifamily construction finally starting to taper off? With less supply coming online, will these units get absorbed, resulting in higher rents for single-family homes? Have we finally reached the supply-demand equilibrium, putting the housing market on pause? What’s the one thing that could reignite buyer demand and lead to home price appreciation? Or, is this the new normal, and with little interest rate relief in sight, are we headed for years of a stagnant housing market? We’re getting Orphe’s expert take! In This Episode We Cover Zillow’s new February 2025 housing market forecast (and the sizable home price forecast downgrade) Why home prices are stagnating, and the one crucial factor causing this Mortgage rate predictions and whether we’ll see some real rate relief this year Single-family and multifamily rent price predictions for 2025 (which will see the most growth?) What should investors do: sit on the sidelines or capitalize on current conditions? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1083 - Feb 2025 Housing Market Update: Are Our Predictions Already Wrong? Zillow Home Value and Home Sales Forecast (February 2025) Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-299 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
ICE’s February 2025 Mortgage Monitor report is out, revealing new data that may signal a “shift” in the housing market. Could these changes lead housing to bounce back or break down? One worrying metric is beginning to rise, but could it cause a downward spiral for the rest of the housing market? We’re uncovering it all on this episode with ICE’s Andy Walden. From mortgage delinquencies to interest rate fluctuations, insurance overhauls, and more buyer power, the housing market is changing quickly. We’ll first talk about why a specific subset of homeowners is becoming increasingly delinquent on their mortgage payments. This group makes up a significant portion of the market, but could this uptick trigger a rise in foreclosures? California’s wildfires became one of the costliest natural disasters in history, and with insurance providers already struggling, you may begin to feel the fiery effects on your next insurance bill regardless of where you live. Finally, some great news for buyers as Andy shares his optimistic forecast for mortgage rates and housing inventory, making it easier for you to buy your next property. In This Episode We Cover The worrying housing market metric that could signal distress among homeowners Whether California’s wildfires could cause your insurance rates to jump Foreclosure activity and why it isn’t vastly increasing as unemployment rises and inflation melts away spending power Andy’s 2025 mortgage rate forecast and when rates could fall this year Why homebuyers could have even better choices come this spring homebuying season And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Over 6 Million Americans Are Late on Their Mortgage Payments—Here’s What It Means for Investors February 2025 Mortgage Monitor Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-298 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
There’s one key housing market factor that leads to home price growth. It doesn’t have to do with interest rates, property taxes, or weather. This single metric is the strongest predictor of your home price rising, staying stagnant, or falling. If you know where this metric is peaking, you can follow a data-driven trail to housing markets that will soon have higher home prices and get in before the masses. What’s the secret metric we’re talking about? Well, it’s not so much of a secret. This metric is easy to find online and can help you pinpoint markets with the highest potential for price growth. So, if it’s so easy to find, why isn’t every real estate investor using it? Mainly because most investors don’t know how important this metric is. But today, we’re showing you exactly how to track where home prices could rise, how to pinpoint the neighborhoods within your market that could experience high price growth, and why this easily available predictive metric may change as the economy shifts. In This Episode We Cover The number one way of predicting whether home prices will grow in an area How this metric strongly influences migration and brings more demand to cities Where to find this data for free and the easy way to predict home price growth Trends to start watching now that could foretell which cities will rise (and shrink) How to find the fast-growing (and stable) neighborhoods to invest in within your city And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily 1431 - 12 Cities You’ll Regret You Didn’t Invest In 10 Years From Now Bureau of Labor Statistics Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) #1 “Growth” Metric (04:01) Could Remote Work Change This? (08:13) These Jobs Push Prices UP (11:06) How to Predict Market Moves (15:45) Trends to Watch (19:15) Finding Growing Neighborhoods Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-297 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is now the time to stop investing and start saving cash instead? As an “asset bubble” balloons larger and larger, every investment is looking overpriced. Homes are at all-time high prices with massive mortgage payments, stock price-to-earnings ratios are reaching dangerous levels, and Bitcoin is hovering around six figures. We constantly talk about how consistently investing in real estate leads to long-term wealth, but is now the time to pause? J Scott, the author of Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing and expert flipper, multifamily investor, and more, has significantly shifted how he’s using his money. While deals were plentiful before rates rose, they're now much harder to find—and not just in real estate. Who knows which tech and AI stocks will be worthless in a few years and which cryptos will crash? So, what should you do with your money at this inflection point in the economy? Should you hoard cash and wait for opportunities, or follow the “dollar-cost averaging” advice and invest regularly? Will doing so cause you to miss out on opportunities if the economy begins to shift? We’re asking J his take in this episode! In This Episode We Cover J’s current investment portfolio and why he feels he has too much real estate Exactly what J would do today if he were given $100,000 to invest The 2025 “asset bubble” that has already formed (will it pop?) The assets J is selling and why he stresses diversification in a different way 2025 buying opportunities and the major discount you could score on one profitable type of real estate Why J thinks you should be putting MORE money down on your real estate deals now And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for On the Market’s Newsletter Find Investor-friendly Tax and Financial Experts Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1071 - The Macro Analysis is Clear: Why We Are Reallocating (Away From Stocks) to Real Estate in 2025 J's BiggerPockets Profile Grab J’s Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:32) J’s Investment Portfolio (04:14) Don’t Buy Real Estate? (05:56) The 2025 “Asset Bubble” (09:46) Why J is Selling (17:31) Timing the Market, Worth It? (18:38) 2025 Buying Opportunities (27:06) Buy in Cash OR Hoard Cash? (33:10) Put MORE Money Down Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-296 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Interest rates are still rising even three years after the first rate hikes. So what should you do: wait to buy when rates are lower, sell the underperforming properties you have while prices are high, or keep buying in hopes you can refinance? We’re explaining what each of us is doing with our money during this seven-percent rate era, plus how to score a lower rate loan on rental properties most investors overlook. How is James planning on doubling his money even with high rates? By bringing back a once-popular investing strategy, James is creating a win-win no matter what direction rates go. You can repeat this, too, if you know his plan. Kathy shares how you can lock in a lower mortgage rate by buying new construction, freeing up cash flow all while having close-to-zero maintenance costs. Henry shares some advice on why now is a solid time to think about selling the properties you don’t love and why high home prices can work in your favor whether you’re flipping, BRRRR-ing, or buy-and-holding. In This Episode We Cover How to still invest in real estate during high interest rates (plus our exact 2025 strategies) Why now may be the perfect time to sell the properties you’re tired of holding Better buying opportunities for new builds and how to score a low interest rate on a new property James’ plan to double his money (and create cash flow) with a refreshed type of BRRRR strategy The type of loan that has BETTER rates than residential financing (but can be used for rentals!) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily 1263 - Investors: Stop Worrying About Interest Rates—Here’s Why Right Now Is the Time to Buy Pick Your 2025 Investing Strategy with Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:02) Cash Flow Down, Prices Up (07:58) Better Opportunity to Buy? (12:26) Double Your Money with BRRRR (21:24) Lower Rate Loans/Strategies (26:23) “Debt Swap” Financing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-295 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A startup surge is coming, bringing lots of money, jobs, and housing demand with it. But this time, it isn’t Silicon Valley, Seattle, or Miami bringing in the angel investors and seed funding rounds…it’s the Midwest! This is no surprise—with lower home prices, higher affordability, favorable tax environments, and plenty of top universities, the Midwest could become a booming tech economy, but which cities will benefit most? Austin Wolff is back on the show, bringing the data with him, and he brought Chicago-based investor and agent Dan Nelson to share which cities are the best bet for real estate investors. We’re tackling the top five Midwest housing markets for startups, going through home prices, job growth, population growth, tax environment, and universities that could produce the educated employees startups rely on. Which markets could see killer appreciation (and cash flow) once this startup boom solidifies? We’re giving you the full list in this episode! In This Episode We Cover How the Midwest slowly became a haven for startups and tech companies What makes a market “startup-friendly” and will lead to bigger business growth The number one market with affordable home prices and great universities—but there’s one downside to watch out for Midwest cities where you can still find high appreciation Is this soon-to-be chip manufacturing city already overhyped by real estate investors? The three markets we would buy rental properties in And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area 5 Reasons the Midwest is Hands Down the Best Place to Invest Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Midweststartups.com Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Dan's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-294 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Tariffs and trade wars could affect mortgage rates much more than most Americans think. You’ve heard on the news that tariffs on Canada mean higher gas prices, tariffs on Mexico mean a bigger grocery bill, and tariffs on China lead to electronics and appliances becoming even more expensive. However, as a real estate investor or homeowner waiting to refinance, the key number to watch for the impact of tariffs is interest rates. Today, we’re breaking down how the tariffs will affect you, which prices will rise, which real estate investments will become even more costly, and how interest rates have been held hostage by tariff threats. If tariffs are contributing to the current high mortgage rates, could tariff concessions lead to lower rates? If President Trump can work out deals with trade partners, would this mean a cheaper mortgage payment? We’re breaking down tariffs, trade wars, rising prices, and how they’ll affect your real estate investments. In This Episode We Cover New tariff update: which countries have reached a deal and which are currently tariffed Why mortgage rates are surprisingly affected by tariffs and trade wars Who pays the tariffs once they’re in place (most Americans have this WRONG) A post-tariff inflation prediction and whether we’ll bump back to pandemic inflation levels Trump’s two primary goals for imposing tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 290 - Redfin: Tariff Fears Drive Up Mortgage Rates, Throwing 2025 Off-Track Know the Numbers BEFORE You Invest with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:21) Tariffs Imposed, Now Paused (05:26) Trump’s Tariff Goal (07:48) Who Pays the Tariff? (12:17) Inflation Prediction (13:19) Which Prices Will Rise? (16:49) Cars Could Cost Much More (19:04) China's 10% Tariff Starts Now (20:24) Big Mortgage Rate Effects Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-293 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With evidence of a global recession piling up, Americans have just one question—will we be affected? So far, everything is going well for the US. Job growth continues, unemployment is low, and asset prices are high, but with the global economy becoming increasingly interlinked, could a crash in Europe or Asia pull us down with them? Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics, has a contrarian viewpoint that defies the masses. But Mark has bigger worries than a global recession taking down the US economy. We could be our own worst enemy as “tinder” for an interest rate fire begins to pile up, and the bond market may be more than ready to light it. Even with President Trump’s push for lower interest rates and the Fed pausing rate cuts, could we see mortgage rates fly up higher, defying the system meant to keep them in check? Plus, what does DeepSeek’s entry into the AI race mean for the US economy? Could this cheaper, sleeker AI bring serious competition not only to the US AI market but also to chip manufacturers whose stock prices have been carrying the market to record highs? It’s a lot to unpack, but Mark does a phenomenal job laying it all out. In This Episode We Cover Whether the US’s strong economy could falter during the next global recession DeepSeek’s threat to the US tech market and whether we’re facing another “dot-com bubble” scenario Why interest rates are scarily close to rising again as the bond market gets increasingly frustrated The catalyst for home prices to drop with so many “locked-in” homeowners Are stocks way too overvalued with price-to-earnings ratios at record highs? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 285 - Bond “Vigilantes” Hold Interest Rates Hostage as Rate Cut Hopes Shrink Mark’s X/Twitter Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:44) An “Exceptional” Economy, But… (04:53) Tariffs Could Cost Us (08:13) Why America is Winning (10:46) Global Recession? (12:44) Massive Interest Rate Risk (20:23) Could Home Prices Fall? (23:30) DeepSeek Changes AI Race Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-292 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Which real estate trends could make you wealthier in 2025? Every year, it’s something new. A few years ago, it was short-term rentals, then mid-term rentals and multifamily investing took over. Now, the housing market has changed once again, and those same real estate investing trends aren’t so hot. So, what can you invest in NOW that gives you the highest return on the market before other investors realize it? Today, we’re touching on three housing market trends that will skyrocket in 2025. Two of these are investing strategies that are making savvy investors serious money, and one is something EVERY single investor (and homeowner) must be aware of, or you could be stuck with a property bleeding money. We’ll talk about the increase in “density” investing exploding demand for one often-overlooked type of asset, what to do when your cash flow is low in the wake of rising expenses, and why the silver tsunami may become the cash flow tsunami for one specific property. In This Episode We Cover The one investment property that can make you $10,000 - $15,000 per MONTH in cash flow (it’s way smaller than you think) Why local governments are pushing investors to build “dense” housing units Is cash flow dead as expenses rise and rents stay stagnant? Why smart investors are selling some of their properties that don’t meet THIS criteria When James says to NOT build an ADU (or DADU) on your property And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily 1334 - A Wave of Zoning Law Changes Could Have Huge Impacts for Investors and Housing—Here’s What You Need to Know Grab Dave’s Book “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:38) "Density" Investing with DADUs (10:54) Is Cash Flow Dead? (19:08) Assisted Living Demand Explodes Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-291 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Could Trump’s proposed tariffs be the reason for the recent rise in mortgage rates? Could this slow the housing market and cause affordability to get worse? What happens if rates stay higher for longer and more homebuyers get kicked out of the market? We’re talking to Redfin’s Chen Zhao about how tariffs will affect you and the surprising findings from a new homeowner survey foreshadowing something none of us wanted to see about housing inventory. Tariffs could change many things: they could increase construction costs for houses, lead to higher inflation and higher mortgage rates, or put jobs back into American communities. Does the market believe the Trump administration will go forward with their flat tariff for most countries? Or will they pick and choose specific exporters within specific countries to tack a tariff onto? Plus, why are sixty percent of homeowners planning NOT to sell their homes in the near future or…ever? If higher mortgage rates remain, will all those homeowners with low mortgage rates stay put without downsizing or moving, locking up housing inventory tighter than it currently is? It’s possible, potentially leading to long-term declines in real estate prices. But don’t worry, Chen breaks down the entire timeline. In This Episode We Cover Trump’s tariffs and the effect they’re having on mortgage rates Redfin’s shocking new homeowner survey that points to more locked-up inventory Is a real estate price correction coming? Why prices could slump after rising Whether or not the market thinks Trump will go forward with vast tariff proposals Why interest rates could stay higher for longer than many of us expected And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily Podcast 1263 - Investors: Stop Worrying About Interest Rates—Here’s Why Right Now Is the Time to Buy Redfin: More Than One-Third of Homeowners Say They’ll Never Sell Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-290 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The housing market is changing. Some once-hot markets are showing signs of becoming buyer's markets, giving you a better opportunity to snag your next real estate deal. With days-on-market growing but underlying fundamentals looking strong, this could be one of the best times to buy houses in cities that have phenomenal long-term potential but haven't heated up again to become seller's markets. Why not skip the competition and buy in great markets beginning to cool? Today, we share some of the best markets to buy in, with the biggest investment opportunities. Data scientist Austin Wolff is back to talk about the "coldest" markets that have the best buying potential and some affordable cities that still have below-average home prices but well above-average housing market metrics. We're talking about why these buyer's markets are suddenly emerging, Dave's favorite "cold" market with serious potential, Kathy's famous money-making market seeing massive job growth, and what to look for when buying in these (temporarily) chilled housing markets. In This Episode We Cover The new buyer's markets that boast solid housing market fundamentals Why some of the nation's top markets are seeing days-on-market rise Have homeowners finally accepted this new normal and are ready to sell? Kathy's number one tip when buying and rehabbing older homes The neighborhoods Dave's looking to buy in (long-term rent growth potential) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Grab the Housing Market Data from Today’s Show Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Know the Numbers Before You Buy with “Real Estate By the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:15) Why Housing is “Thawing” (05:24) Signs Your Market is Slowing (11:00) Buyer’s Markets Emerge (15:19) New Buyer’s Markets (21:10) Dave's Favorite “Cold” Market (23:40) Do This Before Buying Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-289 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We’ve got great news for investors, agents, lenders, and first-time homebuyers: housing inventory is about to rise…big time. After years of limited inventory, with homebuyers fighting tooth and nail to get into just about any home, the tide is finally turning. Rick Sharga from CJ Patrick Company brings new data and insight to the show, sharing why we could return to pre-pandemic housing inventory levels by the end of 2025. Why is that good news for so many of us? Because home prices could slow, if not drop, in some markets as buyers get a better selection of houses to choose from. Those “locked-in” owners with rock-bottom interest rates have waited long enough to sell, and 2025 could be the time they put their homes on the market. But if a new wave of inventory hits the housing market, are we at risk of a home price correction or a crash? Rick shares what the data shows and why investors are so pessimistic about the current housing market, even with the inventory forecasts looking so good. Will foreclosures rise again as consumer debt hits an all-time high? Could more off-market deals be in the pipeline in 2025? We’re asking Rick and getting answers to all those questions in today’s show. In This Episode We Cover A historic housing inventory rebound and why this is great news for buyers, agents, and lenders Whether home prices will grow, stabilize, or crash with so much new inventory coming online The new Investor Sentiment Survey and why optimism fell off a cliff in Q4 2024 The single-biggest worry for rental property investors in 2025 and why it may get worse How to still find motivated sellers even with foreclosures at low levels And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 1065 - It’s About to Get Good! (2025 Housing Market Predictions) CJ Patrick Company Investor Sentiment Survey Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:15) Housing Inventory to Rebound in 2025 (06:27) Home Price Growth to Slow (08:45) Could Home Prices Crash? (15:43) Investor Sentiment Falls (21:53) Top Rising Cost for Rentals (27:27) Foreclosure Deals? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-288 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Will these cities become the best real estate markets of 2025? Norada Real Estate Investments, a turnkey real estate provider, thinks so. So today, we brought back data analyst Austin Wolff and short-term rental expert Garrett Brown to give their takes on the markets Norada is calling some of the hottest for this year. Some make complete sense to us, but we’re a bit cautious of others. That being said, the number one market on the list is one we can ALL agree with. Austin and Garrett are on today to give both a long-term and short-term rental perspective. Some of these cities show tremendous economic growth, but will that be enough for an Airbnb to succeed in the area? Could stricter short-term regulations make long-term rentals a better option in these cities? We’re diving into each of the top five cities and giving our thoughts on which investments will work, which won’t, and whether we’d buy there. Plus, the number one market on the list is getting us all very excited. With massive economic upside and fundamentals that make it great for long- and short-term rentals, this is one market every investor should watch closely—or even consider buying in. In This Episode We Cover Norada’s top real estate markets of 2025 (and whether we agree with them) 2025’s number-one real estate investing city that we are all extremely bullish on Criteria you can use to judge any real estate investing area (economy, housing supply, etc.) Why some of the top cities do NOT make good short-term rental markets One city that is currently struggling but has tremendous future potential And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Read Dave’s “2025 State of Real Estate Investing Report” Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile 13 Real Estate Hot Spots You Won’t Want to Miss Next Year On the Market 270 - 13 Real Estate “Hotspots” to Invest In (2025 Update) w/Austin Wolff Norada’s Top Real Estate Investing Markets for 2025 Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Garrett's BiggerPockets Profile Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:44) 5. Phoenix, Arizona (09:40) 4. Tampa, Florida (13:29) 3. Austin, Texas (Really?) (16:29) 2. Nashville, Tennessee (24:13) The #1 Market Is... (29:02) Other Top Real Estate Markets Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-287 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
There will be some huge changes to the real estate market not only in 2025 but through 2028. With signs pointing to a supply slowdown, this may be one of the last chances to invest in real estate before prices, rents, and demand significantly rise. So today, right at the start of 2025, bringing on co-host and expert flipper James Dainard and multifamily expert (who correctly predicted the commercial real estate crash) Brian Burke to share the best strategies for 2025 and beyond. Every year, more and more people say it’s not the right time to buy real estate, only for them to return the next year and wish they had purchased real estate. Let’s make sure that isn’t you in 2026. We’re seeing some massive opportunities, with substantial price cuts in multifamily. But that’s not all; there are single-family deals to be done in markets that the masses overlook entirely. James and Brian even share what they’re trying to buy in 2025, the markets they think will have the best growth over the next ten years, and why you should be trying your absolute hardest to purchase investment properties before 2027 (we’ll get into why in the episode!). Grab the “2025 State of Real Estate Investing” Report! In This Episode We Cover 2025 housing market predictions and why we believe we’re entering a new “cycle” The one investment strategy that works in ANY market and is best for 2025 Overlooked real estate markets (STRONG fundamentals) everyone is ignoring right now Why multifamily may have even better deals to come this year (the crash isn’t over?) The supply bottleneck we’re about to slam into in 2027 and how to take advantage in 2025 Most significant risks to real estate that we’re foreseeing for 2025 (and how to survive them) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Grab the “2025 State of Real Estate Investing” Report Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 1066 - The State of Real Estate Investing: What You Need to Know for 2025 Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:17) Has the Market Bottomed? (10:06) Expectations for This New "Cycle" (13:01) Keep Buying Rentals? (15:48) Huge Multifamily Discounts (22:02) Massive Buying Opportunities (32:24) Biggest Risks to Real Estate (38:41) What We're Buying in 2025 Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-286 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Interest rates are up yet again, even after multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024. What’s happening, and how long can this last? Bond investors worry inflation is here to stay. This concern forces bond yields—and mortgage rates—to grow. Can Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve do anything to ease investors’ minds or do we have a long road of high rates ahead of us? We’re getting into it in this headlines show! Don’t let rising rates stop you from building wealth; we have more stories that showcase an optimistic future outlook for real estate investors. From an incoming commercial real estate recovery that has been multiple years in the making to sellers finally submitting to the market and putting their homes up for sale, it’s not all bad news going into 2025. One natural disaster-ravaged state finally puts its foot down and forces insurance companies to write policies in risky areas. Is this a much-needed government intervention, or will this shift the burden of high insurance costs onto investors and homeowners? We’re sharing our opinion in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The “bond vigilantes” that are keeping yields high and rates above seven percent Why, even after multiple Fed rate cuts, interest rates continue to rise The commercial real estate recovery and whether we’re at the bottom for this struggling asset class Pricey home insurance premiums and the one state that’s forcing new policies to be written Housing inventory updates and a sign that owners are finally ready to sell their low-rate homes And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile The Fed Cut Rates Again, But Could It Be the Last One? Treasury yields end 2024 with biggest yearly surge since historic 2022 rout California will require home insurers to offer policies in high-risk wildfire areas Will 2025 be a pivotal year of recovery in commercial real estate? Redfin Reports New Listings Rise 8%, Giving the New Year’s Buyers More Homes to Choose From Run Your Real Estate Numbers the Right Way with Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-285 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to the 2025 housing market! It’s a new year, and if you’re ready to invest more, get closer to financial independence, or finally find and buy your first home, we’re here to help. We’ve got BIG plans for 2025 and are watching some key economic indicators to help us decide what to do next. But we have already zeroed in on a few investments we’re eager to invest in. Curious about where we’re putting our money in 2025? We’ll share exactly where—and why! We’re recapping our 2024 progress and giving you tips on what to buy based on your goals. Some of us are scaling down this year while others are scaling up, but we all have the same advice for someone who wants to get into the real estate investing game. If you follow this simple, repeatable path we’re laying down, you’ll be investing in no time. Don’t let 2025 pass you by! You could regret sitting on the sidelines! Tune in, take notes, and let’s get wealthier together this year! In This Episode We Cover Why 2025 is already shaping up to be an excellent year for real estate investors and homeowners Dave’s 2025 mortgage rate range and whether we’ll see some interest rate relief The reason why home prices could still grow even with so many potential homebuyers sitting on the sidelines Are foreclosures and mortgage delinquencies a threat to the housing market? Why 2026 could be the year everything changes for rent prices (and what to expect in 2025) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 1041 - How to Invest in Real Estate in 2025 (with NO Experience) Get Ready to Invest with Dave’s Book “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:58) Are We at the Bottom? (01:59) Mortgage Rate Prediction (06:38) Home Price Growth Prediction (12:04) Trump’s Taxes and Tariffs (14:14) Rent Price Growth Prediction Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-284 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to the 2025 housing market! It’s a new year, and if you’re ready to invest more, get closer to financial independence, or finally find and buy your first home, we’re here to help. We’ve got BIG plans for 2025 and are watching some key economic indicators to help us decide what to do next. But we have already zeroed in on a few investments we’re eager to invest in. Curious about where we’re putting our money in 2025? We’ll share exactly where—and why! We’re recapping our 2024 progress and giving you tips on what to buy based on your goals. Some of us are scaling down this year while others are scaling up, but we all have the same advice for someone who wants to get into the real estate investing game. If you follow this simple, repeatable path we’re laying down, you’ll be investing in no time. Don’t let 2025 pass you by! You could regret sitting on the sidelines! Tune in, take notes, and let’s get wealthier together this year! In This Episode We Cover The easiest way for beginners to start investing in real estate in 2025 Key economic indicators we’re watching during the 2025 housing market What strategies we’re switching up in 2025—and what won’t work this year How to invest based on your goals and whether you should prioritize active vs. passive income Our 2025 goals: how many properties we’ll buy, flip, or test with new strategies And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 269 - 2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?) Grab Henry’s New Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” The House Flipping Framework Scaling Smart Start with Strategy Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:47) How to Start in 2025 (17:26) What to Buy (Based On YOUR Goals) (22:51) Our 2025 Goals (33:47) What We're Looking Forward To Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-283 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are we finally at the end stages of this harsh housing market? With housing inventory increasing, mortgage rates steadily falling, and inflation cooling, we might be returning to a much healthier time to buy a house. But one of these improvements we’ve seen over the past year could begin reversing, and that’s creating some interesting future scenarios. One that even we’re surprised to hear as we bring on top housing market analyst Logan Mohtashami. Logan has referred to 2022-2023’s housing market as “savagely unhealthy,” but he’s a bit more optimistic now that we’re seeing relief. While we’re still not at 2019 inventory levels (which were already low), we’re slowly getting there. However, we could see the positive inventory trend start to reverse, leading to even more affordability problems for homebuyers. So what has to happen for affordability to see meaningful improvement? Today, Logan is giving us his take on housing inventory, where mortgage rates could be heading, and why we may NOT see a spike in home prices even if rates fall significantly (something most analysts are bullish on). In This Episode We Cover Logan’s housing market, mortgage rate, and inventory forecast Why our increasing housing inventory could reverse once rates start to fall The one thing holding affordability back and whether Logan has hopes of it improving Why watching the labor market and jobs numbers will help you predict mortgage rates Were we wrong about the “lower rates = higher home prices” premise? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 86 - Here’s What Will Cause Mortgage Rates to Finally Fall w/Logan Mohtashami Learn More from Logan Know the Ins-and-Outs of Real Estate with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 00:58 The "Baby Pivot" Stage 04:33 The Home Sales Recession 07:36 Housing Inventory Update 14:17 Rates Will Decline MORE If... 18:47 Mortgage Rate Forecast 23:35 When Will Affordability Improve? 27:53 Biggest Takeaways Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-282 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Which investing trends could make you wealthy in 2024? First, we had long-term rentals, then the BRRRR strategy, short-term rentals, medium-term rentals, syndications…the list goes on and on. And while trends come and go, acting on them at the right time could be your ticket to financial freedom. So, which trends are worth investing in this year, and which are dying out and should be avoided? We’re giving our takes on this episode. Some of the trends in this episode are brand new—only with advanced technology have these investments even been made possible, but some are trends you may already be part of. From room rentals to very flexible commercial investments, Elon Musk’s new affordable housing, and a way to “build” your own one percent rule properties, these trends have gone mostly unnoticed but are sure to catch fire in the coming years. But, some trends that exploded over the pandemic should be put to rest. These once cash-flowing investments reached their heyday in 2022 and 2023 and are slowly becoming lackluster (and often dangerous) investments for new investors. Which tactics are we talking about? Stick around to find out! In This Episode We Cover Future real estate investing trends that could offer BIG cash flow in 2024 and 2025 The flexible commercial real estate investment that online businesses rely on to survive Kathy’s billion-dollar idea for a match-making app using this specific strategy How to maximize your dollar per square foot by renting out PARTS of your property The new smart homes that could finally solve the affordable housing problem How to create the one percent rule (EVEN in 2024) by building your own rentals Dying trends that are seeing low cash flow, high vacancies, and tough turnover And So Much More! Links from the Show Top 10 Real Estate Markets for Cash Flow Cash Flow For Rental Properties: What is Average or Good? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-281 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Redfin just released their highly-anticipated 2025 housing market forecast, and today, we’re reacting to each of their ten crucial housing market predictions. We’re touching on the exact numbers you want to hear about—home prices, mortgage rates, home sales, rent prices, and housing supply. Knowing what’s coming could give you an edge as an investor, agent, or first-time homebuyer. First, we’re reviewing Redfin’s home price predictions for 2025. Will things get any more affordable, or will high home prices persist into 2025? Will mortgage rates finally reach the low sixes, maybe even into the high fives? Dave disagrees with Redfin’s take on interest rates, so where does he think they’ll be headed? If you’re a real estate agent, broker, loan officer, or in the industry, listen up! Redfin has some good news you want to hear about home sales! Renters and landlords, take note—Redfin’s predictions suggest rents could become more affordable for everyday Americans. But that’s not all; we’ll also review their housing inventory, agent commission, and migration predictions for 2025! In This Episode We Cover Redfin’s notable 2025 mortgage rate prediction that most homebuyers DON’T want to hear 2025 home price forecast and whether or not we’ll continue to see prices climb The “step in the right direction” for home sales coming in 2025 Why homebuilders are getting bullish thanks to the 2024 Republican sweep Why Gen Z may be the first generation to give up on homebuying And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 269 - 2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?) BiggerPockets YouTube Redfin’s 2025 Predictions The BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:22) 1. Home Prices to Rise (05:49) 2. Mortgage Rates Remain High (10:15) 3. Home Sales Will Rebound (13:36) 4. Affordable Rents? (18:46) 5. More Homebuilding, But… (21:58) Agent Commissions, Gen Z, and More Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-280 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
If you didn’t buy real estate in 2024, you missed out. While all the YouTube crash bros and mainstream media were hyping up how overpriced the real estate market is, we were out buying deals—and we bet many of you were, too! So, as we wind down 2024, we’re looking back on the best real estate deals we did this year and how 2024 turned out to be a much more profitable investing year than any of us would have expected. For some of us, 2024 was our best year yet for real estate investing! One of us made half a million dollars (yes, $500,000+) on a single real estate transaction. We picked up on-market deals for fifty percent off (while the competition completely overlooked them) and sold house flips for higher-than-asking-price as buyers returned to the market. We’re sharing our actual profit numbers, exactly how much we bought (and sold) some of these properties for, and the tactics we used to beat the masses. If you didn’t invest in 2024, don’t miss out again in 2025—there are still plenty of great opportunities waiting! In This Episode We Cover Why 2024 was a surprisingly good year for real estate investing (we’re proof!) The “goldmine” property that resulted in a $500,000+ profit The trick Henry used to get WAY more bidders on his house flip and sell for over-asking price Why Dave makes offers on houses during the holiday season to get HUGE discounts The tax “loophole” (if you want to call it that) that Kathy used to get a $100,000 write-off! And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily 1135 - 30 Ways Find Good Real Estate Deals In 2024 Learn to Flip Just Like James With His New Book, “The House Flipping Framework” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:10) $70K Profit Home Run Flip (11:52) Saving $100K in Taxes! (17:36) Grandma’s GOLDMINE (Unbelievable!) (25:03) 50% Discounted On-Market Deal Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-279 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Ever seen those YouTube videos titled “A housing crash is coming THIS year!” or “Prices are falling 50% in *insert state*”? If so, you’re not alone. There’s so much housing market clickbait being thrown at you daily that it’s hard to distinguish the actual data from the “expert takes” only done for clicks. So today, we’re breaking down some of the most hyped housing market takes from YouTube, examining the data they’re using, and giving our thoughts. To join us is Jeb Smith, a real estate broker associate with over 18 years of experience and a fellow YouTuber who’s just as tired as we are of the constant “crash bros” populating your YouTube homepage. Together, Dave and Jeb are breaking down a couple of recent videos, one talking about the “50% price cuts in California” and a “major housing crash,” as well as one video anticipating that “all hell breaks loose” come this December (wait, isn’t it December already?) Together, our goal is to ensure you never get fooled by easily manipulated data so you can make the best investing decisions. In This Episode We Cover The “major housing crash” coming to California and whether there’s truth in this Why one real estate media channel thinks all hell will break loose soon Demystifying the data behind the real estate “crash bros” on YouTube Whether Jeb believes home prices will rise (or fall) in the coming year Housing market data that WE trust to make our real estate predictions, forecasts, and investing decisions And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 128 - The Worst Real Estate Investing Advice Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Connect with Jeb: Jeb's BiggerPockets Profile Jeb's YouTube Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:08) “Major California Housing Crash!” (12:58) The Truth About California (20:19) “All Hell Breaks Loose!” (30:27) Don’t Get Fooled by This (33:54) Debunking the Clickbait (39:11) Connect with Jeb! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-278 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in this episode and written below are solely opinions of the hosts, guests, and writers and do not reflect the views of BiggerPockets. Is it about to get even worse for NAR (National Association of Realtors)? After a ground-breaking agent commission lawsuit settlement forced the organization to pay out hundreds of millions, NAR has been on thin ice. They had just come off of a massive change in leadership, with some executives facing sexual harassment accusations, only to have the spotlight put on them once again. But it’s not over. A new investigative piece from The New York Times reporter Debra Kamin uncovers a web of hidden donations to political groups that many NAR members aren’t aware of. NAR, the largest lobbyist group in the country, is well-known for donating to political causes that benefit their industry. However, it seems those donations heavily lean to one side of the political spectrum. So, is this a problem? Could it even be illegal? Debra reveals that many of these donations go to groups unrelated to real estate, leaving some members frustrated with how their dues are being spent. Could this be the final blow to NAR, paving the way for more competition among real estate agent organizations? Debra is on to break the story. In This Episode We Cover The new investigation on where NAR “donations” and member dues are going NAR’s recent turmoil with massive lawsuits, sexual harassment accusations, and more What do realtors think of their dues being spent on fringe political causes? The future of NAR and whether they’ll recover from their recent internal challenges A new DOJ (department of justice) investigation into NAR and whether members will leave And So Much More! Links from the Show Read the Full Article Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 197 - NAR Finally Faces Competition: Is the Agent “Monopoly” Over? w/Jason Haber and Mauricio Umansky On the Market 201 - Breaking: NAR Settles for $418M, Buying and Selling Homes Could Change Forever w/The New York Times’ Debra Kamin Grab the Book “SOLD: Every Real Estate Agent’s Guide” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:30 NAR Turmoil 03:46 The Largest Lobbyist Group 08:53 Quietly Funding Political Causes 14:17 Is This Illegal? 17:29 What Realtors Think 20:40 The Future of NAR 26:58 Read the Full Story Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-277 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
“Return to office” mandates from the tech and finance industries are coming rapidly. But they’re not just going back to the downtown areas. Return to office (RTO) calls could cause a surprisingly beneficial boost to suburban areas, even as employees are forced back into the office. This has enormous effects on landlords and real estate investors, as the hottest place to own a home might actually be somewhere outside of the city center. Matt Reidy, Director of CRE Economics at Moody’s Analytics, joined us to give a full update. Matt talks about the potential office comeback that could be taking place and the one type of office investment that is outperforming the rest. However, office vacancies are still at an all-time high, and companies are starting to get creative. Could a move into the suburbs help entice employees by keeping commute times minimal? This could be great news for residential investors outside the cities, as “live, work, play” environments could become a hot commodity. In This Episode We Cover Why more companies are looking for suburban offices to win back employees The revival of downtowns and why they’re growing, even with high office vacancy One type of office investment that’s outperforming the competition significantly Rent price growth predictions for 2025 and 2026 Whether office work is here to stay or the “hybrid” model will become the new norm And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Good News For Investors—Commercial Real Estate is Finally Catching a Break Read More from Matt Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:30) The Return to Office (03:20) An Office Comeback? (07:12) Offices Move to Suburbs (11:02) Are Downtowns Declining? (17:37) Suburban Demand Grows (21:33) Good News for Investors Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-276 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are we in store for another agent commission lawsuit battle? Why are home sales spiking right after the election? And guess what…it’s not investors buying up all the houses this time. We’re getting into the biggest housing market news in today’s headlines episode! Plus, we’re sharing exactly what you need to do TODAY to still get real estate deals done, even with high interest rates and higher home prices. Home tours are surging after the election as potential homebuyers breathe a sigh of relief knowing that 24/7 election coverage has finally ceased. But it’s not the investors who are coming back to buy the houses. Investor purchase numbers are falling, so why are landlords sitting on the sidelines this time? And say it ain’t so…another real estate agent commission lawsuit could be on the way as the Department of Justice finds faults in the NAR settlement. What does this mean for agents, brokers, and realtors? Will an easily browsable listing site like Zillow take over in place of real-life realtors? Some worry a Zillow “monopoly” could be forming. We’re sharing what we think in this episode. In This Episode We Cover Why home sales are starting to jump after the 2024 presidential election results The future of agent commissions and whether they could be regulated even more The Zillow “monopoly” that some worry will overtake the NAR (National Association of Realtors) What’s causing investor purchases to shrink since the pandemic? Where James and Kathy see investing opportunity in the 2025 housing market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE ? Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 201 - NAR Settles for $418M, Buying and Selling Homes Could Change Forever Pending Home Sales Rise After Post-Election Surge in Home Tours The battle against 6% broker fees isn’t over after a surprise 11th hour court filing Zillow’s Takeover of the Real Estate Industry: The Path to Monopoly Investor Home Purchases Plateau After a Pandemic-Era Rollercoaster Ride Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:58) Post-Election Home Sales JUMP (09:56) Another Agent Commission Lawsuit? (18:07) The Zillow “Monopoly” (21:44) Investor Sales Shrink (34:10) Stick Around for This! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-275 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
It’s the season for housing market predictions, and we know who to call! Altos Research and HousingWire’s Mike Simonsen joins the show to share where his team thinks mortgage rates, home prices, housing inventory, and buyer demand will be in 2025. Every year, the HousingWire team puts together a phenomenal housing market forecast, touching on the topics investors, agents, lenders, and housing nerds care about while recapping the wildest surprises of the year prior. Will mortgage rates finally fall below six percent in 2025? Will home prices dip with housing inventory up a substantial percentage year-over-year? And could agents and lenders finally get some relief with home sales, or will we still see sluggish purchasing and buyer activity? Not to spoil it, but Mike is optimistic about the 2025 housing market and what will come over the next twelve months. Mike breaks down each prediction and what could affect YOU the most, whether you’re buying or selling homes. Plus, he shares the one metric his team is watching carefully to see which direction the 2025 housing market is headed. In This Episode We Cover HousingWire’s 2025 housing market forecast and 2024 housing market recap The mortgage rate range you can expect over the next twelve months Home price growth and exactly how much the HousingWire team expects in 2025 Why housing inventory is starting to climb again (and whether it will continue in 2025) One metric Mike and his team are paying very close attention to in 2025 The market’s reaction to the 2024 election and President-Elect Trump’s win And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 269 - 2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?) Altos Research HousingWire’s 2025 Housing Market Forecast Get Ready to Invest in 2025 with Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:05) Biggest Surprise of 2024 (03:17) Housing Inventory Up 27%! (08:42) American Migration Freezes (12:57) 2025 Mortgage Rates (16:46) More Homes on the Market? (18:20) Post-Election Housing Market Changes (27:08) Home Price Forecast (27:49) One Thing to WATCH Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-274 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Discounted real estate deals could be coming THIS winter as the housing market begins to “thaw.” Today, Dave is flying solo, bringing you a housing market update on all the crucial factors real estate investors are looking at—home prices, mortgage rates, housing supply, and rent prices. Even with home sales falling by a massive margin, home prices are still at all-time highs, and the housing market is “stuck,” but we could see some sellers taking price cuts this winter if you’re willing to take advantage. Okay, but how can home prices still be THIS high when the total home sales are twenty percent lower than average and around fifty percent under the recent highs? It’s simple—affordability struggles. High rates, high prices, and “locked-in” homeowners staying in place keep the market frozen. So, why does Dave believe sellers will be more inclined to drop their prices this winter? Where does he believe interest rates will be by the end of the year? And what’s the one thing that could get the housing market “unstuck”? In This Episode We Cover Why Dave believes real estate deals are coming THIS winter Mortgage rate predictions and how low rates could go by the end of this year Whether to buy now or wait for affordability to improve, prices to drop, and rates to fall Why home prices are still rising EVEN with homebuyer demand plummeting The MASSIVE drop in home sales since the pandemic boom and why prices have remained high And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Shop the BiggerPockets Bookstore Black Friday SALE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 255 - The Fed Finally Cuts Rates, but Will It Even Matter? Nearly A Quarter of Prospective First-Time Homebuyers are Holding Off Until After the Election: Redfin Survey Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-273 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Did economic sentiment decide the 2024 presidential election? For many Americans, the economy was top of mind when deciding who to vote for in this past election. With inflationary worries, high home prices and mortgage rates, and general unaffordability, many Americans chose President-Elect Trump to turn the economy around. So, what does the housing market look like under Trump’s economy? And how will proposed changes (like tariffs) influence home prices? Matthew Walsh from Moody’s Analytics is on to give us some context about consumer sentiment, future home prices and mortgage rates, and what tariffs mean for the average American. Matthew brings up a good point: Even with inflation steadily declining, most Americans are still experiencing sticker shock due to our constant comparison of pre-pandemic pricing. Even with the economy doing well, it’s easy to understand why Americans feel in a worse spot than five years ago. So, with inflation cooling, will housing affordability catch up? A big part of affordability is mortgage rates, and with the Fed cutting rates, are we on the cusp of a return to (somewhat) normalcy? Matthew shares the shocking statistic on what mortgage rates would have to be for us to reach 2019 levels of affordability. Finally, we’re talking about tariffs and how higher prices for homebuilding could translate to your final home price. In This Episode We Cover Consumer sentiment and how American finances influenced the 2024 presidential election How low mortgage rates would have to go for us to get back to 2019 affordability levels What Trump’s tariff proposal means for homebuilders and home prices Moody’s 2025 and 2026 home price appreciation forecast Why mortgage rates aren’t falling even after the Fed lowered their federal funds rate And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Opinion: There Could Be Financial Risks Under a Trump Presidency—Here’s How to Hedge Against Them Moody’s Analytics Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:18) Consumers Are Anxious (04:02) The Inflation "Disconnect" (11:50) Will Homes Ever Be Affordable Again? (14:40) Home Prices Could Stagnate (22:28) The Tariff Effect (29:14) Still Undersupplied in 2025? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-272 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Has the Federal Reserve gone too far? Many Americans are critical of the Fed’s move to raise interest rates sharply, pause for years, and then slowly start implementing rate cuts. The arguably most prominent critic of the Fed? President-Elect Donald Trump, who, shortly after nominating the current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, reversed his opinion on whether Powell was the right person for the job. Now, with Trump coming back to the White House, Powell’s job hangs in jeopardy—or does it? Can a President fire the Fed chair? Does the President have the authority to influence how the Fed operates? What would happen if Trump decided to go after Powell and request his resignation? Nick Timiraos, reporter at The Wall Street Journal and Federal Reserve expert, is on to answer these questions. Nick gives us the latest update on rate cuts, where the Fed is headed, how the future of the Fed looks with Trump back in office, and why some politicians champion “Fed Independence,” while others argue that Fed power has overstepped its bounds. Are Trump and Powell more aligned than they think, and is this government drama all talk? We’re getting Nick’s expert viewpoint on it all. In This Episode We Cover Why “Fed Independence” could actually be a crucial piece to keeping the economy stable Whether or not Trump has the authority to fire and replace a Fed chair Future rate cuts, inflation concerns, and the Fed’s latest “signal” on rates Powell’s simple response when asked if he would resign because of Trump’s request Why the Fed does NOT have to answer to the President (and is this a good thing?) Trump’s proposed tax and tariff policies and why they could challenge the Fed And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Trump May Consider Shaking Up the Federal Reserve If Elected—Here’s What That Could Look Like Nick’s WSJ Articles Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:32) Latest Fed Meeting Update (02:21) More Rate Cuts Coming? (04:23) Can Trump Change the Fed? (08:02) Is the Fed Above the Law? (15:59) Can Trump Fire Powell? (18:09) What Happens Next? (24:02) Trump's Tricky Policies Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-271 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
When you look at the “Hottest Real Estate Markets” lists from major publications, they often miss many crucial factors that truly make a market worth investing in. So, after getting tired of seeing the same cities repeatedly, we decided to make our own “Real Estate Hotspots” list, touching on the areas that are PRIMED for growth with plenty of appreciation and cash flow potential for landlords. We’re sharing all thirteen cities today! Our two favorite market pickers, Kathy Fettke and Austin Wolff, are back on the show to share their opinions on these top markets. Austin has spent hours and hours compiling this list, looking at not just population growth but income growth, job growth, GDP per capita, and more leading indicators that point to great real estate investing markets. Some of the top picks on this list truly surprised us, but the data points to these thirteen cities as some of the best places to buy in 2025. We’ll also talk about the overrated markets that may be past their prime and some nearby options that could make solid real estate investments for the long term! In This Episode We Cover The thirteen real estate investing “hotspots” for 2025 that investors should pay attention to A very surprising top city that seems to keep on growing EVEN after some solid appreciation The “satellite cities” that siphon off big city growth for a fraction of the cost Cash flow hotspots that still boast affordable prices with solid rent-to-price ratios The one Texas city that many investors forget about but is still growing fast (definitely not Austin) Cities that DIDN’T make the list and are constantly overhyped by the media And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Deal Finder Market Finder 13 Real Estate Hot Spots You Won’t Want to Miss Next Year Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Analyze Real Estate Like the Pros with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:23) Real Estate “Hotspots” (08:26) Phoenix, Arizona (13:39) Colorado Springs, Colorado (17:03) Cash Flow Hotspots (22:05) Top 5 Cities (24:07) Overrated Cities Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-270 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
It’s what you’ve all been waiting for—our 2025 housing market predictions! We’re sharing where we think home prices, interest rates, and real estate will be over the next year. But we’re not just talking about 2025. We’re also going BACK and reviewing our 2024 housing market forecast, painfully detailing each part we got wrong and congratulating whoever got their predictions right. But how did top real estate companies like Zillow perform on their forecasts? Don’t worry; we’re rating their predictions as well! Last year, some of us thought home prices would decline year-over-year, while others were confident we’d still see rising prices. We also had surprisingly accurate mortgage rate predictions, so does that mean we could be right for 2025, too? Stick around to find out! Plus, we’re sharing where we think will become the country's best real estate investing markets and naming the cities we believe have the best potential for building wealth! In This Episode We Cover Updated 2025 housing market predictions and where home prices and mortgage rates could go How we (and Zillow!) did on our 2024 housing market forecast (plus what we got WRONG!) Real estate markets that have the most investment potential in 2025 Why we’re all becoming bullish on lower mortgage rates, EVEN with persistent inflation Did we ever actually make it into recession territory in 2024? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 163 - 2024 Housing Market Predictions: Home Prices, Interest Rates, & Opportunities Grab James’ New Book “The House Flipping Framework” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:38) Zillow's 2024 Predictions (11:32) Home Prices (14:33) Recession Risk (16:23) Mortgage Rates (17:23) Best Markets to Invest (20:03) 2025 Home Price Predictions (23:48) 2025 Mortgage Rate Predictions Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-269 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The American Dream was once an everyday reality for most Americans. Now, it’s seemingly impossible for even high-income-earning households to achieve. What went wrong, and is it still possible for financially savvy families to realize the American Dream? A new article dissecting the cost of the American Dream shows that the white picket fence, single-family home, and two new cars cost significantly more than you might think. In this episode, we’re going over the eye-watering costs of the American Dream, the income you’ll need to achieve it, and why most Americans may never get there. But, as financially independent podcasters, we’re living proof that you don’t need everything this article describes to reach financial freedom. We’re sharing what you might want to give up to achieve your version of the American Dream. From college costs to raising kids, buying cars, and purchasing a home, we’ll walk through the costliest factors of the American Dream—and some good news, as one big expense is actually getting cheaper. In This Episode We Cover The astronomical cost of achieving the American Dream in 2024 What you should give up if you want to reach financial freedom faster The household income you have to make if you want to achieve the American Dream Why so many Americans are struggling with rising costs but stagnating wages One significant expense that’s getting surprisingly more affordable The things we’ll never give up spending money on (even if it sets us back) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile The American Dream Now Costs $4.4 Million The American Dream Trap: Maneuvering Major Expenses in Your Financial Adventure Reach Your American Dream Faster with “Set for Life” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:20) The Cost of The American Dream (04:01) Housing Costs (05:14) BIGGEST Cost to Americans (06:43) Kids Are Too Expensive (08:28) Cars Cost SO Much (10:15) How Much Do You Have to Make? (15:42) You NEED to Make More Money (19:53) What to Give Up (23:43) Some Good News (25:22) We WON’T Sacrifice THIS Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-268 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Most people are missing out on what could be the best real estate investments of 2025. Why? Most investors don’t even know about them or have never had access to invest in them before. Today, we’re talking to Fundrise CEO Ben Miller about how he’s taking these once elite-only investments and making them available for the average investor. These investments, for the most part, beat out regular rental properties with sizable returns and way less work. So, what’s the catch? Is there a catch? If you want to get ahead of the curve and know the investments that smart money (managing BILLIONS of dollars) is making, our interview with Ben truly delivers. We’re getting into how “debt” investors are making serious money off of lending to real estate investors (just like you) and the almost unbeatable returns they’re collecting, plus the new type of investment Fundrise is opening up for regular investors. This is a first, as everyday investors have seldom been able to break into this asset class. Finally, Ben gives us his outlook for the 2025 economy and why he’s feeling a bit anxious, even with so many economic factors falling into place for a soft landing. In This Episode We Cover The one real estate investment making regular double-digit returns with significantly less work Why housing inventory could shrink even with our massive multifamily “oversupply” The “securitized” real estate elite investors used to have a monopoly on (you can get in on it now) Venture capital and why Ben is bullish on AI companies for 2025 and beyond The surprisingly solid state of the economy and why Ben feels anxious (and you might, too) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Is Now a Better Time to Invest in Real Estate Debt or Equity? Ben's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book on Private Money Lending “Lend to Live” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:41) What to Invest In NOW? (04:40) Housing Inventory Will Shrink (08:20) Less Risk, Way Higher Returns (15:01) "Securitized” Debt Explained (18:22) What Can “Normal” Investors Do? (20:52) Venture Capital Investing for All (26:12) Optimistic for 2025? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-267 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Everyone is awaiting the 2024 presidential election results—especially homebuyers. As mortgage rates rise again, potential homebuyers are sitting on the sidelines, hoping that the next president could make it a little easier to purchase a house. Is this housing market slowdown just a temporary phenomenon before the biggest political event of the past four years, or could this last well into the winter? We’re covering it on this headlines show! Could a “Trump trade” push bond yields up and mortgage rates as well? Some economists are betting that a Trump presidency would mean higher mortgage rates. We’ll also talk about California’s Prop 33, which, if passed, could allow more stringent rent control on landlords in the Golden State. With rising costs for property owners, could this lead to landlords selling their rentals to escape California’s tenant-friendly laws? If you want to escape the election cycle, we’ve got you covered. Our last story touches on the best companies for career growth, and if you’re trying to up your skills (and your income) next year, applying for a job at any of these companies could help you! In This Episode We Cover The pre-election housing “slowdown” and why many homebuyers are pausing on purchasing A new mortgage rate update and what’s causing rates to rise back to seven percent The “Trump trade” and why economists are worried it could push bond yields up California’s newest rent control proposition and what it means for landlords in the state The top companies for career growth in the United States (grow your income!) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Proposition 33 Ignites Fierce Debate Over California Rent Control Laws Do Elections Affect the Housing Market? Here's What Experts Say Real estate in for a fright as mortgage rates return to 7% Proposition 33 Ignites Fierce Debate Over California Rent Control Laws These Are The Best Companies For Career Growth, Ranked Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:01) Pre-Election Housing “Slowdown” (13:03) The “Trump Trade” (16:48) Prop 33 Rent Control? (24:15) Best Companies for Career Growth Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-266 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Evictions suck—for everyone. They’re bad for the property owner, the tenant, and America as a whole. On the lowest end of the spectrum, evictions cost Americans over $14,000,000,000 (that’s BILLION) per year. With this massive sum spent on court fees, attorneys, moving trucks, and lost rent, how do we STOP evictions before they happen? What can landlords do to ensure they NEVER have to kick out another tenant for nonpayment? Today, we’re discussing the true cost of evictions and how to avoid them. We’ve brought our own Market Intelligence Analyst, Austin Wolff, back to the show to share how much evictions cost for the landlord, how much they cost to the tenant, and how much they cost society. We’re breaking down which costs hurt real estate investors the most during the process and how long it may take you to get a non-paying tenant out of your house. Once you’ve been seriously sticker-shocked by the price of an eviction, James brings us some actionable steps he uses daily to avoid evictions at his rentals. He recently had one of the worst evictions, costing him SIX FIGURES. He shares what to do so this DOESN’T happen at your investment property, plus the type of rental you can provide that attracts the highest-quality tenants. In This Episode We Cover The astronomically high cost of evictions in the United States How long evictions usually take, and why they often drag out months (or even years) The cost of an eviction to a tenant and the fees they have to pay once they’re forced to leave How to avoid evictions from the start by following some quick tips from James The key to maintaining a high rent collection rate in your rental portfolio (fewer evictions) What to do if you inherit tenants you suspect WON’T pay once you purchase the property Overall economic impacts of evictions and why we MUST reduce them And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Austin's BiggerPockets Profile 6 Strategies That Help Landlords Avoid Evictions Grab “The Book on Managing Rental Properties” Evicted Book Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:23) Most Expensive Eviction Ever? (05:23) Cost/Time It Takes to Evict (14:11) The Cost to Tenants (18:57) Serious Economic Effects (22:47) How to Avoid Evictions (29:44) Inheriting Tenants (What to Do) (32:09) Astronomical Total Costs Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-265 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Which generation is taking control of the housing market? With Baby Boomers sitting on an enormous amount of equity-based wealth, younger generations now have to do their part to get in the game, but who is faring best? Gen Z is hungry to get into homeownership, but with their high cost of living, credit card and student debt, and low affordability, will they be a forever-renter generation? What about Millennials, many of whom were financially shell-shocked after leaving college and entering the workforce during the Great Financial Crisis? And don’t worry, Gen X, we didn’t forget you (even though almost everyone else did). Today, Dave and each of our experts have taken one generation to report on. We’ll talk about Gen Z, Millennials, Gen X, and Baby Boomers—how much wealth they hold, their debts, whether or not they’re buying houses, and how they could affect the future housing market. Plus, we’ll touch on the financial mentality behind each generation and whether or not they have what it takes to become homeowners. Finally, will the “Silver Tsunami” ever happen when Baby Boomers pass away and the flood of Boomer-owned houses hits the market? We’ll discuss the likelihood of this happening and whether or not the growing trend of “aging in place” could keep our housing inventory at rock bottom. In This Episode We Cover Why Gen Z is so poised to start buying real estate (but will they be able to?) The Baby Boomers’ massive amount of equity wealth that may benefit the future generations The largest generation of homebuyers that is still actively looking for places to live Why this “forgotten generation” might be one of the wealthiest to come The chance of a “Silver Tsunami” and what happens when Boomers pass down their housing wealth And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Henry’s New Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Boomers Hoard Houses, Millennials Struggle to Buy, But Gen Z Gets Ahead Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:58) Gen Z - The Renter Generation (10:47) Millennials - The Homebuyer Generation (16:51) Gen X - The Forgotten Generation (26:18) Baby Boomers - The RICH Generation Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-264 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Does it feel like we’re in a recession? People are constantly discussing layoffs, many Americans are in credit card debt, home ownership seems unachievable, and you probably feel like you should be making more money based on how expensive everything is. But, on the other hand, inflation is down, stocks are up, and unemployment is still (relatively) low. This is what Nicole Lapin would refer to not as a recession but a “vibecession;” it feels like we’re in a recession, even if we aren’t. As a renowned journalist, author, and money-minded podcast host of Money Rehab, Nicole is one of the best in the industry to come on and explain the state of the American consumer, why they feel so negative toward the economy, and what good news we have going into 2025. Nicole is breaking down exactly why Americans feel so disconnected from our growing economy and the reason consumers are getting frustrated. But it’s not just bad vibes (okay, enough with the Gen-Z verbiage); there are “bright spots” in the economy that few are paying attention to. These data points come close to proving that we may be out of recession territory and confirm that the Fed did achieve its “soft landing.” Are we on our way to finally feeling good about the economy again? In This Episode We Cover Why it feels like we’re in a recession even though the economy is growing The disconnect between men and women and who’s more optimistic in 2024 Did the Fed actually achieve their soft landing and an inflation rate update The good news on wage growth (with a BIG caveat) Rising credit card debt and whether or not this is a precursor to economic crisis The “bright spots” in the economy that point to some good news for Americans And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Here’s What the U.S. Consumer Tells Us About the State of the Economy Money Rehab Thinking, Fast and Slow WSJ: The State of America’s Wallet Build Wealth in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:50) Welcome to the "Vibe-cession" (05:18) Men vs. Women Economic Sentiment (06:59) Wages Grow, But... (10:56) Consumer Debt is Climbing (16:23) GOOD News for the Economy (18:42) Hope for Average Americans (21:39) Where is the Economy Headed? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-263 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Housing affordability in America is the lowest it’s been in forty years. Every year, there are fewer and fewer affordable places to buy a house, and many of the cities that used to be affordable have become so popular that they’re now the pricey ones. Are there any affordable housing markets left, and if so, which ones should investors pay the most attention to? We did a new data analysis on American housing markets to bring the exact list to you today. Austin Wolff, our own BiggerPockets market intelligence analyst, spent some time analyzing housing markets that not only have job, population, and wage growth but also have affordable home prices perfect for investors. Today, he’s sharing this new list, along with some of the least affordable housing markets that are nearly impossible to break into without millions of dollars. But is America the only country suffering from a stubborn unaffordability crisis? Many of the top economies are also feeling the sting of high inflation, limited real wage growth, and strong home price appreciation. But are we doing better or worse than many of the top developed countries? We’re sharing those stats, too! In This Episode We Cover America’s affordable housing crisis explained, and whether it’s going to get better or worse Most affordable housing markets with job, population, and income growth Comparing American home prices vs. other top economies’ home prices The least affordable real estate markets with the highest home-price-to-wage ratios The single most affordable city in the United States that could be an excellent investing market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile These Are the 10 Most Affordable Markets To Invest in During 2024 Bankrate’s 2024 Home Affordability Report Why Trump and Harris Aren’t Talking About the $1.8 Trillion Deficit Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:36) Why Affordability Matters (04:59) Most Unaffordable Period Ever? (08:00) How Does America Compare? (12:23) Least Affordable Markets (15:09) Most Affordable (Growing!) Markets (24:35) Will Affordability Improve? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-262 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
While short-term rentals are seeing slowing demand, mid-term rentals are taking off (and fast). Mid-term rentals, also called medium-term rentals or MTRs, are thirty-day or longer stays, usually for traveling professionals or those who need temporary housing while relocating. These rentals give you more rent than a regular long-term rental, less turnover than short-term rentals, and can be successful in even the most average of markets. Where are MTRs heading next? We brought on Jeff Hurst, CEO of the leading MTR listing website Furnished Finder, to share the data he’s seeing. Jeff believes MTRs are still years away from peaking in demand and supply. But maybe he’s a little biased as someone who works in the field. Even as an industry insider, Jeff brought some solid stats that show that MTR is far from falling off the investing map. He’s so bullish on this strategy that he believes MTR is now where Airbnb was in 2012. But what should you do to get in on MTR investing? Jeff shares the best MTR markets and signs for whether or not your city could be a great place to try it, plus the surprising property type that works best for this strategy (MUCH more affordable than short-term rentals) and how landlords and investors can find tenants WITHOUT going through pricey booking platforms. In This Episode We Cover The state of the mid-term rental market and why it’s looking much brighter than short-term rentals Mid-term rental investing explained, and who’s staying at these properties Why rural markets actually make terrific mid-term rental investing areas How to start investing in mid-term rentals WITHOUT owning a single property (rental arbitrage) How to find tenants for your mid-term rentals without paying high listing fees The (surprisingly) small property types that work best for mid-term rentals And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile How to Invest in Medium-Term Rentals Furnished Finder Stats Grab the MTR Book, “30-Day Stay” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:57) What Are Mid-Term Rentals? (06:21) Mid-Term Demand is Still Growing (09:58) Best Mid-Term Markets (18:19) Are We Past the Peak? (20:26) Finding Tenants (23:59) Fewer Regulations? (30:03) Bullish on Mid-Term’s Future Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-261 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
America is experiencing a strange housing supply problem. On one hand, we don’t have enough housing supply nationally; on the other, we have too much housing supply in cities like Austin and Fort Myers, and as a result, these cities are seeing significant rent declines. Meanwhile, rents are still going strong in much of the Midwest, as their supply-constrained markets give landlords and real estate investors the upper hand. But, even in the “oversupplied” markets, is there a chance for rent price redemption in the future? We brought on BiggerPockets’ own Market Intelligence Analyst, Austin Wolff, to share his latest findings on housing supply. Austin talks about why rents are growing in some parts of the US but declining in more oversupplied markets. But with the slowing down of construction, will these oversupplied markets become undersupplied? Will landlords in these markets be happy they held onto their properties in a few years? Austin also shares the exact market he’s making his first real estate investment, which boasts high demand but has yet to see a significant supply bump for his asset class. Does higher supply always mean lower rents? Not quite, and we’ll get into why in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The state of our 2024 housing shortage problem and why we may be under and oversupplied Where rent prices are falling and the cities with the most supply coming online When demand could finally “catch up” to the high supply these markets are experiencing The correlation between supply and rent prices (and why they aren’t ALWAYS opposite) Long-term rent projections as building starts to slow and demand stays high And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Easily Identify Your Next Market to Invest In with BiggerPockets Market Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Connect with Austin Check Out Austin’s Data-Driven Blog Posts Bureau of Labor Statistics Census Data CoStar Zillow Data Master the Simple Formulas Behind Every Great Real Estate Deal with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic 00:00 Intro 04:49 Our 2024 Housing Supply Problem 08:22 Where Rents Are Falling 13:13 Demand Will “Catch Up” 17:31 What Happens When Supply Rises? 25:46 Long-Term Rent Projections Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-260 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
**UPDATE: We recorded this episode on October 1st, as North Carolina was beginning to recover from the damage caused by Hurricane Helene and before Hurricane Milton had formed. We approached this episode as an exercise in economic analysis -- an in-depth market analysis should include a deeper assessment of environmental risk than we had time for in this discussion. And of course, no investment is more important than human lives and safety. If you’d like to contribute to ongoing recovery efforts, please consider doing so here. We talk a lot about the overall housing market, but what about the best states to invest in real estate? A state on the East Coast might see solid rents, booming business growth, and low inventory, while somewhere on the West Coast could be experiencing the opposite. At a state level, factors like economic strength, job growth, income tax, and others can greatly impact where Americans live and rent. So, which states would WE happily invest in now? Today, we’re sharing the four states we feel bullish about in 2024, specifically for economic growth. And when there’s economic growth, there’s usually excellent investing prospects. You may have thought about investing in a few of these states before, and one of them you may have forgotten was even a state (sorry to those residents), but all of them boast real estate investing potential that many other parts of the US lack. And, during a time when home prices are still high, some of these markets are seeing what could be a temporary decline, opening up the potential for you to go in and scoop up deals before their real estate markets begin to rebound. Which states are we most confident about? Stick around to find out! In This Episode We Cover Four states with booming economies and serious real estate investing opportunity The tiny state with below-average home prices and most of the Fortune 500 companies A southern state boasting serious potential as its real estate values try to recover A “treasure hunting” housing market that may be overcorrecting a little too much Why more tech is moving into this East Coast state and pumping up its property market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Your Next Investing Market Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market Episode 251 - Would You Vote for Any of These Market-Changing Economic Policies? What’s the Best Strategy for Your Market? Find Out with “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 02:52 1. Delaware 11:38 2. Texas 17:13 What to Buy in Texas 20:05 3. Florida 22:21 Businesses Love the Sunshine State 27:12 4. North Carolina 35:30 Best State to Invest? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-259 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Did immigrants help keep landlords afloat during this tough housing market? New data may be pointing to just that. Today, we’re discussing one rarely mentioned housing market factor—immigration and immigrant renters. We’re talking about documented AND undocumented immigrants, asylum seekers, and what the effect of the massive influx in immigration has been on the renting market. John Burns from John Burns Research and Consulting, joined by VP of Demographics Eric Finnigan, is back on the show to discuss immigration, household formation, migration patterns, mortgage rates, and the effects each of these factors has on the housing market. With immigration exploding (we’re in one of the largest immigration years EVER), the next obvious question is: how is this affecting rents/available homes? John and Eric bring in new data to share how immigration may have “bailed out” landlords during the worst parts of the market. But that’s not all. We also touch on John Burns Research’s newest house-flipping survey and how flippers are surviving (thriving?) in today’s market. Why are builders becoming more bullish on the housing market? And could the recent mortgage rate cuts open the spigot of homebuyer demand in this already supply-constrained market? We’re digging into the data that answers these questions in today’s show. In This Episode We Cover The newest immigration and housing data pointing to some surprising conclusions for landlords Why immigrants crossing the southern border are NOT just settling in border towns How immigrants may have “bailed out” multifamily investors struggling to fill units New multifamily supply and why builders are becoming more bullish in today’s market Whether or not lower mortgage rates will lead to higher home prices The state of house flipping in 2024 and whether flippers are still making money And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile U.S. Immigration Crisis: What It Really Means for Housing Markets and Investors Get on the List for John Burns Research: [email protected] Fix and Flip Survey Master the Real Estate Formulas Before You Buy with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 02:11 Immigration is Exploding 04:59 Why “Households” Matter 06:40 Immigrants Boost Demand 08:50 Landlords Got “Bailed Out” 11:47 MORE Multifamily Development? 15:58 Mortgage Rate Cut Implications 23:37 Are Flippers Surviving? 29:06 Grab the Data! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-258 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mortgage rates are finally falling, and Redfin is predicting a “brighter” housing market. Who’s leading the charge in new homebuyers? Surprisingly, the generation nobody expected—Gen Z. How are they doing it, and why are their homeownership rates so much higher than Millennials and Gen Xers at the same age? We’re digging into it and sharing our forecasts of what the coming housing market will look like. But to understand where we’re headed, we have to peak inside the personal finances of Americans. In this episode, we’re breaking down the average American’s wallet, how much money they have, their credit card debt, and whether they’ll be able to weather the financial storm of rising costs coming at them. How can Americans cope with higher insurance, taxes, and home prices? Why is Redfin so optimistic about the 2025 spring homebuying market? And what are we seeing right now in our own markets in terms of buyer demand? Have lower mortgage rates finally crossed the threshold where Americans feel comfortable buying a house? We’ll touch on all of today’s latest headlines in this show! In This Episode We Cover How Gen Z became the leading young homeowner generation Lower rates, but still struggling affordability and the real solution to our housing problem Optimistic news from Redfin about the 2025 spring housing market and the big JUMP in mortgage applications The average American’s personal finances and whether they’ll be able to eat the cost of recent inflation The downfall of work-from-home and why more Americans may be moving (and buying houses) soon And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Gen Z Is Dominating Their Parents in Homeownership—According to New Report America’s home affordability crisis has a solution. Lower rates isn’t it Redfin ramping up, sees a brighter spring ahead The State of America’s Wallet How Gen Z outpaces past generations in the homeownership race Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-257 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are real estate syndications dead? Some multifamily syndicators are making capital calls and hiding information from investors who anxiously wait (and pray) for their money to be returned. A lot is going wrong, so should you pause investing in real estate syndications for now, or should you write them off entirely? Brian Burke, who saw it coming and sold almost everything before prices fell, is on today to give us his answer. Joining him is a fellow syndication investor and BiggerPockets CEO, Scott Trench, who’s had his fair share of syndication headaches over the past few years. We’re going back in time, talking about what exactly went wrong for multifamily syndications, why we saw a rise in untrustworthy/inexperienced syndicators entering the market, and why multifamily specifically is taking the majority of the headwinds. We’re also sharing the numbers on the almost unbelievable amount of multifamily investors who have short-term loans coming due, all at a time when interest rates are still high and values are close to (if not at) the bottom. We’ll even talk about our own failed deals and whether or not we’d continue investing in syndications. In This Episode We Cover Real estate syndications, general partners, and limited partners explained Why the multifamily real estate market is a “traffic collision” in 2024 Areas of the country with the highest/lowest risk for real estate syndications The astonishing amount of distressed investors with short-term loans coming due Our own failed investments and whether we’d still invest in syndications When multifamily real estate investments could finally rebound and become investable again And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave and Scott at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Scott's BiggerPockets Profile Multifamily Is at High Risk of Continuing Its Historic Crash in 2024—Here’s Why PassivePockets Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Brian's Book, “The Hands-Off Investor” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:38 Real Estate Syndications Explained 11:11 Things Have Changed 19:07 Multifamily is a “Traffic Collision” 24:29 WHERE to Invest 29:20 Underwater Syndications 38:23 Are Syndications Dead? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-256 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Fed’s recent rate cut signaled something clear about the US economy, but what are they trying to say? With a bolder rate cut than many of us expected, homebuyers, business owners, and real estate investors are seeing the light at the end of the high-rate tunnel, where borrowing money and buying houses could come at a lower cost. But with markets already anticipating a rate cut, did the recent cut even really matter? Today, Federal Reserve reporter from The New York Times, Jeanna Smialek, shares her thoughts on what the Fed move meant after studying them full-time for over a decade. Jeanna believes that the Fed feels confident, even if this recent rate cut was overdue. Inflation has seen a substantial dropoff, but on the other hand, unemployment is rising, and Americans are getting nervous. Did the Fed move fast enough? Jeanna also shares the future rate cuts we can expect from the Fed, with more potentially coming this year and a sizable series of cuts already lined up for 2025. How significant will the cuts be, and will they be enough to stop unemployment from getting out of control? How will rent prices and home prices move due to more rate cuts? We’re answering it all in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The Fed’s recent 0.50% rate cut explained and their forecast for 2025 rate cuts The signal the Fed is sending by making a bigger rate cut (and preparing for more to come) Why the Fed decided NOW was the time to finally cut rates (and whether it was too late) Inflation updates and good news for the slowing of growing prices Housing affordability and whether or not these rate cuts will help homebuyers/renters And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Federal Reserve Cuts Rates By 0.50%, a Bigger Cut Than Expected Read More from Jeanna Get Jeanna’s Book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes on a New Age of Crisis Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:40 The Fed Makes a BIG Move 05:31 Why Now? 07:40 Effects of a 0.50% Rate Cut 12:16 Inflation Trends 15:07 Will Home and Rent Prices Rise? 22:42 2025 Rate Cuts 27:20 How the Fed Has Changed Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-255 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Your real estate business could fail if you don’t do this right. We’ve seen it happen time and time again. A business finds success, starts growing at lightning speed to capture all the demand, and then burns out, leaving the business owner or investor (i.e., YOU) cleaning up the pieces of spectacular debris. Growing your business can be a HUGE mistake, but scaling it rarely is. Today, we’re teaching you how to do just that—scaling your business to new heights so you can work less, your team (or future team) can accomplish more, and your wealth compounds in the background. And one person on the On the Market panel knows how to scale a business arguably better than anyone else—Kathy Fettke! Today, Kathy and her husband, Rich, are on to teach you how to start Scaling Smart (which is also the name of their new book!). Kathy and Rich touch on why once-giants like WeWork failed so fast, how overgrowing can kill everything you’ve worked for, how to start hiring (and who to hire first), and the “never enough” trap that can keep you working for years (or decades) longer than you should. Plus, they even coach Henry and James on their own scaling struggles! In This Episode We Cover Why “scaling” (NOT growing) your real estate business is the smartest way to build wealth The thirteen questions that will stop you from growing too fast (and failing) Defining your “why” and the reason most investors burn out even after building wealth When to start hiring employees, and what tasks you should outsource to them Incentivizing employees to work hard for you while they build their own financial freedom Being a “humble leader” and realizing that you’re NOT the best person for every job And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Property Manager Finder See Dave, Kathy, and Rich at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Rich's BiggerPockets Profile The 3 Main Stages of Scaling Your Small Business Grab Rich and Kathy’s New Book “Scaling Smart” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 02:16 Why Big Companies Fail 08:00 How to NOT Overgrow 14:46 The “Never Enough” Trap 18:57 When to Start Hiring 26:04 Being a Humble Leader 26:53 Incentivizing Employees 38:19 Scale Smart and Live Your Life! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-254 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The US economy isn’t doing as well as you think—it’s doing even better. While mainstream media outlets and grocery prices may make you feel that the US economy is struggling, the data points to something different. Inflation is getting under control, the Fed is about to lower rates, recession risks could be shrinking, and a long-term growth trend is emerging. The American economy is leading what Joe Brusuelas calls the “global recovery.” Named 2023 “Best Rate Forecaster” by Bloomberg, Joe has an unmatched view of the economy at a macro and microeconomic level. Today, we’re talking to Joe about the state of the US economy and why it’s outperforming global players like China. Joe shares the “secret sauce” that is helping the US take center stage in global economic growth, which could keep us on course to see continued economic success for years to come. But, with China’s economy showing cracks, the Middle East conflict getting more tense by the day, and the risk of recession still top of mind, what’s next for the US economy? Joe gives his economic outlook and shares the most significant risks the US economy could face, plus why he sees a BIG Fed rate cut coming in 2025. In This Episode We Cover The state of the US economy and why we’re seeing such unmatched economic growth The “secret sauce” that makes the American economy particularly efficient China’s growing economic troubles and whether it could bleed into the US economy Fed rate cut predictions and why we may see a BIG drop in rates by this time next year Joe’s US economic forecast and the regions of the US real estate investors MUST watch Commercial real estate risks and whether we should still be worried about “the wall” of maturing debt And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 196 - China Falters, Israel’s Oil Danger, and Russia’s Assets Used Against Them w/Joe Brusuelas Learn More from Joe Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:51 US Economy is Booming 06:52 Recession Risk? 08:43 China’s Economic Trap 13:31 Will This Hurt the US? 14:45 Middle East Oil Risks 17:42 US Economic Forecast 25:27 What Commercial Crash? 27:28 Fed Rate Cuts Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-253 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are we finally at the end stages of this harsh housing market? With housing inventory increasing, mortgage rates steadily falling, and inflation cooling, we might be returning to a much healthier time to buy a house. But one of these improvements we’ve seen over the past year could begin reversing, and that’s creating some interesting future scenarios. One that even we’re surprised to hear as we bring on top housing market analyst Logan Mohtashami. Logan has referred to 2022-2023’s housing market as “savagely unhealthy,” but he’s a bit more optimistic now that we’re seeing relief. While we’re still not at 2019 inventory levels (which were already low), we’re slowly getting there. However, we could see the positive inventory trend start to reverse, leading to even more affordability problems for homebuyers. So what has to happen for affordability to see meaningful improvement? Today, Logan is giving us his take on housing inventory, where mortgage rates could be heading, and why we may NOT see a spike in home prices even if rates fall significantly (something most analysts are bullish on). In This Episode We Cover Logan’s housing market, mortgage rate, and inventory forecast Why our increasing housing inventory could reverse once rates start to fall The one thing holding affordability back and whether Logan has hopes of it improving Why watching the labor market and jobs numbers will help you predict mortgage rates Were we wrong about the “lower rates = higher home prices” premise? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Learn More from Logan On The Market Podcast 86 - Here’s What Will Cause Mortgage Rates to Finally Fall w/Logan Mohtashami Know the Ins-and-Outs of Real Estate with “Real Estate by the Numbers" Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 02:05 The "Baby Pivot" Stage 05:46 The Home Sales Recession 08:49 Housing Inventory Update 15:30 Rates Will Decline MORE If... 19:59 Mortgage Rate Forecast 24:48 When Will Affordability Improve? 29:05 Biggest Takeaways Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-252 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
No matter who wins your vote during the presidential debates, odds are, the housing market will still have its problems. We’ve got high building costs, low inventory, and slow bureaucratic procedures that stop homes from being built or renovated. So, what would WE do if we were in charge of the country’s economic policies, and how would we use them to make a better housing market? Welcome to the 2024 On the Market debates, where Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy duke it out over who has the best housing policy, economic plan, and…presidential slogan. We’re putting our plans out in the open for you to vote on. Dave is focusing on construction prices, Henry wants to “Make Housing Affordable Again,” Kathy is rallying to reduce government spending, and James wants to fast-track building and renovations so housing inventory can grow. Who has the best housing market policy, and are there any you’d personally want to see on the ballot come the next election? Leave a review and let us know your thoughts, or give your take over on our YouTube channel! In This Episode We Cover Four economic policies we’d put into place TODAY to save the housing market Tax breaks for investors and builders and why the government MUST incentivize affordable housing Speeding up permitting times with a plan that could help those who can’t afford home repairs Why we NEED more Americans learning the trades before it’s too late Are prefab homes the future of affordable housing in America? Here’s why Dave thinks so And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile How the Financial Policies of Trump and Harris Could Impact Real Estate Investors Live Like Jett Foundation Grab Kathy’s New Book “Scaling Smart” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 03:57 Make Housing Affordable Again 12:31 Path of Progress 21:21 Scaling Smart 32:19 Construction is Too Expensive Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-251 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
How will the Trump and Harris economic plans affect your investing? One candidate is looking to increase affordable housing and give homebuyers a break on their first property. The other plans to keep taxes low so you can save more money. Both are concerned about inflation and rising costs, but will either of their plans correct the national budget deficit we constantly find ourselves in? We’re digging into the 2024 election economics on this BiggerNews episode with economist Joel Naroff. First, we’re discussing what happens economically during elections as Americans brace for a new president. Then, we dive into Harris’ economic plan and stance on inflation, cost of living, and affordable housing. She also has her eye on raising taxes for high-income earners, but will she bring things back to the pre-Trump era? Next, the Trump economic plan. Just like in his presidency, Trump plans to reduce taxes even more, which could help those on social security and those who make their income from tips. The question is, will this loss of tax revenue put too much of a dent in our government’s budget and push us further into a deficit? Could Trump’s pro-tariff stance help stimulate local manufacturing and increase tax revenue from imported goods? We’re answering it all on this BiggerNews! In This Episode We Cover Trump vs. Harris’ economic plans explained and how they may affect investors More affordable housing and Harris’ call to build millions of more housing units Trump’s plan to push foreign goods out of the US with higher import tariffs Rolling back Trump’s tax cuts and how Harris could increase taxes on corporations and high-earners Social security income and the benefit (but high cost) of lowering taxes on it How both of these plans could affect the national budget deficit And So Much More! Links from the Show Stay Updated on Investing News with the BiggerPockets Blog Join BiggerPockets for FREE Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show! Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Naroff Economics How the Financial Policies of Trump and Harris Could Impact Real Estate Investors Grab Dave’s Latest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:52 Election Economics 03:42 Harris’ Plan 8:38 More Affordable Housing? 12:16 Higher Taxes? 15:10 Trump’s Plan 19:11 More Social Security Income? 21:47 Eliminating Taxes on Tips 24:22 National Budget Deficit Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-250 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
One startup is aiming to end traditional real estate commissions for good. Jobs numbers get their most significant downgrade in over a decade, forcing the Fed to rethink its rate-cutting schedule. And if that wasn’t enough, home sales fell in a historically hot month of the housing market. But are the expert investors worried? In this headlines episode, we’re sharing the latest news affecting the housing market and what YOU can do now to still make money in real estate, no matter the headline hype. First, we’re talking about the latest home sales numbers. With a slow summer homebuying season, we may return to a “balanced” market where investors can thrive if they know what they’re doing. What could bring more demand to the market? Lower mortgage rates. And with the latest revision on job numbers, downgrading job growth significantly, the Fed may be forced to pivot and make bigger moves when cutting rates. Will it happen? Lastly, we’ll discuss the new state of real estate agent commissions. After the groundbreaking NAR lawsuit that put agent commissions in limbo, a new startup has set out to offer flat-fee real estate agent services in an à la carte fashion. Will paying just a few hundred dollars get you the level of agent experience you need to close better real estate deals? We’re discussing it all in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The new real estate startup that could put traditional agent commissions in jeopardy What investors should know as home sales drop and whether it's an opportunity Planning for mortgage rates to fall and how to build in more investing upside if they do The latest job numbers REVISION putting our economy in a different spot than we thought Whether or not the Fed will change course now that job numbers don’t look as strong And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See James, Kathy, and Henry at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile The NAR Will Eliminate 6% Commission Standards and Pay $418 Million in Damages After Settling Lawsuit Two Things The Latest Home Sales Numbers Say About The Real Estate Market U.S. job growth revised down by the most since 2009 After winning a landmark case against real estate agents, this startup aims to replace them with a flat fee Economic Confidence Up Slightly in August Pre-Order Kathy’s New Book “Scaling Smart” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:15 Home Sales, Prices Drop 11:15 Planning for Rates to Fall 17:33 Job Numbers Get Revised 28:07 Agents Go Flat-Fee Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-249 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Recession fears are increasing. The stock market has taken substantial hits, housing inventory is climbing, and bank account balances are starting to fall. So, with more economic turmoil, we have to ask: will the housing market crash? And if we get a housing market crash, how bad (or good) will it be for investors? Could we see a 2008-style selloff, or should we be more prepared for small dips worth taking advantage of? Today, we’re asking two top investors these questions, one of whom literally wrote the book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing. J Scott and James Dainard join us on today’s episode to discuss market crash predictions, scenarios, and opportunities for real estate investors. Both J and James experienced the 2008 housing market crash—an economic event almost impossible to forget. But is 2024 shaping up for a sharp decline like 2008, or will we simply see a slower real estate market like most people had expected when interest rates began to rise? If the market DOES crash, what should you look for to take advantage, and how do you ensure you don’t get caught biting off more than you can chew? J and James break down their game plans if prices fall and why buying now could set you up for wealth ten years from now, IF you can handle the “fear” of buying when others are running from real estate. In This Episode We Cover New housing market “crash” predictions and how low prices could go Why economic “fear” is rising now, and the recession indicators that are going off Rising housing inventory and why experienced investors expected this already The difference between the 2008 housing market crash and today What could cause a housing crash and how to know it’s time to buy The immense opportunities for investors that 99% of Americans will pass up And So Much More! Links from the Show Join BiggerPockets for FREE Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show! Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave and James at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile J's BiggerPockets Profile Why Has the Housing Market Not Crashed in Over 15 Years? Grab J’s Book “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (04:01) New Recession Fears (14:25) Is This Like 2008? (18:05) What Will Cause a Crash (31:11) What to Do During a Crash (36:56) Opportunity for Investors Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-248 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are we in a recession? A lot of people certainly think so. After a surprisingly accurate recession indicator went off weeks ago, more and more Americans have begun to believe that we’re already facing an economic downturn. The problem? We rarely know we’re in a recession until we’re out of one. So, how can we be sure we’re in a recession and not just seeing a boomerang effect from the hot post-pandemic economy? For many Americans, it sure FEELS like a recession. Unemployment has gradually increased, the cost of living has risen significantly over the past few years, and men may be buying fewer pairs of underwear (that’s actually a recession indicator). So, if we are in a recession, what should real estate investors do now to prepare so they don’t get the rug pulled on them before it’s too late? Do you sit tight or start contemplating selling properties? Dave, Henry, and Kathy all share what they’d do in a recession, the not-so-obvious signs of a recession (or a recession in your specific industry), and whether or not they believe we’ll be in a recession over the next year. If the worst has yet to come, you’ll be able to spot the signs of a coming recession after this episode. In This Episode We Cover Whether or not we’re in a recession right now (and signs of one) The one recession indicator going off that’s pointing to an economic downturn Signs that we’re already in a recession and what we would do during one How to deleverage yourself from riskier properties if the economy starts to slow Whether or not a recession is still in the cards over the next year Why it may be time to start saving once your husband/brother/nephew stops wearing new underwear And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 238 - Recession “Yellow Flags” Emerge as Unemployment Metric Rises Get Your BPCon2024 Tickets! 59% of Americans wrongly think the U.S. is in a recession, report finds Grab the Book “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 03:08 Is This Time Different? 04:26 Recession Indicators 09:21 What Does “Recession” Mean? 20:15 What to Do During a Recession 27:38 Are We in a Recession? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-247 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mortgage rates are falling, but the Fed hasn’t made any rate cuts yet. What’s the deal? We’re explaining it all in this August mortgage rate update with repeat guest and lender-friend of the show, Caeli Ridge. Caeli fills us in on today’s mortgage interest rates, why rates are moving without any federal funds rate cuts happening, what could cause rates to go even lower, and whether paying points on your mortgage makes sense in the current market. Good news for investors: interest rates are getting into the high sixes for some rental property loans, but lower rates aren’t always a good thing. With the economy slowing down and inflation (thankfully) seeing some significant progress, unemployment is rising, and better interest rates may come at the cost of a worse economy. But this isn’t a surprise, no matter how unfortunate it is for many workers in today’s market. We’re getting Caeli’s take on the Fed’s next moves, today’s mortgage rates, and what’s in store for future rates. This is crucial commentary from a lender working on loan products for investors in today’s exact interest rate environment, and hearing her may change your next investing move. Dave also gives his opinion on the mortgage rates we could expect to see next year and whether buying or refinancing even makes sense now. In This Episode We Cover August 2024 mortgage rate updates and where investor interest rates are right now Why mortgage rates have been falling WITHOUT the Fed lowering their rates Paying mortgage points and whether or not it’s worth it if rates are continuing to fall The BIG uptick in refinancing and purchasing activity since rates began to fall Where Dave thinks mortgage rates could be next year And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Caeli's BiggerPockets Profile With Mortgage Rates Falling, When Should Investors Refinance? Get Dave’s Mortgage Point Calculator Analyze Real Estate Like a Pro with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 00:54 Mortgage Rate Update 04:43 Powell Talks, Rates Change 09:19 Bad News if Rates Fall 10:27 What Else Affects Rates 14:04 “Points Options” Improve 15:47 Advice for Investors 18:20 Dave’s Take on Future Rates Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-246 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Kamala Harris has a plan to make it easier for first-time homebuyers to buy a house, but it comes at the expense of institutional investors. Eviction filings surge throughout the Sunbelt states, EVEN as apartment rent prices fall across all bedroom counts. And could commercial real estate’s struggles lead to you paying even higher property taxes? We’re getting into it all in today’s headlines show! First, we’re talking about Kamala Harris’ new proposal to kick Wall Street out of the single-family homebuying arena, potentially opening up space for first-time homebuyers to finally break out of renting. The proposal sounds promising, but is it too late to actually impact today’s housing market when institutional investors take up such a small amount of the single-family supply? We’re giving our takes on the new proposal. Apartment rent prices fall across all bedroom counts for the first time in years. But, even with seemingly improving rent affordability, eviction filings have surged across the South. Even with the rent drops, are tenants simply unable to pay such high prices for everything, rent included, in 2024? Lastly, we’re talking about how the decline in commercial real estate and office space has led to cities increasing property taxes, and by no small amount. In This Episode We Cover Whether Kamala Harris’ anti-Wall Street ownership proposal could work for homebuyers Why apartment rent prices are falling, and whether or not this will continue Single-family rents and why we AREN’T noticing them fall too The real reason evictions have seen such a spike across the Sunbelt states Commercial real estate-caused property tax hikes happening in THESE cities And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Property Manager Finder See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile How the Financial Policies of Trump and Harris Could Impact Real Estate Investors Kamala Harris wants to stop Wall Street's homebuying spree Asking Rents Fall Across All Bedroom Counts for First Time in 4 Years Evictions Surge in Major Cities in the American Sunbelt How much do downtown real estate losses lead to property tax hikes? Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:45) Harris’ New Homebuying Proposal (16:41) Rent Prices Fall (25:40) Evictions Surge in Sunbelt States (36:13) CRE-Caused Property Tax Hikes Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-245 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
New “broker fee” reform could help tenants save thousands of dollars when finding their next apartment or home to rent, but it could come at a significant cost to landlords. In big cities like Boston and New York, it’s not unusual for landlords to hire a broker to help bring in more potential tenants. The problem is that, unlike the rest of the United States, landlords in these cities DON’T have to pay the broker—the tenant does. But this isn’t some small fee. These broker fees range from eight to fifteen percent of the annual rent, and in pricey Boston or New York City, that could mean thousands of dollars in fees to move into a new place. We brought on StreetEasy Senior Economist Kenny Lee to explain why this antiquated system is still in place and whether or not the reform will go through and help renters. What are the economic implications for the rental market if these reforms are passed? Will this help renters, landlords, or both, and could it actually increase competition in already competitive markets by lowering the barrier to entry for finding a new rental? In This Episode We Cover Boston and NYC’s “broker fees” explained and why they’re so different from the rest of the US How the broker fee reform could change the rental market in big cities The cost of moving and how high broker fees restrict renters who are already struggling What broker fee reform could do to rental property demand in these big cities Broker fee negotiation and what the future looks like for landlords who have to pay these finder’s fees And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile New York City’s Real Estate Brokerages Could Be Destroyed By a New Law Connect with Kenny Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:22) Tenants Forced to Pay Fees (05:18) Why in NYC? (08:47) New Reform to Help Renters (12:09) Will This Change the Rental Market? (15:16) Better for Everyone? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-244 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We’re currently in a home insurance crisis. Everyone (except for Henry, apparently) is feeling the sting of home insurance prices rising significantly year after year. Some investors have seen their homes’ insurance costs double or triple over a few years. This is making it harder not only to protect your property but also to keep your cash flow. What do you do, and can anyone save us from this home insurance crisis? Today, we’re discussing something too big to ignore: your home insurance bill. Premiums are rising fast across coastal states and are starting to creep inland. In this episode, we’re talking about why home insurance prices have gone up so much and so quickly, the state governments actively working to get premium prices down, and what investors MUST do now to limit the price hikes coming down the road. We’re also exploring state-offered insurance programs that help homeowners whose policies have been dropped. Can the government come in and fix our insurance premium problems before it’s too late, or will rising prices lead to home price corrections as affordability suffers? In This Episode We Cover 2024’s home insurance crisis and why premium prices are rising so fast The states with the highest risk of insurance price hikes and what’s causing them Government intervention and how some states are trying to limit rising prices Whether or not higher insurance prices will cause home prices to correct in at-risk areas What investors must do NOW to keep their insurance premiums reasonable Whether people will start fleeing states with the highest insurance costs and move to more affordable areas And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 218 - These “Subtle Risks” Could Have Astronomical Impacts on Real Estate Expenses w/John Sheffield Learn How to Run the Numbers BEFORE You Buy with Dave’s Book “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:52) California Wildfires (06:03) Where Insurance Isn't Exploding (08:48) Why Insurance Prices are Rising (10:38) State Regulations Limit Price Hikes (13:38) Check Your Policy NOW (19:07) Effects on Home Prices (23:44) Should the Government Step In? (31:51) What Should Investors Do? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-243 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A couple of years ago, everyone was expecting an “Airbnbust,” where short-term rental investments would sit vacant, hosts would be forced to sell, and hotels would take the reigns as the leaders in hospitality. But that didn’t (exactly) happen. Instead, we got a slightly slower short-term rental market with fewer bookings, some more supply, and a slight dip in revenue for hosts. The short-term rental market is now reaching “equilibrium,” and demand is returning. So, what do hosts need to know now? Jamie Lane from AirDNA, the leading global short-term rental data and analytics company that tracks every listing on the market, is here to give us a mid-year update. Jamie talks about how the short-term rental market is returning to normal, why demand is starting to shoot back up all while prices are dropping, and the “cracks in the system” that could point to future short-term rental weakness. He points out the short-term rental markets with the most growth potential, the oversupplied ones seeing drops in demand, and why the European Airbnb scene, even with its regulations, is exploding. Plus, he’ll share the amenities and policy changes you can make NOW to get more bookings and what to look for BEFORE you buy in a new market. In This Episode We Cover A 2024 short-term rental market update (supply, demand, pricing, and threats) The short-term rentals seeing the least demand, and why this may be worrying for hosts “Fringe” markets that are performing even better than the traditionally popular markets Why hosts are seeing a drop in revenue and the markets with weak demand International travelers returning and the minor tweaks you can make to get more bookings Jamie’s forecast for the rest of the year and why he predicts demand will rise this fall And So Much More! Links from the Show Get the Short-Term Rental Furnishing List Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See James and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! #Airbnbust One Year Later: Did the Short-Term Rental Industry Ever Collapse? James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, “Short-Term Rental, Long-Term Wealth” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:43) 2024 Short-Term Rental Update (04:56) "Cracks" Start to Form (07:24) Markets with Growing Demand (11:07) Markets to Be Cautious Of (15:52) International Travelers Return (21:20) Must-Have Amenities/Policies (24:10) 2024 Predictions (25:59) How to Set Your Prices (28:25) Why Nightly Rates Are Falling (29:55) Growing STR Markets (32:19) Everyone's Going to Europe! (36:40) Best Opportunities for Investors Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-242 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Why are developers ditching California NOW? Is commercial real estate still struggling, and what’s up with all those empty office buildings all over town? Does it seem like everyone is overpaying for properties nowadays? It’s not just you; we’ve been seeing it, too, but there’s a reason why they’re doing it. Today, we’re touching on hot topics from the BiggerPockets Forums and giving our takes on what investors are seeing in today’s housing market. First, everyone has another reason to bag on California real estate as developers decide to move out of the state, thanks to rising construction costs, long permitting times, and bureaucratic inefficiencies. But in a state with such massive appreciation and high rents, is it really the right move to make? Next, we’re back to the commercial real estate crash, specifically, the office investing space crash, as more and more buildings sit vacant. There’s one way to solve this, and doing so could make you a LOT of money. Who’s got the guts (and the money) to make something out of all those empty offices? Finally, we’re discussing WHY investors commonly overpay for properties and how they may be making money EVEN when you think their offers are ridiculous. Do you have an investing question? Ask it on the BiggerPockets Forums! In This Episode We Cover The developer departure from California and why builders are ditching the Golden State Changing regulations and how it’s getting harder to build rental units Office space’s continued struggles and the one way investors can solve this problem Overpaying for properties and why investors commonly offer over the ARV (after repair value) How to audit your construction/renovation costs to know if you’re throwing away money on your rehabs And So Much More! Links from the Show Ask Your Question on the BiggerPockets Forums Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile A New California Law Just Increased Regulations On Home Flippers Real Developers Leaving California What Does the Future Hold for the Office Market? So many value add buildings selling at higher total project cost then ARV Grab Henry’s New Book “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:14) Investors Quit on California (10:11) CRE Continues to Suffer (19:28) Overpaying for Properties? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-241 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
For the past 999 episodes of the BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast, we’ve heard stories from investors who have achieved financial freedom through rental property investing. However, when we started this podcast in 2013, it was a different time. The housing market had crashed just years earlier, prices were still recovering, and cash flow was abundant in many markets. But things have changed, and now we’re changing, too. Welcome to our 1,000th episode and your first look at the new BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast. We’re getting back to the basics, sharing investor strategies that work in today’s market and showcasing the data investors need to know now so they can reach financial freedom faster. Our first guest on this new wealth-building journey is Scott Trench, CEO of BiggerPockets and rental property investor. Today, we ask Scott, “Is financial freedom still possible through real estate, and if so, how do investors achieve it in this housing market?” Scott shares what both beginner and experienced investors must do now to reach financial freedom, who should even be investing in the first place, and the best beginner investment EVERYONE listening to this should be taking full advantage of. Ready to start building your path to financial freedom today? The BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast is the best place to be! We also want to thank David Greene and Rob Abasolo for their massive contributions—David Greene for nearly 7 years as a host and co-host of the podcast, and Rob Abasolo for many of the past 250 episodes. They did a fantastic job building on the foundations poured by our Founder, Josh Dorkin, and Brandon Turner and continued the work of changing millions of lives. While we had hoped that Rob and David would continue to stay on as hosts in this rotational capacity, we completely understand their desire to move on to their next adventures, and wish them success in those endeavors, knowing that they will continue to change many lives with their thought leadership. We wish them the best of luck in their next endeavors. In This Episode We Cover The new BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast and what we’re changing starting today Whether you can still achieve financial freedom through real estate in 2024 The best beginner strategy to start building wealth, EVEN with little money Who should begin investing in real estate and whether you have what it takes The problem with “passive income” and why hands-on rentals beat it Investing in affordable markets and who should start with out-of-state investing How you can become a millionaire without having a huge rental portfolio And So Much More! Links from the Show Find Your Next Investing Market with BiggerPockets Market Finder Join BiggerPockets for FREE Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show! Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave and Scott at BPCON2024 in Cancun! BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 1 - Building a Successful House Flipping Business and Losing Millions with Marty Boardman Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Scott's BiggerPockets Profile How the “Middle-Class Trap” Stops Your Early Retirement Lend to Live Millions of Americans Should Keep Their Homes as Rentals, Not Sell. Here’s Why. On the Market Podcast Yes, I’m Afraid of a Real Estate Bubble—But I Continue to Invest Anyway. Here’s Why. Grab Scott’s Book, “Set for Life” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-240 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Why is everyone ignoring this one severe housing market trend, what does a 2008 crash predictor think will happen in 2025, and why are homes starting to sit longer on the market, even with mortgage rates starting to fall? Are all the headlines pointing to housing market havoc or a return to normalization where homes aren’t flying off the market like they were just a few years ago? We’re getting into it all in this headlines episode as we touch on four of the top housing market stories from this week and give our opinions on whether they’re hype or not. First, a market-shifting trend has substantial side effects on the housing market. We’ve talked about this before, but many homebuyers are overlooking it. This trend could push people out of once-popular housing markets and into underrated areas that boast far more future-proofed benefits. What’s the trend we’re talking about? Tune in to find out! We’re also discussing the increase in average days on market (DOM), why homes are sitting for longer, and whether this is something to be concerned about. Think moving to Washington, Texas, or Florida will save you money due to no income taxes? Think again because there are some serious downsides to no-income-tax states most investors don’t think about. Finally, we’re analyzing a 2008 crash predictor’s 2025 forecast—could he be right again? In This Episode We Cover The one housing market trend hiding in plain sight that could become a considerable issue soon A 2008 crash predictor’s take on the 2025 housing market and whether home prices will decline Why so many people are reversing on the “great reshuffling” and moving away from sunny states A sizable bump in homes sitting on the market and why it’s taking longer to sell The serious downsides of buying/investing in a no-income-tax state And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 895 - BiggerNews: How Climate is Exploding Insurance, Building, and Investing Costs A market-shifting real-estate trend is hiding in plain sight Nearly Two-Thirds of Home Listings Have Been Sitting on the Market Longer Than a Month As Buyers Grapple With High Costs U.S. States With No Income Tax Aren’t as Affordable as You Might Think Housing analyst who predicted the 2008 home price crash weighs in on the current market Grab Henry’s New Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:01) A Market-Shifting Trend (08:40) Average Days on Market Expand (18:12) Downsides of No Income Tax (27:53) 2008 Predictor’s New Forecast Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-239 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
One of the most reliable recession indicators, the “Sahm Rule,” just issued a “yellow flag” for the economy. Even now, with low unemployment, high spending, and overall economic growth, we aren’t protected from a recession or economic downturn. Will the US economy be able to dodge this recession, and will the Fed be fast enough to save us from falling into a state of high unemployment and meager economic growth? The Washington Post’s Heather Long joins us to share the latest data on the labor market, unemployment rate, Fed rate cuts, and why this particular recession indicator is going off now. First, we talk about why there is so much positivity in the job market and why most people won’t notice the cracks starting to form. With tech jobs getting slashed and government jobs growing, are we moving in the right direction? Heather also explains a strong recession indicator, the “Sahm Rule,” and why it’s throwing up a “yellow flag” warning even with the hot job market. Finally, we’ll touch on interest rates, whether the Fed will actually come through with a rate cut this year, and how fast future rate cuts could come after the first. In This Episode We Cover The unemployment-based recession indicator that’s throwing up “yellow flags” Which industries are hiring and which are firing in 2024 What the “unemployment rate” really means, and why most people get this wrong Immigration’s HUGE effect on unemployment and how it may be skewing the numbers The Fed’s tricky decision to make and whether rate cuts could help this situation And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 168 - How to Prepare for a Recession in 2024 Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Read More from Heather Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:06) Good Time to Get a Job? (04:50) Unemployment Rate Explained (07:59) Who's Losing Their Job? (10:21) Recession "Yellow Flags" Emerge (16:56) Immigration's Huge Effect (21:05) Spending Still Going Strong? (24:16) The Fed's Rate Cut Plans Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-238 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A new nationwide rent control proposal could cap rent increases for any landlord with a certain amount of properties. But will it actually pass? How would landlords survive when rents can only marginally increase each year while expenses continue to see double-digit percentage price growth? We’re getting into this story and a few more hard-hitting housing market headlines on today’s episode! First, we’re talking about the new rent cap proposal coming straight from The White House. This could significantly affect anyone who owns a large real estate portfolio or plans to in the future. Is this proposal merely a grab for votes, or could it actually come to fruition? Next, great news for homebuyers, as mortgage rates fall once again, all while completed homes see a sizable boost. Is this a sign that a healthier housing market is to come? Why are international buyers fleeing the US housing market? Could this end up helping first-time homebuyers who have to fight off less competition? Finally, we talk about the twenty hottest housing markets that are seeing a BIG increase in home viewership. If you own a home in one of these markets, it might be time to consider selling. In This Episode We Cover The newest rent cap proposal that could stop landlords from raising rents higher than five percent each year Mortgage rates drop again, but are more rate cuts coming this year? Increased housing inventory and signs of a healthier housing market forming Why international homebuyers have had a significant pullback from the US housing market The hottest markets in America and whether homeowners here should consider selling And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Biden Proposes Rent Increase Limits, With Penalties for Landlords Who Don’t Listen White House Plan to Limit Rent Increases Nationwide Reignites Debate Housing Market Gets Back-to-Back Good News Here's why international buyers are pulling way back from the U.S. housing market If You Live in One of These 20 Housing Markets, Consider Selling While It’s Still Hot Grab Henry’s Newest Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-237 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
For the past four years, everyone, and we mean everyone, has been doing some form of home improvement. All your friends are redoing their kitchens, your spouse keeps asking when you can renovate the bathrooms, and your best friend just built their dream home office with—don’t get too excited—recessed lighting. This was the home renovation boom of the decade, and now, we could be at the tail end of it. With home improvement spending starting to dip, interest rates keeping homeowners from big projects, and labor costs still sky-high, what happens when enough demand leaves the market? Do material prices fall as manufacturers try to lure homeowners back in? Will labor costs soften with contractors waiting for work? We brought on The Wall Street Journal’s Ryan Dezember to get some answers. In today’s show, we discuss the boom and bust of lumber prices, why home renovations are starting to stall, what impact this could have on materials, and whether or not the home improvement spree will pick back up as new construction starts decline. If you’re planning a home renovation, you'll want to hear this episode before you begin. In This Episode We Cover An update on the home renovation industry and why demand is shrinking Labor costs and the factory-building boom that’s taking away all the contractors The surprisingly old age of most American homes and why so many renovations happened High interest rates and their effects on home improvement project spending Whether or not we’re already in the home renovation “slowdown” and what could happen next And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 514 - How Small Landlords Can Beat the Hedge Funds This Could Be the Year the Home-Improvement Boom Fizzles Out. Here's Why. Deck Maker’s $450 Million Bet on America’s Renovation Boom Grab “The Book on Estimating Rehab Costs” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:36) The Home Renovation Boom (06:58) The Labor Shortage Explained (10:51) Which Costs Are Rising the Most? (14:44) High Rates Curb Demand (20:20) More Supply, Lower Prices? (25:59) Home Renovation Predictions Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-236 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Airbnb bans escalate, a “tsunami” could be coming for this real estate niche, and “sinking” cities lead to skyrocketing insurance prices. The housing market changes every week, so we’re here to break down the headlines and sift through the hype so you know what could impact YOU. Dave Meyer and the entire On the Market panel are here to discuss four of the top real estate-related news stories from this week. First, we discuss the commercial real estate credit crunch that could cause a “tsunami” in the office investing space. Next, one major European city will ban Airbnb by 2028 in an effort to give locals a better chance at buying their first home. Will it work, or is it just a move to get more votes? With the dust of the NAR settlement settling, homebuyers could face thousands in fees to work with an agent, but will this stop homebuying? Before we go over our last headline, make sure you’re standing on solid ground because “sinking” cities are becoming the new norm. Is your home slowly sliding off a cliff? If so, your insurance costs could be rising even higher. We’ll get into this story and the rest of the relevant real estate news on this episode! In This Episode We Cover A world without Airbnb and whether the newest ban could actually help homebuyers Another “tsunami” coming for real estate and whether there’s truth behind the hype Private equity’s new plan to gobble up even more real estate as one niche suffers More fees for homebuyers as agent commissions change, but will this have to be paid out of pocket? “Sinking” cities causing rising insurance costs and sliding home values And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 201 - Breaking: NAR Settles for $418M, Buying and Selling Homes Could Change Forever The commercial real estate credit crunch: ‘There’s a tsunami coming’ What does a world without Airbnb look like? First-Time Homebuyers Could Face Thousands in New Costs Following NAR Settlement U.S. cities are sinking. Here’s what that means for homeowners Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:47) A “Tsunami” Coming? (12:47) The Airbnb Bans Begin (21:22) New Fees for Homebuyers? (28:20) Cities Are Sinking Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-235 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We might have just found the most under-the-radar real estate market of 2024. It’s got jobs, appreciation potential, and affordable homes, and it’s growing…fast! The best part? We’re not sure anyone has ever talked about this specific market, so we’re going to be the first. But you had better be fast; most investors might start looking up homes for sale in this market after this episode! Which market are we talking about, and why are we so excited? We’ll share all the details in today’s show! We’ve asked the entire On the Market panel to each bring “under-the-radar” real estate markets to share on today’s show. Many of these markets are small(er) towns but boast some HUGE investing benefits you won’t find in big cities or the already-hyped areas. From Midwest cash flow to Southern healthcare hotspots and one town that our panel gets VERY excited about, any of these markets could help you build wealth WITHOUT having to fight off competition from other buyers. If you’re still looking for an investing market, check out our new tool, Market Finder! Dave and his team designed this tool to help you easily identify your next market to invest in! Once you’ve found a market, check out properties with our Deal Finder tool! In This Episode We Cover Four of our favorite “under-the-radar” real estate markets nobody is talking about The TINY town that could see massive growth as one huge employer makes big moves The cash-flowing Midwest city with rock-bottom unemployment and strong rent growth AND appreciation The small town in Texas that Kathy personally picked for her new build-to-rent investments Why medium-term rentals and assisted living facilities could see BIG returns in this healthcare hotspot And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Find Your Next Investing Market with BiggerPockets Market Finder Get Your Next Deal Faster with BiggerPockets Deal Finder Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile 8 “Under the Radar” Housing Markets With Low Prices and High Cash Flow Buy Henry’s Newest Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:03) 1. Underrated Midwest Market (09:33) 2. Small Town Texas Investing (18:50) 3. Southern Healthcare Hotspot (27:47) 4. Best Market Ever? (36:22) Our Favorite Markets Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-234 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCon2024 in Cancún, Mexico! Grab your ticket here! The housing market is “stuck” and may stay that way for the next two years. With low inventory, high mortgage rates, stunted demand, and high rents, it seems like there’s nowhere to go. If you’re a homeowner, this could mean good news, as price stability keeps your property value high. But, if you’re looking to buy a home or work in a real estate-related industry, this isn’t what you want to hear. What happens after 2026, and what changes will come to the housing market over the next two years? We’re breaking it all down in today’s headlines show! First, we’re discussing why economists think the housing market will remain “stuck” until 2026 and what happens to housing prices along the way. Next, if you’re looking for deals, you’re in luck! We’re showcasing some of the “coldest” markets in the US that are seeing prices start to fall already. Is your home insurance bill killing your cash flow? We’re diving into a recent survey on the insurance “shock” hitting landlords and what investors MUST do now to account for rising prices. Speaking of rising prices, are rent prices crossing the affordability threshold for most renters? We’re getting into it all in this episode! In This Episode We Cover Why the housing market may stay “stuck” until 2026, and what happens after Home price appreciation predictions and whether we’ll continue to see values increase The “cold” real estate markets seeing price cuts and stagnant listings How new and experienced investors can prepare for the insurance “shocks” that keep coming Affordability updates and why rent prices may be peaking as tenants struggle to afford housing And So Much More! Links from the Show Grab Your Tickets to BPCon2024 in Cancún, Mexico Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Start Investing with Dave’s Newest Book, "Start with Strategy" Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 218 - These “Subtle Risks” Could Have Astronomical Impacts on Real Estate Expenses w/John Sheffield The housing market is ‘stuck’ until at least 2026, Bank of America warns Want To Snag a Real Estate Deal? These 20 ‘Cold’ Markets May Be a Buyer’s Best Shot at a Bargain The home insurance shock hitting the housing market has landlords concerned, too Renters Must Earn $66,120 to Afford the Typical U.S. Apartment. The Typical Renter Makes $11,000 Less Than That. Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:51) Housing Market “Stuck” Until 2026 (13:59) Markets Seeing Price Cuts (19:49) Insurance “Shock” Hits Landlords (25:41) The Rent is Too High! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-233 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The mortgage industry has just been through one of its biggest booms and busts, but some tech-first, cost-saving innovations could improve things for borrowers after this current cycle. During the low-interest rate environment, transactions were at record highs as borrowers rushed to refinance or buy homes at rock-bottom rates. But, once interest rates shot up, the volume stopped, and those in the mortgage industry saw their incomes plummet. Many had to raise prices to keep the lights on, making originating a mortgage even more expensive for borrowers. But things are changing—for the better. Faith Schwartz from Housing Finance Strategies is here to unveil some of the groundbreaking changes the mortgage industry is making and how it could make getting a mortgage more accessible and cheaper for first-time homebuyers and investors. Faith even shares some new loan products we didn’t know about, from mortgages that help low-money-down borrowers to products that allow access to equity without refinancing or using a HELOC (home equity line of credit). With mortgage origination costs around a whopping $13,000, Faith walks through the new technology that could dramatically reduce this high price for borrowers and lenders. Plus, an AI and high-tech push from the government could completely flip this often archaic system. If you invest in real estate, want to invest, or work in a real estate-related service, this will seriously impact you! In This Episode We Cover Tech-first solutions that could make originating mortgages cheaper and faster The massive boom and subsequent bust that led to today’s struggling mortgage industry Why originating a loan is SO expensive, and the fees that could be eliminated in the future How the Federal government is creating new policies that help struggling buyers New loan products that can assist first-time homebuyers and those with untapped home equity And So Much More! Links from the Show Find a Lender Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Start Investing with Dave’s Newest Book, "Start with Strategy" See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram On The Market 220 - Top Lenders Share “Good News” for Mortgage Rates + Trending Investor Loans Connect with Faith on LinkedIn Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:39) The "Perfect Storm" Mortgage Industry (06:45) Mortgage Businesses Going Under? (08:55) The True Cost of a Loan (12:49) Government-Fueled Innovation (17:33) Saving Homeowners During the Pandemic (23:04) Tech-First Mortgages Are Coming (25:54) New Loan Products to Know About Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-232 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Zillow’s latest housing market forecast shows a decline in home prices over the next year after a very slow spring homebuying season. While spring is traditionally the hottest time of the housing market, with more sellers and buyers hitting the market at once, this year was stunted significantly. Will this trend continue as housing inventory remains at rock-bottom levels, or are things gradually improving, with a return to normalcy in sight? We’ve got Dr. Skylar Olsen, Chief Economist at Zillow, on to share the latest forecast and which markets could be in trouble. With mortgage rates still hovering around seven percent, homebuyers and sellers are stuck. Sellers don’t want to trade into a more expensive mortgage payment, and buyers can’t afford today’s median home price. As a result, some under-the-radar, affordable real estate markets are seeing home and rent prices increase, while some traditionally hot markets are already seeing price corrections. Where will the next correction hit, and which markets will have the most opportunity for real estate investors? Skylar explains it all, plus why Zillow updated their recent home price forecast to show a DROP in home values over the next year. In This Episode We Cover Zillow’s updated housing market forecast and why they’re predicting prices to drop The spring homebuying season’s “extra slowdown” and why buying/selling is so stunted Skylar’s 2025 housing market and mortgage rate predictions What happens when mortgage rates get cut, and whether this could fire up the housing market again The real estate markets seeing the most price corrections, plus hot markets Zillow is keeping an eye on Markets with the strongest rent growth (for single-family AND multifamily investors) And So Much More! Links from the Show Find a Lender Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Episode Show Notes Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Start Investing with Dave’s Newest Book, "Start with Strategy" See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Property Manager Finder BiggerPockets Real Estate 959 - BiggerNews: 2024 Housing Market Update and Why Prices Are Still Rising Access Zillow’s Free Housing Data Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:41) Homebuying Sees “Extra Slowdown” (06:56) Homes Sitting Longer (08:39) More Inventory On the Way? (13:42) Zillow Updates Forecast (18:17) Markets Seeing Price Corrections (21:35) Hot Markets (23:00) Where Rents Are Growing (27:10) Investors, Watch THIS (29:53) 2025 Predictions Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-231 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
“Super cities” are seeing a massive comeback in demand—one that most investors thought was impossible. With work-from-home being scaled back by many major companies, returning to downtown is a no-brainer for high-paid employees. With more amenities than the suburbs, younger workers are being enticed back into the office. And who’s winning with all this boomeranging demand? You guessed it—office investors. We brought CBRE’s Richard Barkham back to give us the latest update on how cities and office investors are faring. Office investing has been heavily criticized over the past few years as vacancies exploded and tenant turnover became increasingly common. Office space was an easy target as remote work became the new norm. However, trends change, and Richard sees a massive investing opportunity in certain office space sectors. But which cities are worth investing in and around? What type of office investments are faring the best? And will we continue to see downtown demand rebound? We’ll get into it all in this episode of On the Market. Plus, stick around to hear Richard’s predictions on interest rate cuts, whether or not we’ll achieve a “soft landing,” and what investors must be looking at NOW to make significant gains over the next few years. In This Episode We Cover The cities seeing the biggest influx in demand and why Americans are moving back to downtown Why the “doom loop” scenario never came true, even though so many forecasters predicted it The one type of office investing that could see a massive surge in demand over the next two years Richard’s “number one investment strategy” of 2024-2025 that investors MUST look into How residential real estate investors can take advantage of the rising demand for downtown housing And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Property Manager Finder Hear Our Past Episodes with Richard: On the Market 141 - The “Doom Loop” That Could Crash Commercial Real Estate On the Market 179 - A “Year of Opportunity” to Come for Multifamily, Says CBRE’s Richard Barkham Read CBRE’s Latest Reports: Analysis of US Prime Office Buildings Shaping Tomorrow’s Cities Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:24) Cities See Returning Demand (05:41) The "Doom Loop" Scenario (07:16) Offices Are Filling Up Fast (11:24) #1 Investment Nobody is Thinking About (15:37) Investing In and Around Cities (22:31) Rate Cuts and Economic Predictions (26:06) Investors MUST Do This Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-230 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
When will housing prices drop? Will real estate prices go down, or are we stuck with ever-worsening affordability as home prices continue to rise? What’s the solution to affordable housing, and why can’t investors just build smaller, more affordable homes? Our panel of expert investors gets asked these questions all day, so in this episode, we’re taking the above questions and some others from the BiggerPockets Forums and throwing them at our seasoned investors to get their takes. First, we ask, “What would have to happen for home prices to drop?” Investor or first-time homebuyer, you’ve probably asked yourself this question. We’ll give an in-depth scenario of the exact supply and demand factors that could cause prices to finally fall. Next, how to create affordable housing and why investors might be the answer. With high home prices, is it better to buy and hold or flip houses in today’s market? Plus, the experts share exactly WHICH markets they see the most potential in today. Finally, you’ll get the pro flipper’s tips for comping properties in a market with barely any home sales. Do you have a question to ask the experts? Post it in the BiggerPockets Forums, and we may answer it on a future show! In This Episode We Cover What would cause home prices to fall and affordability to improve (and if it’s likely) The investor-friendly solution for affordable housing that could help you build wealth while providing much-needed housing Flipping vs. renting and what will make you the most money in today’s market The rarely talked about real estate markets with immense potential that we’d invest in today How to comp (compare) properties when the market is changing and there are limited home sales And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's Instagram James' BiggerPockets Profile James' Instagram Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's Instagram Property Manager Finder See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Ask Your Question on the BiggerPockets Forums Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:43) Could Home Prices Fall? (07:43) How to Create Affordable Housing (16:50) Best Time to Flip Houses? (22:24) Where We’d Invest Today (31:51) James’ Rules for Comping (34:02) Ask Your Question Here! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-229 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices